Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

$128.5K Vol
2026年9月16日
Active
機率趨勢
Nemiga Gaming 92.0%
Zero Tenacity 8.0%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Any Player Ultra Kill 以 9,980% 位居第二,Match Winner 以 9,400% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $128.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $37 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Any Player Ultra Kill (9,980%):作為最可行的替代選項,Any Player Ultra Kill 保持著 9,980% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,980¢。
  • Match Winner (9,400%):以 9,400% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Match Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Ends in Daytime (5,000%)、Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Ultra Kill 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$379995¢-9895¢
2Any Player Ultra Kill9980.0%9980¢-9880¢
3Match Winner9400.0%$179.5K9400¢-9300¢
4Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan50.0%50¢50¢
10Ends in Daytime50.0%50¢50¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan50.0%50¢50¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks50.0%50¢50¢
13Any Player Rampage20.0%20¢80¢
14Any Player Ultra Kill20.0%20¢80¢
15Any Player Rampage20.0%20¢80¢
16Game 2 Winner5.0%$212.3K95¢
17Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)5.0%$2.2K95¢
18Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)5.0%$1095¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Zero Tenacity in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win the match against Zero Tenacity.

This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win the match against Nemiga Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 15, 2026

  • 10:13 AM
    GAGall1048596
    $25.00

    Bought 40.322581 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.62

  • 09:13 AM
    SCscorpi0nus
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.62

  • 08:53 AM
    FOforsenxd
    $3.05

    Bought 5 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.61

  • 02:31 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $2.00

    Bought 5 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.4

  • 01:12 AM
    $1.85

    Bought 3.032787 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.61

  • 12:51 AM
    NAnaaaaaicow
    $198.43

    Bought 325.295484 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.61

  • 12:49 AM
    ODoddnectaryon
    $20.00

    Bought 33.333332 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.6

  • 12:32 AM
    JZjzr09
    $5.00

    Bought 8.333332 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.6

Sep 14, 2026

  • 10:05 PM
    HEHereToWinBig
    $1.74

    Bought 3 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner at 0.58

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

F31
0xf3ce…a57a
事件損益
+$1,138.84
成交量
$18,052.04
持倉數
Nemiga Gaming
ME2
MedoD3P
事件損益
-$600.88
成交量
$10,044.24
持倉數
Zero Tenacity
SK3
Skritopoolniy
事件損益
-$281.13
成交量
$5,999.97
持倉數
Zero Tenacity
FF4
0xffAa…5341
事件損益
-$342.73
成交量
$4,780.00
持倉數
Zero Tenacity
5F5
0x5f30…2815
事件損益
-$133.54
成交量
$3,216.49
持倉數
Zero Tenacity
R26
r2d2v2
事件損益
+$171.25
成交量
$2,140.65
持倉數
Nemiga Gaming
1R7
1rerrr
事件損益
-$169.69
成交量
$1,885.43
持倉數
Zero Tenacity
AL8
alpheclabs
事件損益
+$82.31
成交量
$1,829.00
持倉數
Nemiga Gaming

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Any Player Ultra Kill(9,980%),以及 Match Winner(9,400%)。該市場總成交量已達 $128.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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