
William & Mary vs. Duke
核心摘要
根據「William & Mary vs. Duke」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Spread -20.5 以壓倒性的 5,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -5.5 以 5,050% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 5,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Spread -20.5 (5,050%):Spread -20.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -5.5 (5,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -5.5 保持著 5,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,050¢。
- Spread -2.5 (5,050%):以 5,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Spread -0.5 (5,050%)、Spread -2.5 (5,050%),以及 O/U 39.5 (5,050%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 69.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -20.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 2 | Spread -5.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 3 | Spread -2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 4 | Spread -0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Spread -2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 6 | O/U 39.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 7 | O/U 69.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 8 | Spread -17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Spread -16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Spread -14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Spread -13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Spread -10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Spread -10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Spread -13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Spread -14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Spread -16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Spread -17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | O/U 37.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | O/U 41.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | O/U 43.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | O/U 45.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | O/U 47.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | O/U 49.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | O/U 53.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | O/U 55.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | O/U 57.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | O/U 59.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | O/U 61.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | O/U 63.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | O/U 65.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | O/U 67.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | O/U 71.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | O/U 73.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | O/U 75.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 1H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 1H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | 1Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | 1Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | 1Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | 1Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | 1Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | William & Mary O/U 20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | William & Mary O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | William & Mary O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | William & Mary O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | William & Mary O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Duke O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Duke O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Duke O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Duke O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Duke O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | William & Mary 1H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | William & Mary 1H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | William & Mary 1H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Duke 1H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Duke 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | William & Mary 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | William & Mary 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | William & Mary 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Duke 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Duke 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Duke 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | William & Mary vs. Duke | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 102 | Spread -0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 103 | O/U 51.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 104 | Duke 1H O/U 14.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between William & Mary and Duke, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "William & Mary" if William & Mary win the game.
This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
常見問題
目前市場對「William & Mary vs. Duke」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Spread -20.5 以 5,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -5.5(5,050%),以及 Spread -2.5(5,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
