Virginia vs. Florida State

$415K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
機率趨勢
Florida State 100.0%
Virginia 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Virginia vs. Florida State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Spread -0.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -1.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $415K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Spread -0.5 (9,995%):Spread -0.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $163 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -1.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Spread -2.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -3.5 (9,995%)、Spread -4.5 (9,995%),以及 Spread -5.5 (9,995%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -6.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Spread -0.59995.0%$1639995¢-9895¢
2Spread -1.59995.0%$1009995¢-9895¢
3Spread -2.59995.0%$2759995¢-9895¢
4Spread -3.59995.0%$5.6K9995¢-9895¢
5Spread -4.59995.0%$7.6K9995¢-9895¢
6Spread -5.59995.0%$9.7K9995¢-9895¢
7Spread -6.59995.0%$7.8K9995¢-9895¢
8Spread -7.59995.0%$9599995¢-9895¢
9Spread -8.59995.0%$109995¢-9895¢
10Spread -10.59995.0%$6989995¢-9895¢
11Spread -13.59995.0%$3209995¢-9895¢
12Spread -14.59995.0%$3.0K9995¢-9895¢
13Spread -16.59995.0%$5.8K9995¢-9895¢
14Spread -17.59995.0%$209995¢-9895¢
15Spread -20.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
16O/U 41.59995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
17O/U 43.59995.0%$3509995¢-9895¢
18Florida State O/U 32.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
19Florida State 2H O/U 14.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
20Florida State 2H O/U 16.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
21Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
22Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
23Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
242H Spread -1.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
254Q Spread -1.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
26Florida State O/U 3.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
27Florida State O/U 2.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
28Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
29Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
30Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
31Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
32Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
33Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
34Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
35Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
36Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
37Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
38Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Virginia vs. Florida State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
41Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
42Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
43Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
44Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
45Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
46Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
47Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
48Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
49Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
50Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
51Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
52Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
53Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
54Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
55Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
56Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
57Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
58Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
59Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
60Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
61Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
62Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
63Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
64Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
65Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
66Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
67Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 19.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
68Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
69Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 14.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
70Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
71Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 24.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
72Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
73Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
74Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 23.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
752H O/U 21.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
762H O/U 24.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
772H O/U 27.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
782H O/U 30.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
792H O/U 33.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
804Q O/U 7.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
814Q O/U 10.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
824Q O/U 13.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
834Q O/U 16.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
844Q O/U 19.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
85Virginia 2H O/U 11.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
86Virginia 2H O/U 13.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
87Virginia 2H O/U 15.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
88Both Teams to Score Points - Q44700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
89Pick-Six Scored4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
90Game Goes to Overtime4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
91Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
92Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
93Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
94Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
95Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
962H Spread -5.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
972H Spread -3.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
982H Spread -2.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
992H Spread -1.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1002H Spread -0.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1014Q Spread -5.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1024Q Spread -3.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1034Q Spread -2.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1044Q Spread -1.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1054Q Spread -0.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1062H Moneyline4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
107Virginia O/U 3.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1084Q Moneyline4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
109Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q24450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
110Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H4450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
111Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q14450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
112Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q44450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
113Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q34450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
114Virginia O/U 23.550.0%$550¢50¢
115O/U 57.545.0%—45¢55¢
116O/U 59.545.0%—45¢55¢
117O/U 61.545.0%—45¢55¢
118O/U 63.545.0%—45¢55¢
119O/U 65.545.0%—45¢55¢
120O/U 67.545.0%—45¢55¢
121O/U 69.545.0%—45¢55¢
122O/U 71.545.0%—45¢55¢
123O/U 75.545.0%—45¢55¢
124Virginia O/U 20.545.0%—45¢55¢
125Virginia O/U 26.545.0%—45¢55¢
126Virginia O/U 32.545.0%—45¢55¢
127O/U 73.540.0%—40¢60¢
128Virginia vs. Florida State5.0%$257.0K5¢95¢
129Spread -20.55.0%—5¢95¢
130Spread -17.55.0%$205¢95¢
131Spread -16.55.0%$5.8K5¢95¢
132Spread -14.55.0%$3.0K5¢95¢
133Spread -13.55.0%$3205¢95¢
134Spread -10.55.0%$6985¢95¢
135Spread -8.55.0%$105¢95¢
136Spread -7.55.0%$9595¢95¢
137Spread -6.55.0%$7.8K5¢95¢
138Spread -5.55.0%$9.7K5¢95¢
139Spread -4.55.0%$7.6K5¢95¢
140Spread -3.55.0%$5.6K5¢95¢
141Spread -2.55.0%$2755¢95¢
142Spread -1.55.0%$1005¢95¢
143Spread -0.55.0%$1635¢95¢
144O/U 45.55.0%$55¢95¢
145O/U 47.55.0%$3.4K5¢95¢
146O/U 49.55.0%$19.8K5¢95¢
147O/U 51.55.0%$29.0K5¢95¢
148O/U 53.55.0%$15.7K5¢95¢
149O/U 55.55.0%$4035¢95¢
150Virginia O/U 29.55.0%$55¢95¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Virginia and Florida State, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Virginia" if Virginia win the game.

This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 09:43 PM
    INInAirdropWeTrust
    $5.40

    Bought 21.6 Under for Virginia vs. Florida State: O/U 43.5 at 0.25

  • 09:43 PM
    FIFierceMeadow250
    $5.40

    Bought 21.6 Under for Virginia vs. Florida State: O/U 43.5 at 0.25

  • 09:41 PM
    656512395314597884
    $0.88

    Bought 0.94 Florida State for Spread: Virginia (-7.5) at 0.94

  • 09:39 PM
    BIBillBenter2026
    $15.48

    Bought 18 Florida State for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.86

  • 09:39 PM
    TAtakeormake
    $2.40

    Bought 16 Virginia for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.15

  • 09:38 PM
    DIdips.
    $15.99

    Bought 17.013716 Florida State for Spread: Virginia (-7.5) at 0.94

  • 09:36 PM
    CHchux.cc
    $35.07

    Bought 41.75 Florida State for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.84

  • 09:36 PM
    ROrolexsanta
    $3.50

    Bought 20.588236 Virginia for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.17

  • 09:36 PM
    ETethanaz
    $8,722.17

    Bought 10508.64 Florida State for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.83

  • 09:35 PM
    ——
    $1.01

    Sold 1.23 Florida State for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.82

  • 09:35 PM
    PAPainfulvoid
    $18,500.00

    Bought 22289.156623 Florida State for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.83

  • 09:35 PM
    BIBillBenter2026
    $48.97

    Bought 59 Florida State for Virginia vs. Florida State at 0.83

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

MO1
mooseborzoi
事件損益
+$620.96
成交量
$24,693.00
持倉數
Florida StateFlorida StateOver+1
MO2
mooseborzoii
事件損益
-$156.44
成交量
$10,614.62
持倉數
VirginiaUnder
IM3
imjustkenisghey
事件損益
-$220.42
成交量
$8,816.71
持倉數
Virginia
HO4
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
-$65.14
成交量
$5,691.29
持倉數
VirginiaVirginiaFlorida State
TO5
tomb2456
事件損益
+$115.05
成交量
$4,602.00
持倉數
Florida StateFlorida StateFlorida State+1
IC6
ic4cream
事件損益
-$21.37
成交量
$4,273.00
持倉數
Virginia
JA7
JAMJAMJAM4
事件損益
-$20.00
成交量
$4,000.00
持倉數
Over
658
6512395314597884
事件損益
-$89.78
成交量
$3,591.00
持倉數
Virginia

常見問題

目前市場對「Virginia vs. Florida State」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Spread -0.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,995%),以及 Spread -2.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $415K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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