
USC vs. Penn State
核心摘要
根據「USC vs. Penn State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,O/U 37.5 以壓倒性的 9,860% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 43.5 以 9,830% 位居第二,O/U 47.5 以 9,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $586.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- O/U 37.5 (9,860%):O/U 37.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,860¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $28 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- O/U 43.5 (9,830%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 43.5 保持著 9,830% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,830¢。
- O/U 47.5 (9,250%):以 9,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 47.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 O/U 49.5 (9,150%)、USC O/U 20.5 (9,150%),以及 USC O/U 23.5 (8,900%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 51.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 37.5 | 9860.0% | $28 | 9860¢ | -9760¢ |
| 2 | O/U 43.5 | 9830.0% | — | 9830¢ | -9730¢ |
| 3 | O/U 47.5 | 9250.0% | — | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 4 | O/U 49.5 | 9150.0% | $406 | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 5 | USC O/U 20.5 | 9150.0% | — | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 6 | USC O/U 23.5 | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 7 | O/U 51.5 | 8750.0% | $851 | 8750¢ | -8650¢ |
| 8 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 8550.0% | — | 8550¢ | -8450¢ |
| 9 | O/U 53.5 | 8500.0% | $2.5K | 8500¢ | -8400¢ |
| 10 | Penn State O/U 23.5 | 8400.0% | — | 8400¢ | -8300¢ |
| 11 | O/U 45.5 | 8000.0% | $13 | 8000¢ | -7900¢ |
| 12 | O/U 41.5 | 7795.0% | $5 | 7795¢ | -7695¢ |
| 13 | O/U 55.5 | 7400.0% | $44.1K | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 14 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 7200.0% | — | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 15 | Spread -0.5 | 7100.0% | $699 | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 16 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 6900.0% | — | 6900¢ | -6800¢ |
| 17 | O/U 57.5 | 6650.0% | $8.7K | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 18 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 6500.0% | $149 | 6500¢ | -6400¢ |
| 19 | O/U 63.5 | 6000.0% | $162 | 6000¢ | -5900¢ |
| 20 | O/U 59.5 | 5950.0% | $1.6K | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 21 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 22 | O/U 35.5 | 5305.0% | — | 5305¢ | -5205¢ |
| 23 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 24 | USC vs. Penn State | 5150.0% | $457.9K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 25 | Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 26 | Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 27 | Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 28 | O/U 39.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | O/U 61.5 | 5000.0% | $626 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | USC O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | USC O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Penn State O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Penn State O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Penn State O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | USC 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | USC 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | USC 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Penn State 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Penn State 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Penn State 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | USC Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | USC Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | USC Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | USC Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | USC Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | USC Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | USC Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | USC Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | USC Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | USC vs. Penn State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | USC vs. Penn State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | USC vs. Penn State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | USC O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | 1H Moneyline | 5000.0% | $471 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Spread -0.5 | 4950.0% | $699 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 120 | USC O/U 32.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 121 | Penn State O/U 32.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 122 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 123 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 124 | Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 125 | Penn State O/U 3.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 126 | Spread -1.5 | 4700.0% | $14.2K | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 127 | Spread -1.5 | 4700.0% | $14.2K | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 128 | Spread -2.5 | 4550.0% | $10.1K | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 129 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 130 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 131 | Spread -2.5 | 4350.0% | $10.1K | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 132 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 133 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 4000.0% | — | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 134 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 3750.0% | $10 | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 135 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 136 | Spread -3.5 | 3700.0% | $1.2K | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 137 | O/U 69.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 138 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 139 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 140 | O/U 71.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 141 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 142 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 143 | Spread -3.5 | 3050.0% | $1.2K | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 144 | Spread -8.5 | 3050.0% | $5 | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 145 | O/U 67.5 | 3050.0% | $1.0K | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 146 | O/U 65.5 | 3000.0% | $12 | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 147 | Spread -4.5 | 2900.0% | $1.2K | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 148 | Spread -5.5 | 2750.0% | $862 | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 149 | Spread -4.5 | 2650.0% | $1.2K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 150 | Spread -5.5 | 2550.0% | $862 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 151 | Spread -6.5 | 2450.0% | $4.4K | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 152 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 2400.0% | — | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 153 | Spread -6.5 | 2300.0% | $4.4K | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 154 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 2150.0% | — | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 155 | O/U 75.5 | 1950.0% | — | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 156 | Spread -7.5 | 1700.0% | $10 | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 157 | Spread -7.5 | 1700.0% | $10 | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 158 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 1600.0% | — | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 159 | O/U 73.5 | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 160 | Spread -8.5 | 1300.0% | $5 | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 161 | Spread -10.5 | 1200.0% | $1.4K | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 162 | Spread -10.5 | 1000.0% | $1.4K | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 163 | Spread -20.5 | 950.0% | $49 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 164 | Spread -13.5 | 900.0% | $9 | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 165 | Spread -13.5 | 750.0% | $9 | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 166 | Spread -14.5 | 700.0% | $75 | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 167 | Spread -14.5 | 650.0% | $75 | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 168 | Spread -17.5 | 595.0% | $895 | 595¢ | -495¢ |
| 169 | Spread -17.5 | 590.0% | $895 | 590¢ | -490¢ |
| 170 | Spread -16.5 | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 171 | Spread -16.5 | 495.0% | — | 495¢ | -395¢ |
| 172 | Spread -20.5 | 470.0% | $49 | 470¢ | -370¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between USC and Penn State, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game.
This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 10, 2026
- 11:26 PMWIWilliMekkit$2.65
Bought 5 USC for USC vs. Penn State: 1H Moneyline at 0.53
- 11:26 PM——$224.68
Bought 423.924529 USC for USC vs. Penn State: 1H Moneyline at 0.53
- 11:26 PM——$21.66
Bought 41.65 USC for USC vs. Penn State: 1H Moneyline at 0.52
- 11:25 PMFOForecastication2$4.60
Bought 10 USC for 1H Spread: USC (-1.5) at 0.46
- 10:05 PMGCgczap3344$4.00
Bought 7.54717 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.53
- 10:02 PMPEPEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN$1,422.11
Bought 2734.83 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52
- 10:02 PMMImircnda$243.05
Bought 467.4 USC for Spread: Penn State (-1.5) at 0.52
- 10:00 PMEFEfb1$20.00
Bought 40 USC for USC vs. Penn State at 0.5
- 09:59 PMSCscscsa$2.60
Bought 5 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52
- 09:59 PMMAMasterSparks69$8.49
Bought 16.326922 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52
- 09:59 PM0X0x0abdea0ECe95A$4.32
Bought 8.307693 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52
- 09:59 PMNInigiri99$512.20
Bought 985 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「USC vs. Penn State」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,O/U 37.5 以 9,860% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 43.5(9,830%),以及 O/U 47.5(9,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $586.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
