
Western Michigan vs. Michigan
核心摘要
根據「Western Michigan vs. Michigan」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Spread -0.5 以壓倒性的 9,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Western Michigan 2H O/U 4.5 以 9,050% 位居第二,Western Michigan 2H O/U 1.5 以 9,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $67.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Spread -0.5 (9,050%):Spread -0.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Western Michigan 2H O/U 4.5 (9,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Western Michigan 2H O/U 4.5 保持著 9,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,050¢。
- Western Michigan 2H O/U 1.5 (9,050%):以 9,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Western Michigan 2H O/U 1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Western Michigan 2H O/U 3.5 (9,050%)、Western Michigan 2H O/U 5.5 (9,050%),以及 Western Michigan 2H O/U 0.5 (9,050%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Western Michigan 2H O/U 2.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -0.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 2 | Western Michigan 2H O/U 4.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 3 | Western Michigan 2H O/U 1.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 4 | Western Michigan 2H O/U 3.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 5 | Western Michigan 2H O/U 5.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 6 | Western Michigan 2H O/U 0.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 7 | Western Michigan 2H O/U 2.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 8 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Western Michigan O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Michigan O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Jordan Marshall: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Savion Hiter: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Bryce Underwood: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Broc Lowry: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Jalen Buckley: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | JJ Buchanan: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Andrew Marsh: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Bryson Kuzdzal: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Zack Marshall: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Cole Cabana: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Hogan Hansen: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Salesi Moa: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Aveion Chenault: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Jaime Ffrench: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Baylin Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | AJ Green: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Adam Parks: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Harper Hughes: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Kendrick Bell: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Emazon Littlejohn: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Western Michigan O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Western Michigan O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Western Michigan O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Western Michigan O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Michigan O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Michigan O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Michigan O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Michigan O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 2H Spread -7.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 42 | Spread -14.5 | 4485.0% | — | 4485¢ | -4385¢ |
| 43 | Spread: Michigan (-28.5) | 950.0% | $308 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 44 | Spread -2.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 45 | Spread -4.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 46 | Spread -5.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 47 | Spread -7.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 48 | Spread -8.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 49 | Spread -13.5 | 950.0% | $333 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 50 | Spread -16.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 51 | Spread -20.5 | 950.0% | $8 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 52 | Spread -31.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 53 | Spread -34.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 54 | 2H Spread -10.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 55 | 2H Spread -11.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 56 | 2H Spread -12.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 57 | 2H Spread -13.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 58 | 2H Spread -14.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 59 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 60 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 61 | 4Q Spread -6.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 62 | 4Q Spread -7.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 63 | 4Q Spread -8.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 64 | Michigan O/U 31.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 65 | Michigan O/U 34.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 66 | Michigan O/U 37.5 | 950.0% | $104 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 67 | Michigan O/U 40.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 68 | Michigan O/U 43.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 69 | Western Michigan O/U 12.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 70 | Western Michigan O/U 15.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 71 | Western Michigan 2H O/U 6.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 72 | Western Michigan 2H O/U 8.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 73 | Michigan 2H O/U 14.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 74 | Michigan 2H O/U 16.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 75 | Michigan 2H O/U 18.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 76 | Michigan O/U 32.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 77 | Michigan O/U 35.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 78 | Michigan O/U 38.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 79 | Michigan O/U 41.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 80 | Michigan O/U 44.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 81 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 82 | Michigan O/U 33.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 83 | Michigan O/U 36.5 | 950.0% | $6.6K | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 84 | Michigan O/U 39.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 85 | Michigan O/U 42.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 86 | Michigan O/U 45.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 87 | 2H Spread -15.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 88 | 2H Spread -8.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 89 | Michigan 2H O/U 13.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 90 | Michigan 2H O/U 15.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 91 | Michigan 2H O/U 17.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 92 | Western Michigan 2H O/U 7.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 93 | Spread -17.5 | 945.0% | — | 945¢ | -845¢ |
| 94 | Spread -3.5 | 900.0% | $169 | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 95 | Spread -10.5 | 845.0% | $137 | 845¢ | -745¢ |
| 96 | Spread -24.5 | 795.0% | — | 795¢ | -695¢ |
| 97 | Spread -1.5 | 100.0% | $14 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 98 | Spread -27.5 | 40.0% | $5.0K | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 99 | Western Michigan vs. Michigan | 5.0% | $284.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 100 | O/U 47.5 | 5.0% | $196 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 101 | O/U 48.5 | 5.0% | $2.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 102 | Spread -6.5 | 5.0% | $290 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 103 | Spread -21.5 | 5.0% | $101 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 104 | O/U 28.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 105 | O/U 30.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 106 | O/U 32.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 107 | O/U 34.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 108 | O/U 36.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 109 | O/U 38.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 110 | O/U 40.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 111 | O/U 42.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 112 | O/U 44.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 113 | O/U 46.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 114 | O/U 50.5 | 5.0% | $59 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 115 | O/U 52.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 116 | O/U 54.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 117 | O/U 56.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 118 | O/U 58.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 119 | O/U 60.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 120 | O/U 62.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 121 | O/U 64.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 122 | O/U 66.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 123 | O/U 68.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 124 | O/U 49.5 | 5.0% | $1.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:30PM ET:
If Western Michigan wins, the market will resolve to "Western Michigan".
If Michigan wins, the market will resolve to "Michigan".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 5, 2026
- 08:30 PMDEDeesert$1.00
Bought 1.923075 Michigan for Spread: Michigan (-27.5) at 0.52
- 08:11 PMNInigiri99$9.69
Bought 323 Western Michigan for Western Michigan vs. Michigan at 0.03
- 07:59 PMNInigiri99$62.40
Bought 104 Over for Michigan Team Total: O/U 37.5 at 0.6
- 07:26 PMFIfirewalker923$78.00
Bought 150 Michigan for Spread: Michigan (-27.5) at 0.52
- 07:13 PMLUluckyguy168$2.00
Bought 4 Over for Western Michigan vs. Michigan: O/U 49.5 at 0.5
- 06:53 PMNInigiri99$3.42
Bought 6 Over for Western Michigan Team Total: O/U 9.5 at 0.57
- 06:21 PM0X0xb5794FF8CE96b773701fE9333283915eEf5fF458-1729659432133$5.81
Bought 193.548386 Western Michigan for Western Michigan vs. Michigan at 0.03
- 05:05 PMLPlpcapital1$19.40
Bought 20 Michigan for Western Michigan vs. Michigan at 0.97
- 04:32 PM0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks$4.76
Bought 119 Western Michigan for Western Michigan vs. Michigan at 0.04
- 03:55 PM0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187$1.54
Bought 38.6 Western Michigan for Western Michigan vs. Michigan at 0.04
- 03:55 PM0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187$1.26
Bought 31.58 Western Michigan for Western Michigan vs. Michigan at 0.04
- 03:55 PM0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187$1.26
Bought 31.58 Western Michigan for Western Michigan vs. Michigan at 0.04
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Western Michigan vs. Michigan」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Spread -0.5 以 9,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Western Michigan 2H O/U 4.5(9,050%),以及 Western Michigan 2H O/U 1.5(9,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $67.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
