Counter-Strike: BBL vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

$57.4K Vol
2026年9月5日
Active
機率趨勢
Walczaki 50.5%
BBL 49.5%

核心摘要

根據「Counter-Strike: BBL vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $57.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%):Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Map 1 Winner (4,950%)、Map 2 Winner (4,950%),以及 Match Winner (4,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 2.5 Games 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Map 1 Winner4950.0%$1.8K4950¢-4850¢
5Map 2 Winner4950.0%$1404950¢-4850¢
6Match Winner4950.0%$23.7K4950¢-4850¢
7O/U 2.5 Games4950.0%$15.6K4950¢-4850¢
8Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)4950.0%$16.3K4950¢-4850¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between BBL and Walczaki in the Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "BBL" if BBL win the match against Walczaki.

This market will resolve to "Walczaki" if Walczaki win the match against BBL.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 4, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 4, 2026

  • 09:10 AM
    0X0xfFaEaE9635c6B2A3dA68568965d73f602F4255C0-1774560351671
    $4.52

    Bought 12.9 Walczaki for Counter-Strike: BBL vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.35

  • 08:28 AM
    SKSkyCapital71
    $600.00

    Bought 909.090908 BBL for Counter-Strike: BBL vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.66

  • 08:16 AM
    0X0x1448911B204105c7aCd793152babDe9CAe52e868-1781291158301
    $44.89

    Bought 77.405082 Walczaki for Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 07:05 AM
    ARareuwinningson
    $128.70

    Sold 198 BBL for Counter-Strike: BBL vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.65

  • 07:04 AM
    AJAJSV
    $1.70

    Bought 5 Walczaki for Counter-Strike: BBL vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.34

  • 06:49 AM
    ARareuwinningson
    $74.59

    Bought 113.02 BBL for Counter-Strike: BBL vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.66

  • 06:48 AM
    ARareuwinningson
    $100.32

    Bought 152 BBL for Counter-Strike: BBL vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.66

  • 05:19 AM
    ARareuwinningson
    $36.13

    Bought 57.35 BBL for Counter-Strike: BBL vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.63

  • 04:57 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $2.31

    Bought 3.666664 BBL for Counter-Strike: BBL vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.63

  • 04:14 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $4.12

    Bought 6.539681 BBL for Counter-Strike: BBL vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.63

  • 12:48 AM
    ZMzmt6611
    $21.92

    Bought 37.79 Walczaki for Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5) at 0.58

Sep 3, 2026

  • 11:35 PM
    FUfundingnemo
    $143.47

    Sold 235.19 BBL for Counter-Strike: BBL vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.61

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

291
0x29b5…63d7
事件損益
-$37.21
成交量
$16,870.27
持倉數
UnderWalczakiWalczaki
SE2
SevenTons
事件損益
+$73.61
成交量
$14,639.49
持倉數
OverBBL
SA3
Satisfactory8
事件損益
+$162.83
成交量
$10,186.93
持倉數
WalczakiOverWalczaki+1
FR4
frjrnsd
事件損益
-$105.38
成交量
$7,901.01
持倉數
BBLBBL
LM5
lma0o0o0o
事件損益
+$12.96
成交量
$6,530.39
持倉數
BBLWalczaki
326
322capital
事件損益
-$321.74
成交量
$6,075.27
持倉數
UnderWalczaki
XR7
xreborn
事件損益
-$428.72
成交量
$2,770.25
持倉數
BBL
FO8
ForAndWithYou
事件損益
-$50.95
成交量
$2,209.73
持倉數
UnderWalczakiWalczaki

常見問題

目前市場對「Counter-Strike: BBL vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(5,000%),以及 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $57.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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