
UMass vs. Sacramento State
核心摘要
根據「UMass vs. Sacramento State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Spread -7.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -6.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Spread -5.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $427.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Spread -7.5 (9,995%):Spread -7.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $160 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -6.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -6.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
- Spread -5.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -5.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Spread -4.5 (9,995%)、Spread -3.5 (9,995%),以及 Spread -2.5 (9,995%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -7.5 | 9995.0% | $160 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Spread -6.5 | 9995.0% | $16.4K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Spread -5.5 | 9995.0% | $98.7K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Spread -4.5 | 9995.0% | $105.1K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Spread -3.5 | 9995.0% | $26.0K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | Spread -2.5 | 9995.0% | $650 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 7 | Spread -1.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 8 | Spread -0.5 | 9995.0% | $1 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 9 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 10 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 11 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 12 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 13 | UMass O/U 3.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 14 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | UMass Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | UMass Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | UMass Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | UMass Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | UMass Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | UMass Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 74 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 75 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 76 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 77 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 78 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 79 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 80 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 81 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 82 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 83 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 84 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 85 | Sacramento State 2H O/U 9.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 86 | Sacramento State 2H O/U 11.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 87 | Sacramento State O/U 2.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 88 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 89 | Sacramento State O/U 15.5 | 45.0% | $50 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 90 | Sacramento State O/U 18.5 | 45.0% | $50 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 91 | Sacramento State O/U 24.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 92 | Sacramento State O/U 27.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 93 | Spread -0.5 | 5.0% | $1 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 94 | Spread -1.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 95 | Spread -6.5 | 5.0% | $16.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 96 | Spread -9.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 97 | Spread -10.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 98 | Spread -12.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 99 | Spread -13.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 100 | O/U 46.5 | 5.0% | $15.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 101 | Sacramento State O/U 21.5 | 5.0% | $200 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between UMass and Sacramento State, scheduled for September 26 at 9:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game.
This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacramento State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 26, 2026
- 10:28 PMNInigiri99$24.75
Bought 45 UMass for 1H Spread: UMass (-2.5) at 0.55
- 10:27 PMUPUpTheBlues$36.00
Bought 180 UMass for Spread: UMass (-17.5) at 0.2
- 10:25 PMHOHomeRunHazard$421.51
Bought 843.01 UMass for Spread: UMass (-4.5) at 0.5
- 10:24 PMNIninemmmm$4.00
Bought 20 UMass for Spread: UMass (-17.5) at 0.2
- 10:24 PMUPUpTheBlues$55.80
Bought 180 UMass for Spread: UMass (-11.5) at 0.31
- 10:24 PMUPUpTheBlues$45.00
Bought 180 UMass for Spread: UMass (-14.5) at 0.25
- 10:24 PMUPUpTheBlues$6.46
Bought 8.5 UMass for Spread: Sacramento State (-4.5) at 0.76
- 10:24 PMUPUpTheBlues$22.20
Bought 30 UMass for Spread: Sacramento State (-3.5) at 0.74
- 10:24 PMHOHomeRunHazard$22.00
Bought 50 UMass for Spread: UMass (-6.5) at 0.44
- 10:24 PMUPUpTheBlues$1.90
Bought 5 UMass for Spread: UMass (-7.5) at 0.38
- 10:24 PMUPUpTheBlues$144.39
Bought 687.571429 UMass for Spread: UMass (-17.5) at 0.21
- 10:24 PMUPUpTheBlues$35.91
Bought 171 UMass for Spread: UMass (-17.5) at 0.21
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「UMass vs. Sacramento State」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Spread -7.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -6.5(9,995%),以及 Spread -5.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $427.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
