Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A

$75.6K Vol
2026年9月18日
Active
機率趨勢
NIP 55.5%
Luminosity 44.5%

核心摘要

根據「Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以壓倒性的 4,900% 獲勝機率主導市場;Match Winner 以 4,450% 位居第二,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5) 以 3,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $75.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,900%):Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 4,900¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Match Winner (4,450%):作為最可行的替代選項,Match Winner 保持著 4,450% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,450¢。
  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5) (3,550%):以 3,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5) 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
2Match Winner4450.0%$75.6K4450¢-4350¢
3Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)3550.0%3550¢-3450¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Luminosity and NIP in the Logitech G Play Connect Group A, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Luminosity" if Luminosity win the match against NIP.

This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Luminosity.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 16, 2026

  • 05:23 PM
    TRTruRip
    $29.00

    Bought 54.716982 NIP for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.53

  • 04:15 PM
    NBnbs8
    $14.70

    Bought 30 Luminosity for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.49

  • 10:12 AM
    DJDjoko21
    $49.95

    Bought 92.5 NIP for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.54

  • 02:11 AM
    0X0xF9088bBB59B17Bae4F5F930E9E0526539E220aaF-1779146385820
    $99.90

    Bought 188.488889 NIP for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.53

  • 02:04 AM
    LULucasBobato
    $80.53

    Bought 149.131667 NIP for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.54

  • 02:04 AM
    LEletshope
    $5.64

    Bought 10.44 NIP for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.54

Sep 15, 2026

  • 07:46 PM
    RERespwnz
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 NIP for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.53

Sep 14, 2026

  • 04:10 PM
    DUDumplingBMF
    $14.40

    Bought 29.99 Luminosity for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.48

Sep 13, 2026

  • 07:18 PM
    BBBBQbenz
    $10.00

    Bought 17.857143 NIP for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.56

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

291
0x29b5…63d7
事件損益
+$198.75
成交量
$16,945.82
持倉數
NIP
CS2
CS2-Quant
事件損益
-$176.83
成交量
$11,845.61
持倉數
Luminosity
WI3
Wiretransferxyz
事件損益
+$45.47
成交量
$8,694.61
持倉數
Luminosity
ST4
Stickman22
事件損益
+$4.18
成交量
$3,999.98
持倉數
Luminosity
AB5
0xAbF5…1494
事件損益
-$12.50
成交量
$2,500.00
持倉數
NIP
SE6
sentrio
事件損益
-$6.70
成交量
$1,472.30
持倉數
NIP
JA7
Jarod21
事件損益
+$16.98
成交量
$1,132.04
持倉數
NIP
308
300PS
事件損益
-$8.54
成交量
$569.00
持倉數
Luminosity

常見問題

目前市場對「Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 4,900% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Match Winner(4,450%),以及 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)(3,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 $75.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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