Wisconsin vs. Penn State

$376.8K Vol
2026年9月27日
Active
機率趨勢
Penn State 93.2%
Wisconsin 6.9%

核心摘要

根據「Wisconsin vs. Penn State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,1H Spread -7.5 以壓倒性的 9,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;1H O/U 23.5 以 9,900% 位居第二,O/U 28.5 以 9,650% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $376.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 1H Spread -7.5 (9,950%):1H Spread -7.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $7.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 1H O/U 23.5 (9,900%):作為最可行的替代選項,1H O/U 23.5 保持著 9,900% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,900¢。
  • O/U 28.5 (9,650%):以 9,650% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 28.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 2Q O/U 16.5 (9,100%)、1H Spread -2.5 (9,050%),以及 1H Spread -4.5 (9,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 1H Spread -5.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
11H Spread -7.59950.0%$7.9K9950¢-9850¢
21H O/U 23.59900.0%—9900¢-9800¢
3O/U 28.59650.0%—9650¢-9550¢
42Q O/U 16.59100.0%—9100¢-9000¢
51H Spread -2.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
61H Spread -4.59050.0%$2069050¢-8950¢
71H Spread -5.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
81H Spread -6.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
91H Spread -9.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
101H O/U 17.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
111H O/U 20.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
122Q Spread -0.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
132Q Spread -3.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
142Q Spread -4.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
152Q Spread -5.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
162Q O/U 19.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
17Wisconsin 1H O/U 6.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
182Q Spread -1.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
19Both Teams to Score Points - Q29050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
20Spread -2.58900.0%$68900¢-8800¢
21Spread -1.58800.0%—8800¢-8700¢
22O/U 34.58650.0%—8650¢-8550¢
23Spread -3.58300.0%—8300¢-8200¢
24Spread -4.58200.0%—8200¢-8100¢
25Spread -5.58050.0%$108050¢-7950¢
26Spread -6.57800.0%$507800¢-7700¢
27O/U 30.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
28O/U 32.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
29O/U 36.57400.0%—7400¢-7300¢
30O/U 38.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
31Spread -7.57150.0%$8527150¢-7050¢
32O/U 40.57150.0%$37150¢-7050¢
33Spread -9.56800.0%$16.7K6800¢-6700¢
34Spread -8.56350.0%$906350¢-6250¢
35O/U 42.56050.0%$1.3K6050¢-5950¢
36Spread -10.56000.0%$94.9K6000¢-5900¢
37Spread -12.56000.0%$2066000¢-5900¢
38Penn State O/U 30.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
39Penn State O/U 27.55800.0%$7525800¢-5700¢
40Spread -11.55600.0%$5435600¢-5500¢
412Q Spread -2.55505.0%—5505¢-5405¢
424Q O/U 10.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
43Spread -13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
44O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46O/U 44.55000.0%$33.5K5000¢-4900¢
472H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
482H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
492H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
502H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
512H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
522H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
532H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
542H O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
552H O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
562H O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
572H O/U 28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
583Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
593Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
603Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
613Q O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
623Q O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
633Q O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
643Q O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
654Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
664Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
674Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
684Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
694Q O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Wisconsin O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Wisconsin O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Penn State O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Penn State O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Penn State O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Wisconsin 2H O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Wisconsin 2H O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Wisconsin 2H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Penn State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Penn State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Penn State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
812H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
822H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
832H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Penn State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Wisconsin O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
863Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
874Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Wisconsin vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Wisconsin vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Wisconsin vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
140Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
141Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
143Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
144Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
145Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
146Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
147Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
148Wisconsin vs. Penn State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
149Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
150Wisconsin vs. Penn State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
151Wisconsin vs. Penn State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1524Q Spread -2.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
153Spread -0.54850.0%$264850¢-4750¢
1544Q O/U 13.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
155O/U 48.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
1563Q Spread -2.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
1573Q Spread -1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
158O/U 46.54700.0%$1.5K4700¢-4600¢
159Spread -16.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
160Spread -18.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
161Spread -14.54600.0%$1834600¢-4500¢
1623Q Spread -3.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
163O/U 50.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
1644Q Spread -3.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
1654Q O/U 7.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
166Spread -17.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
167O/U 54.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
1683Q O/U 12.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
169Wisconsin O/U 17.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
170O/U 56.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
171Spread -26.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
172O/U 60.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
173Spread -15.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
174Spread -20.52900.0%$1.3K2900¢-2800¢
175O/U 62.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
176Wisconsin O/U 20.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
177O/U 52.52550.0%$12550¢-2450¢
1784Q O/U 16.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
179Spread -23.52000.0%$8072000¢-1900¢
180Wisconsin O/U 23.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
181Spread -24.51450.0%$7401450¢-1350¢
182O/U 58.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
183Spread -27.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
1841H O/U 26.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1851H O/U 29.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
186Wisconsin 1H O/U 8.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1872Q Spread -1.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1881H Moneyline950.0%—950¢-850¢
1892Q Moneyline950.0%—950¢-850¢
190Spread -30.5750.0%$16750¢-650¢
191Wisconsin vs. Penn State685.0%$202.2K685¢-585¢
192O/U 64.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
193Wisconsin 1H O/U 10.5500.0%—500¢-400¢
194Spread -3.5480.0%—480¢-380¢
195Spread -4.5380.0%—380¢-280¢
196Spread -10.5345.0%$94.9K345¢-245¢
197Spread -7.5295.0%$852295¢-195¢
198Spread -6.5260.0%$50260¢-160¢
1992Q Spread -7.5150.0%—150¢-50¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and Penn State, scheduled for September 26 at 5:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game.

This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 10:34 PM
    ——
    $0.99

    Bought 1.069507 Penn State for Wisconsin vs. Penn State at 0.93

  • 10:33 PM
    LAlaoaba
    $2.04

    Bought 4.340426 Wisconsin for Spread: Penn State (-12.5) at 0.47

  • 10:33 PM
    IRirinanik
    $46.48

    Bought 108.093024 Wisconsin for Spread: Penn State (-12.5) at 0.43

  • 10:33 PM
    EAeasyautomate
    $2.74

    Bought 6.372094 Wisconsin for Spread: Penn State (-12.5) at 0.43

  • 10:33 PM
    CMcm2897
    $715.95

    Bought 1665 Wisconsin for Spread: Penn State (-12.5) at 0.43

  • 10:33 PM
    WIWilliMekkit
    $13.44

    Bought 31.26 Wisconsin for Spread: Penn State (-12.5) at 0.43

  • 10:33 PM
    LELesterDiamond
    $1,089.89

    Bought 2421.98 Wisconsin for Spread: Penn State (-12.5) at 0.45

  • 10:33 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.072955 Penn State for Wisconsin vs. Penn State at 0.93

  • 10:32 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.072955 Penn State for Wisconsin vs. Penn State at 0.93

  • 10:32 PM
    EZezp-gk-16
    $2.60

    Bought 5 Penn State for Spread: Penn State (-13.5) at 0.52

  • 10:32 PM
    BOBOB6633
    $2.60

    Bought 5 Penn State for Spread: Penn State (-13.5) at 0.52

  • 10:32 PM
    0X0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
    $2.55

    Bought 5 Penn State for Spread: Penn State (-13.5) at 0.51

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

HO1
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$40.47
成交量
$16,429.95
持倉數
Penn StateOverUnder+3
BA2
bands1
事件損益
+$0.03
成交量
$16,245.04
持倉數
Wisconsin
AP3
AppleTiime
事件損益
-$25.00
成交量
$5,000.00
持倉數
Penn State
JA4
JAMJAMJAM4
事件損益
-$18.90
成交量
$3,780.00
持倉數
Under
VE5
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$17.39
成交量
$3,729.59
持倉數
Penn StatePenn StateOver+3
WR6
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件損益
+$62.49
成交量
$2,140.26
持倉數
UnderWisconsin
JO7
jole24
事件損益
-$10.00
成交量
$2,000.00
持倉數
Wisconsin
LI8
LiquidatedDegen
事件損益
-$14.05
成交量
$1,584.01
持倉數
WisconsinWisconsin

常見問題

目前市場對「Wisconsin vs. Penn State」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,1H Spread -7.5 以 9,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 1H O/U 23.5(9,900%),以及 O/U 28.5(9,650%)。該市場總成交量已達 $376.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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