USC vs. Penn State

$586.8K Vol
2026年10月11日
Active
機率趨勢
USC 50.5%
Penn State 49.5%

核心摘要

根據「USC vs. Penn State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 37.5 以壓倒性的 9,860% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 43.5 以 9,830% 位居第二,O/U 47.5 以 9,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $586.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 37.5 (9,860%):O/U 37.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,860¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $28 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 43.5 (9,830%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 43.5 保持著 9,830% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,830¢。
  • O/U 47.5 (9,250%):以 9,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 47.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 49.5 (9,150%)、USC O/U 20.5 (9,150%),以及 USC O/U 23.5 (8,900%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 51.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 37.59860.0%$289860¢-9760¢
2O/U 43.59830.0%—9830¢-9730¢
3O/U 47.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
4O/U 49.59150.0%$4069150¢-9050¢
5USC O/U 20.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
6USC O/U 23.58900.0%—8900¢-8800¢
7O/U 51.58750.0%$8518750¢-8650¢
84Q O/U 7.58550.0%—8550¢-8450¢
9O/U 53.58500.0%$2.5K8500¢-8400¢
10Penn State O/U 23.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
11O/U 45.58000.0%$138000¢-7900¢
12O/U 41.57795.0%$57795¢-7695¢
13O/U 55.57400.0%$44.1K7400¢-7300¢
144Q O/U 10.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
15Spread -0.57100.0%$6997100¢-7000¢
163Q O/U 7.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
17O/U 57.56650.0%$8.7K6650¢-6550¢
182H O/U 30.56500.0%$1496500¢-6400¢
19O/U 63.56000.0%$1626000¢-5900¢
20O/U 59.55950.0%$1.6K5950¢-5850¢
214Q O/U 13.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
22O/U 35.55305.0%—5305¢-5205¢
233Q O/U 16.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
24USC vs. Penn State5150.0%$457.9K5150¢-5050¢
25Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
26Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
27Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
28O/U 39.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29O/U 61.55000.0%$6265000¢-4900¢
302H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
312H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33USC O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34USC O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Penn State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Penn State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Penn State O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38USC 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39USC 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40USC 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Penn State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Penn State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Penn State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85USC Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86USC Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87USC Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90USC Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92USC Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93USC Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96USC Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97USC Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98USC Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101USC vs. Penn State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102USC vs. Penn State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103USC vs. Penn State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1042H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1052H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1062H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1073Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1083Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1093Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1104Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1114Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1124Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1132H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114USC O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1151H Moneyline5000.0%$4715000¢-4900¢
1162Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1173Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1184Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Spread -0.54950.0%$6994950¢-4850¢
120USC O/U 32.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
121Penn State O/U 32.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1222H Spread -1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1233Q Spread -1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
124Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
125Penn State O/U 3.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
126Spread -1.54700.0%$14.2K4700¢-4600¢
127Spread -1.54700.0%$14.2K4700¢-4600¢
128Spread -2.54550.0%$10.1K4550¢-4450¢
1292H O/U 27.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1303Q Spread -2.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
131Spread -2.54350.0%$10.1K4350¢-4250¢
1324Q O/U 16.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1334Q Spread -1.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
1343Q O/U 10.53750.0%$103750¢-3650¢
1352H Spread -3.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
136Spread -3.53700.0%$1.2K3700¢-3600¢
137O/U 69.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
1384Q Spread -2.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
1392H Spread -3.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
140O/U 71.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
1413Q O/U 13.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
1424Q O/U 19.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
143Spread -3.53050.0%$1.2K3050¢-2950¢
144Spread -8.53050.0%$53050¢-2950¢
145O/U 67.53050.0%$1.0K3050¢-2950¢
146O/U 65.53000.0%$123000¢-2900¢
147Spread -4.52900.0%$1.2K2900¢-2800¢
148Spread -5.52750.0%$8622750¢-2650¢
149Spread -4.52650.0%$1.2K2650¢-2550¢
150Spread -5.52550.0%$8622550¢-2450¢
151Spread -6.52450.0%$4.4K2450¢-2350¢
1524Q Spread -3.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
153Spread -6.52300.0%$4.4K2300¢-2200¢
1543Q Spread -3.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
155O/U 75.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
156Spread -7.51700.0%$101700¢-1600¢
157Spread -7.51700.0%$101700¢-1600¢
1583Q O/U 19.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
159O/U 73.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
160Spread -8.51300.0%$51300¢-1200¢
161Spread -10.51200.0%$1.4K1200¢-1100¢
162Spread -10.51000.0%$1.4K1000¢-900¢
163Spread -20.5950.0%$49950¢-850¢
164Spread -13.5900.0%$9900¢-800¢
165Spread -13.5750.0%$9750¢-650¢
166Spread -14.5700.0%$75700¢-600¢
167Spread -14.5650.0%$75650¢-550¢
168Spread -17.5595.0%$895595¢-495¢
169Spread -17.5590.0%$895590¢-490¢
170Spread -16.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
171Spread -16.5495.0%—495¢-395¢
172Spread -20.5470.0%$49470¢-370¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between USC and Penn State, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game.

This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 11:26 PM
    WIWilliMekkit
    $2.65

    Bought 5 USC for USC vs. Penn State: 1H Moneyline at 0.53

  • 11:26 PM
    ——
    $224.68

    Bought 423.924529 USC for USC vs. Penn State: 1H Moneyline at 0.53

  • 11:26 PM
    ——
    $21.66

    Bought 41.65 USC for USC vs. Penn State: 1H Moneyline at 0.52

  • 11:25 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $4.60

    Bought 10 USC for 1H Spread: USC (-1.5) at 0.46

  • 10:05 PM
    GCgczap3344
    $4.00

    Bought 7.54717 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.53

  • 10:02 PM
    PEPEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN
    $1,422.11

    Bought 2734.83 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52

  • 10:02 PM
    MImircnda
    $243.05

    Bought 467.4 USC for Spread: Penn State (-1.5) at 0.52

  • 10:00 PM
    EFEfb1
    $20.00

    Bought 40 USC for USC vs. Penn State at 0.5

  • 09:59 PM
    SCscscsa
    $2.60

    Bought 5 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52

  • 09:59 PM
    MAMasterSparks69
    $8.49

    Bought 16.326922 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52

  • 09:59 PM
    0X0x0abdea0ECe95A
    $4.32

    Bought 8.307693 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52

  • 09:59 PM
    NInigiri99
    $512.20

    Bought 985 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

GM1
gmpm2
事件損益
+$148.81
成交量
$17,829.83
持倉數
USC
MO2
mooseborzoii
事件損益
+$113.58
成交量
$8,468.51
持倉數
USCPenn StateOver+2
CH3
ChampGamp
事件損益
-$291.66
成交量
$8,333.33
持倉數
Penn State
KI4
kingflop
事件損益
-$16.82
成交量
$6,486.54
持倉數
OverPenn State
PE5
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN
事件損益
+$30.59
成交量
$6,116.75
持倉數
Under
BO6
BoggsFromShawshank
事件損益
+$204.07
成交量
$5,830.70
持倉數
USC
JA7
JAMJAMJAM4
事件損益
-$85.99
成交量
$5,732.99
持倉數
Penn State
HO8
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$4.76
成交量
$3,581.39
持倉數
OverOverPenn State+2

常見問題

目前市場對「USC vs. Penn State」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 37.5 以 9,860% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 43.5(9,830%),以及 O/U 47.5(9,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $586.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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