Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

$44.6K Vol
2026年9月7日
Active
機率趨勢
Notre Dame 91.5%
Wisconsin 8.5%

核心摘要

根據「Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，O/U 27.5 以壓倒性的 9,300% 獲勝機率主導市場；Spread -1.5 以 9,250% 位居第二，Spread -0.5 以 9,200% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $44.6K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • O/U 27.5 (9,300%)：O/U 27.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,300¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $68 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,250%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Spread -1.5 保持著 9,250% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,250¢。
  • Spread -0.5 (9,200%)：以 9,200% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Spread -0.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

  • 替代選項：包括 Spread -2.5 (9,150%)、O/U 29.5 (9,150%)，以及 Spread -3.5 (8,850%)。
  • 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 O/U 31.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1O/U 27.59300.0%$689300¢-9200¢
2Spread -1.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
3Spread -0.59200.0%$439200¢-9100¢
4Spread -2.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
5O/U 29.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
6Spread -3.58850.0%—8850¢-8750¢
7O/U 31.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
8Spread -4.58650.0%—8650¢-8550¢
9Spread -5.58550.0%$998550¢-8450¢
10Spread -6.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
11O/U 33.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
12O/U 35.57950.0%—7950¢-7850¢
13Spread -7.57900.0%$57900¢-7800¢
14Wisconsin O/U 6.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
15Spread -8.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
16Notre Dame O/U 25.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
17Notre Dame O/U 26.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
18Spread -10.57450.0%$897450¢-7350¢
19O/U 37.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
20Notre Dame O/U 27.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
21Spread -13.57050.0%$1247050¢-6950¢
22O/U 39.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
232H Spread -5.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
242H Spread -4.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
25Spread -14.56650.0%$986650¢-6550¢
26Wisconsin O/U 7.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
27Notre Dame O/U 28.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
28Notre Dame O/U 29.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
29Wisconsin O/U 9.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
302H Spread -6.56350.0%$106350¢-6250¢
31Spread -16.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
32O/U 41.56300.0%$386300¢-6200¢
33Notre Dame O/U 30.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
341H Spread -8.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
351H Spread -9.56150.0%$1.1K6150¢-6050¢
363Q Spread -2.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
37Spread -17.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
38O/U 43.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
392Q Spread -6.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
404Q Spread -2.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
41Spread -20.55450.0%$19.5K5450¢-5350¢
421H Spread -10.55450.0%$9625450¢-5350¢
43Notre Dame O/U 31.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
44Wisconsin O/U 10.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
45O/U 45.55350.0%$1.0K5350¢-5250¢
461Q Spread -6.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
47Notre Dame O/U 32.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
48Notre Dame O/U 33.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
492H Spread -8.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
503Q Spread -6.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
512H Spread -7.55150.0%$1825150¢-5050¢
52Wisconsin 1H O/U 6.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
534Q Spread -6.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
541Q Spread -5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
551Q Spread -8.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
562Q Spread -5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
572Q Spread -8.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
583Q Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
593Q Spread -5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
604Q Moneyline5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
61Wisconsin 2H O/U 6.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
62Notre Dame 2H O/U 16.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
63Notre Dame O/U 4.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
64Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
65Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
66Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
67Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
68Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
69Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
70Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
713Q Spread -7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
72Wisconsin O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
73Wisconsin O/U 3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
74Notre Dame O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
75Notre Dame O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
76Notre Dame O/U 3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
774Q Spread -8.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
78Notre Dame 1H O/U 18.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
79Wisconsin 2H O/U 9.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
801H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
812H Spread -9.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
821Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
831Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
842Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
853Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
863Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
874Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
884Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Notre Dame 1H O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Wisconsin 1H O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Wisconsin 1H O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Wisconsin 2H O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Wisconsin 2H O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Notre Dame 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Notre Dame 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Wisconsin O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Colton Joseph: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Abu Sama III: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Darrion Dupree: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Eugene Hilton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Chris Brooks Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Wisconsin O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Notre Dame 1H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1101Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Wisconsin O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Wisconsin O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1132Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1143Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1154Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1164Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Notre Dame 1H O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Wisconsin 2H O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Wisconsin 2H O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1202H Moneyline4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1211H Spread -12.54950.0%$1.0K4950¢-4850¢
1222Q Moneyline4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
123O/U 46.54950.0%$3.8K4950¢-4850¢
124Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
125Notre Dame O/U 1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1263Q Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
127Notre Dame 1H O/U 20.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1283Q Spread -4.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1294Q Spread -4.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1301H Spread -13.54850.0%$2054850¢-4750¢
1314Q Spread -3.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
132Notre Dame O/U 34.54850.0%$1504850¢-4750¢
133Notre Dame 1H O/U 17.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
134Spread -21.54750.0%$6214750¢-4650¢
135O/U 47.54550.0%$1.3K4550¢-4450¢
136Wisconsin O/U 13.54500.0%$524500¢-4400¢
1372Q Spread -7.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1382H Spread -10.54300.0%$104300¢-4200¢
139Spread -24.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
140O/U 49.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
1412H Spread -11.54050.0%$54050¢-3950¢
142Notre Dame O/U 35.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
143Notre Dame O/U 36.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
144Notre Dame O/U 37.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
1451H Spread -14.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1461H Spread -15.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
147Spread -27.53450.0%$4283450¢-3350¢
148O/U 51.53450.0%$203450¢-3350¢
1491H Spread -16.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
150Wisconsin O/U 15.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
151Wisconsin O/U 16.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
152O/U 53.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
153Notre Dame O/U 38.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
1541Q Spread -7.52950.0%$592950¢-2850¢
155Notre Dame O/U 39.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
156Notre Dame O/U 40.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
157Jaylon Domingeaux: Anytime Touchdown2650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
158Jacob Harris: Anytime Touchdown2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
159Malachi Coleman: Anytime Touchdown2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
160Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
161Tyrell Henry: Anytime Touchdown2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
162Shamar Rigby: Anytime Touchdown2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
163Ryan Schwendeman: Anytime Touchdown2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
164Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown2550.0%$42550¢-2450¢
165O/U 55.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
166Wisconsin O/U 18.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
167Spread -31.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
168Wisconsin O/U 19.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
169O/U 57.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
170Spread -34.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
171O/U 59.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
172O/U 61.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
1731H Moneyline1350.0%$2.2K1350¢-1250¢
174O/U 63.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
175O/U 65.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
176Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame750.0%$12.6K750¢-650¢
177O/U 67.5700.0%—700¢-600¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 7:30PM ET:

If Wisconsin wins, the market will resolve to "Wisconsin".

If Notre Dame wins, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 6, 2026

  • 07:58 AM
    0X0x20310f556b3f240152c2412Faf0ee6063F195ee7-1761308831852
    $30.00

    Bought 42.85714 Notre Dame for Spread: Notre Dame (-13.5) at 0.7

  • 07:22 AM
    ARarcher111
    $4.00

    Bought 7.4 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) at 0.54

  • 07:22 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $47.17

    Bought 89 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 06:07 AM
    PUpurplegatto
    $63.92

    Bought 68 Over for Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame: O/U 27.5 at 0.94

  • 05:16 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $19.00

    Bought 59.38 Notre Dame for 1Q Spread: Notre Dame (-7.5) at 0.32

  • 04:31 AM
    BRbretonpicks
    $25.00

    Bought 48.076922 Under for Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame: O/U 46.5 at 0.52

  • 04:17 AM
    DFDFY
    $10.10

    Bought 22.444443 Notre Dame for Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5) at 0.45

  • 04:10 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $38.69

    Bought 61.42 Notre Dame for Spread: Notre Dame (-14.5) at 0.63

  • 04:01 AM
    BUbumpbumpbump
    $6.78

    Bought 14.43 Wisconsin for Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5) at 0.47

  • 03:31 AM
    OLOlivier987
    $22.50

    Bought 47.872339 Wisconsin for Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5) at 0.47

  • 03:06 AM
    NInigiri99
    $706.49

    Bought 1333 Notre Dame for Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5) at 0.53

  • 03:06 AM
    NInigiri99
    $852.24

    Bought 1608 Notre Dame for Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5) at 0.53

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

NI1
nigiri99
事件損益
-$39.10
成交量
$14,045.00
持倉數
Notre DameWisconsinNotre Dame+2
MO2
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$10.49
成交量
$9,306.98
持倉數
Notre DameOverNotre Dame+6
WO3
wowfarm
事件損益
+$22.50
成交量
$4,499.99
持倉數
Notre Dame
VE4
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$55.89
成交量
$4,029.79
持倉數
Notre DameWisconsinWisconsin+7
WR5
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件損益
+$17.60
成交量
$3,519.27
持倉數
WisconsinWisconsin
HO6
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$18.89
成交量
$3,182.07
持倉數
OverNotre DameOver+2
AT7
attempt-most
事件損益
-$1.18
成交量
$3,078.42
持倉數
Wisconsin
FL8
Flipadelphia
事件損益
+$2.05
成交量
$2,999.98
持倉數
Under

常見問題

目前市場對「Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，O/U 27.5 以 9,300% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Spread -1.5（9,250%），以及 Spread -0.5（9,200%）。該市場總成交量已達 $44.6K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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