Washington State vs. Washington
$67.7K Vol
2026年9月7日
Active
機率趨勢
Washington 93.5%
Washington State 6.5%
核心摘要
根據「Washington State vs. Washington」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，Spread -0.5 以壓倒性的 9,400% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 30.5 以 9,400% 位居第二，Spread -1.5 以 9,300% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $67.7K，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- Spread -0.5 (9,400%)：Spread -0.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,400¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $5 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- O/U 30.5 (9,400%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 30.5 保持著 9,400% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,400¢。
- Spread -1.5 (9,300%)：以 9,300% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Spread -1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）
在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：
- 替代選項：包括 Spread -2.5 (9,300%)、O/U 31.5 (9,250%)，以及 O/U 32.5 (9,150%)。
- 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 O/U 33.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -0.5 | 9400.0% | $5 | 9400¢ | -9300¢ |
| 2 | O/U 30.5 | 9400.0% | — | 9400¢ | -9300¢ |
| 3 | Spread -1.5 | 9300.0% | — | 9300¢ | -9200¢ |
| 4 | Spread -2.5 | 9300.0% | — | 9300¢ | -9200¢ |
| 5 | O/U 31.5 | 9250.0% | — | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 6 | O/U 32.5 | 9150.0% | — | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 7 | O/U 33.5 | 9150.0% | — | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 8 | Spread -3.5 | 8950.0% | — | 8950¢ | -8850¢ |
| 9 | Spread -4.5 | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 10 | O/U 34.5 | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 11 | Spread -5.5 | 8800.0% | — | 8800¢ | -8700¢ |
| 12 | O/U 35.5 | 8800.0% | — | 8800¢ | -8700¢ |
| 13 | O/U 36.5 | 8750.0% | — | 8750¢ | -8650¢ |
| 14 | Spread -6.5 | 8650.0% | $53 | 8650¢ | -8550¢ |
| 15 | Spread -7.5 | 8400.0% | — | 8400¢ | -8300¢ |
| 16 | Spread -8.5 | 8250.0% | — | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 17 | O/U 38.5 | 8250.0% | — | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 18 | O/U 40.5 | 7950.0% | — | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 19 | Spread -10.5 | 7900.0% | — | 7900¢ | -7800¢ |
| 20 | Washington O/U 30.5 | 7650.0% | $74 | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 21 | Spread -13.5 | 7500.0% | — | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 22 | O/U 42.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 23 | Spread -16.5 | 7250.0% | $7.0K | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 24 | Washington State O/U 7.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 25 | Spread -14.5 | 7200.0% | — | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 26 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 7100.0% | — | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 27 | O/U 44.5 | 6900.0% | — | 6900¢ | -6800¢ |
| 28 | Washington O/U 31.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 29 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 6800.0% | — | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 30 | Spread -17.5 | 6750.0% | $5.5K | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 31 | Washington O/U 33.5 | 6550.0% | — | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 32 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 6500.0% | — | 6500¢ | -6400¢ |
| 33 | O/U 46.5 | 6450.0% | $50 | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 34 | 2H Spread -6.5 | 6400.0% | — | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 35 | Washington O/U 34.5 | 6300.0% | $5 | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 36 | Spread -20.5 | 6200.0% | $1.2K | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 37 | Washington State O/U 10.5 | 5950.0% | — | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 38 | O/U 48.5 | 5850.0% | $305 | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 39 | 2Q Spread -6.5 | 5750.0% | — | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 40 | 1H Spread -11.5 | 5700.0% | — | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 41 | 1H Spread -12.5 | 5650.0% | — | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 42 | Spread -21.5 | 5550.0% | $8.9K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 43 | 2H Spread -7.5 | 5550.0% | — | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 44 | Washington State 1H O/U 6.5 | 5550.0% | — | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 45 | 3Q Spread -4.5 | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 46 | Spread: Washington (-22.5) | 5450.0% | $7.9K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 47 | Washington O/U 36.5 | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 48 | Washington O/U 37.5 | 5450.0% | $4.4K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 49 | 2H Spread -8.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 50 | Washington 1H O/U 20.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 51 | O/U 50.5 | 5350.0% | $4.6K | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 52 | 3Q Spread -7.5 | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 53 | 1H Spread -13.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 54 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 55 | Spread -23.5 | 5150.0% | $11.0K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 56 | 2Q Spread -5.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 57 | Washington State O/U 13.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 58 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 59 | Washington State 2H O/U 7.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 60 | Dezmen Roebuck: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 61 | Tony Freeman: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 62 | Maxwell Woods: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 63 | Washington State O/U 1.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 64 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | 2H Spread -10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | 1Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | 1Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 1Q Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | 1Q Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | 1Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | 2Q Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | 2Q Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | 3Q Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Washington 1H O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Washington 1H O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Washington State 1H O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Washington State 1H O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Washington 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Washington 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Washington 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Washington State 2H O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Washington State 2H O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Washington State 2H O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Washington State 2H O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Washington 2H O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Washington State O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Quaid Carr: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Jayden Limar: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Kirby Vorhees: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Christian Moss: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Trey Cooley: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Decker DeGraaf: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Tank Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Leo Pulalasi: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Jordan Dees: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Chris Lawson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Washington State O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Washington State O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Washington O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Washington O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Washington O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | 4Q Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | 2Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | O/U 51.5 | 4950.0% | $1.4K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 111 | Washington State 2H O/U 5.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 112 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 113 | Washington 2H O/U 13.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 114 | Washington 2H O/U 15.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 115 | Washington 2H O/U 17.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 116 | Washington O/U 4.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 117 | Demond Williams Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 118 | Rashid Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 119 | Caden Pinnick: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 120 | Darrius Clemons: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 121 | Daniel Blood: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 122 | Jack Pedersen: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 123 | Washington State O/U 0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 124 | Washington O/U 0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 125 | 3Q Spread -8.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 126 | 1Q Spread -9.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 127 | Spread -24.5 | 4750.0% | $145 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 128 | 1Q Spread -7.5 | 4750.0% | $359 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 129 | 2H Spread -11.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 130 | O/U 52.5 | 4650.0% | $594 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 131 | 1H Spread -14.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 132 | 2Q Spread -7.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 133 | 1H Spread -15.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 134 | 1H Spread -16.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 135 | Washington O/U 39.5 | 4350.0% | — | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 136 | O/U 54.5 | 4300.0% | — | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 137 | Spread -27.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 138 | 2H Spread -12.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 139 | Washington O/U 40.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 140 | Washington State O/U 16.5 | 3750.0% | $650 | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 141 | O/U 56.5 | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 142 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 143 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 144 | O/U 58.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 145 | Washington O/U 42.5 | 3150.0% | $2.5K | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 146 | Washington O/U 43.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 147 | Spread -31.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 148 | 4Q Spread -6.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 149 | Washington State O/U 19.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 150 | O/U 60.5 | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 151 | 4Q Spread -7.5 | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 152 | Spread -34.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 153 | O/U 62.5 | 2200.0% | — | 2200¢ | -2100¢ |
| 154 | O/U 64.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 155 | O/U 66.5 | 1500.0% | — | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 156 | O/U 68.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 157 | 1H Moneyline | 1150.0% | $1.3K | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 158 | O/U 70.5 | 1100.0% | — | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 159 | Washington State vs. Washington | 650.0% | $56.2K | 650¢ | -550¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 4:00PM ET:
If Washington State wins, the market will resolve to "Washington State".
If Washington wins, the market will resolve to "Washington".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 6, 2026
- 06:37 AM——$6.81
Sold 7.4 Washington for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.92
- 06:35 AM——$6.89
Bought 7.408601 Washington for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.93
- 06:28 AM——$1.65
Sold 23.5 Washington State for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.07
- 06:11 AMMOmooseborzoi$7.45
Bought 8.01 Washington for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.93
- 06:01 AMMOmooseborzoi$164.00
Bought 176.34 Washington for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.93
- 05:49 AMLUluckyguy168$1.00
Bought 1.85185 Washington for Spread: Washington (-22.5) at 0.54
- 05:49 AMLUluckyguy168$1.00
Bought 1.85185 Washington for Spread: Washington (-22.5) at 0.54
- 05:29 AMMOmooseborzoi$181.70
Bought 195.38 Washington for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.93
- 05:26 AMPMpmt-quiet-owl$26.04
Bought 28 Washington for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.93
- 05:19 AMTITimPenis$2.31
Bought 28.875 Washington State for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.08
- 05:15 AMSHshisushi$321.23
Bought 345.41 Washington for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.93
- 04:49 AMMOmooseborzoi$48.36
Bought 96.72 Washington State for Spread: Washington (-23.5) at 0.5
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r事件損益
+$85.54
成交量
$12,708.89
持倉數
WashingtonWashington StateUnder
MO2
mooseborzoi事件損益
-$77.66
成交量
$9,968.36
持倉數
OverWashington StateUnder+4
HO3
HomeRunHazard事件損益
+$58.99
成交量
$5,149.08
持倉數
WashingtonOverOver+2
JU4
JUSTINHERBERTMVP事件損益
-$42.10
成交量
$4,781.00
持倉數
WashingtonWashingtonWashington
LI5
LiquidatedDegen事件損益
-$3.57
成交量
$3,571.43
持倉數
Washington StateWashington State
CA6
CAcap事件損益
+$2.71
成交量
$2,092.40
持倉數
Washington StateUnder
CH7
chaeri事件損益
-$69.83
成交量
$1,949.15
持倉數
OverWashington State
SN8
SnakeBall事件損益
-$7.23
成交量
$1,635.88
持倉數
WashingtonOverWashington State+1
常見問題
目前市場對「Washington State vs. Washington」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，Spread -0.5 以 9,400% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 30.5（9,400%），以及 Spread -1.5（9,300%）。該市場總成交量已達 $67.7K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。