
Virginia vs. Florida State
核心摘要
根據「Virginia vs. Florida State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Spread -0.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -1.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $415K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Spread -0.5 (9,995%):Spread -0.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $163 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -1.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -1.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
- Spread -2.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Spread -3.5 (9,995%)、Spread -4.5 (9,995%),以及 Spread -5.5 (9,995%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -6.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -0.5 | 9995.0% | $163 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Spread -1.5 | 9995.0% | $100 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Spread -2.5 | 9995.0% | $275 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Spread -3.5 | 9995.0% | $5.6K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Spread -4.5 | 9995.0% | $7.6K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | Spread -5.5 | 9995.0% | $9.7K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 7 | Spread -6.5 | 9995.0% | $7.8K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 8 | Spread -7.5 | 9995.0% | $959 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 9 | Spread -8.5 | 9995.0% | $10 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 10 | Spread -10.5 | 9995.0% | $698 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 11 | Spread -13.5 | 9995.0% | $320 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 12 | Spread -14.5 | 9995.0% | $3.0K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 13 | Spread -16.5 | 9995.0% | $5.8K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 14 | Spread -17.5 | 9995.0% | $20 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 15 | Spread -20.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 16 | O/U 41.5 | 9995.0% | $5 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 17 | O/U 43.5 | 9995.0% | $350 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 18 | Florida State O/U 32.5 | 9955.0% | — | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 19 | Florida State 2H O/U 14.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 20 | Florida State 2H O/U 16.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5550.0% | — | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5550.0% | — | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 23 | Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 24 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 25 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 26 | Florida State O/U 3.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 27 | Florida State O/U 2.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 28 | Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 29 | Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 30 | Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 31 | Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 32 | Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 33 | Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 34 | Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 35 | Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 36 | Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 37 | Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 38 | Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Virginia vs. Florida State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 41 | Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 42 | Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 43 | Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 44 | Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 45 | Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 46 | Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 47 | Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 48 | Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 49 | Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 50 | Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 51 | Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 52 | Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 53 | Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 54 | Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 55 | Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 56 | Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 57 | Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 58 | Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 59 | Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 60 | Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 61 | Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 62 | Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 63 | Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 64 | Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 65 | Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 66 | Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 67 | Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 68 | Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 69 | Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 70 | Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 71 | Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 72 | Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 73 | Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 74 | Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 75 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 76 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 77 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 78 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 79 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 80 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 81 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 82 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 83 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 84 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 85 | Virginia 2H O/U 11.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 86 | Virginia 2H O/U 13.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 87 | Virginia 2H O/U 15.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 88 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 89 | Pick-Six Scored | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 90 | Game Goes to Overtime | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 91 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 92 | Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 93 | Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 94 | Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 95 | Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 96 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 97 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 98 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 99 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 100 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 101 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 102 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 103 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 104 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 105 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 106 | 2H Moneyline | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 107 | Virginia O/U 3.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 108 | 4Q Moneyline | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 109 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 110 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 111 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 112 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 113 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 114 | Virginia O/U 23.5 | 50.0% | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 115 | O/U 57.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 116 | O/U 59.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 117 | O/U 61.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 118 | O/U 63.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 119 | O/U 65.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 120 | O/U 67.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 121 | O/U 69.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 122 | O/U 71.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 123 | O/U 75.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 124 | Virginia O/U 20.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 125 | Virginia O/U 26.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 126 | Virginia O/U 32.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 127 | O/U 73.5 | 40.0% | — | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 128 | Virginia vs. Florida State | 5.0% | $257.0K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 129 | Spread -20.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 130 | Spread -17.5 | 5.0% | $20 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 131 | Spread -16.5 | 5.0% | $5.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 132 | Spread -14.5 | 5.0% | $3.0K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 133 | Spread -13.5 | 5.0% | $320 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 134 | Spread -10.5 | 5.0% | $698 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 135 | Spread -8.5 | 5.0% | $10 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 136 | Spread -7.5 | 5.0% | $959 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 137 | Spread -6.5 | 5.0% | $7.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 138 | Spread -5.5 | 5.0% | $9.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 139 | Spread -4.5 | 5.0% | $7.6K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 140 | Spread -3.5 | 5.0% | $5.6K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 141 | Spread -2.5 | 5.0% | $275 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 142 | Spread -1.5 | 5.0% | $100 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 143 | Spread -0.5 | 5.0% | $163 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 144 | O/U 45.5 | 5.0% | $5 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 145 | O/U 47.5 | 5.0% | $3.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 146 | O/U 49.5 | 5.0% | $19.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 147 | O/U 51.5 | 5.0% | $29.0K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 148 | O/U 53.5 | 5.0% | $15.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 149 | O/U 55.5 | 5.0% | $403 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 150 | Virginia O/U 29.5 | 5.0% | $5 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Virginia and Florida State, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Virginia" if Virginia win the game.
This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 3, 2026
- 09:43 PMINInAirdropWeTrust$5.40
Bought 21.6 Under for Virginia vs. Florida State: O/U 43.5 at 0.25
- 09:43 PMFIFierceMeadow250$5.40
Bought 21.6 Under for Virginia vs. Florida State: O/U 43.5 at 0.25
- 09:41 PM656512395314597884$0.88
Bought 0.94 Florida State for Spread: Virginia (-7.5) at 0.94
- 09:39 PMBIBillBenter2026$15.48
Bought 18 Florida State for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.86
- 09:39 PMTAtakeormake$2.40
Bought 16 Virginia for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.15
- 09:38 PMDIdips.$15.99
Bought 17.013716 Florida State for Spread: Virginia (-7.5) at 0.94
- 09:36 PMCHchux.cc$35.07
Bought 41.75 Florida State for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.84
- 09:36 PMROrolexsanta$3.50
Bought 20.588236 Virginia for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.17
- 09:36 PMETethanaz$8,722.17
Bought 10508.64 Florida State for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.83
- 09:35 PM——$1.01
Sold 1.23 Florida State for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.82
- 09:35 PMPAPainfulvoid$18,500.00
Bought 22289.156623 Florida State for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.83
- 09:35 PMBIBillBenter2026$48.97
Bought 59 Florida State for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.83
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Virginia vs. Florida State」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Spread -0.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,995%),以及 Spread -2.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $415K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
