UMass vs. Sacramento State

$427.6K Vol
2026年9月27日
Active
機率趨勢
UMass 100.0%
Sacramento State 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「UMass vs. Sacramento State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Spread -7.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -6.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Spread -5.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $427.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Spread -7.5 (9,995%):Spread -7.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $160 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -6.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -6.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Spread -5.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -5.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -4.5 (9,995%)、Spread -3.5 (9,995%),以及 Spread -2.5 (9,995%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Spread -7.59995.0%$1609995¢-9895¢
2Spread -6.59995.0%$16.4K9995¢-9895¢
3Spread -5.59995.0%$98.7K9995¢-9895¢
4Spread -4.59995.0%$105.1K9995¢-9895¢
5Spread -3.59995.0%$26.0K9995¢-9895¢
6Spread -2.59995.0%$6509995¢-9895¢
7Spread -1.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
8Spread -0.59995.0%$19995¢-9895¢
92H Spread -3.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
102H Spread -2.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
112H Spread -1.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
122H Spread -0.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
13UMass O/U 3.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
144Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58UMass Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59UMass Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60UMass Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64UMass Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65UMass Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67UMass Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
732H Spread -1.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
744Q Spread -5.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
754Q Spread -3.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
764Q Spread -2.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
774Q Spread -1.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
784Q Spread -0.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
794Q Spread -1.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
804Q O/U 7.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
814Q O/U 10.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
824Q O/U 13.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
834Q O/U 16.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
844Q O/U 19.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
85Sacramento State 2H O/U 9.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
86Sacramento State 2H O/U 11.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
87Sacramento State O/U 2.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
88Both Teams to Score Points - Q44700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
89Sacramento State O/U 15.545.0%$5045¢55¢
90Sacramento State O/U 18.545.0%$5045¢55¢
91Sacramento State O/U 24.545.0%—45¢55¢
92Sacramento State O/U 27.545.0%—45¢55¢
93Spread -0.55.0%$15¢95¢
94Spread -1.55.0%—5¢95¢
95Spread -6.55.0%$16.4K5¢95¢
96Spread -9.55.0%—5¢95¢
97Spread -10.55.0%—5¢95¢
98Spread -12.55.0%—5¢95¢
99Spread -13.55.0%—5¢95¢
100O/U 46.55.0%$15.1K5¢95¢
101Sacramento State O/U 21.55.0%$2005¢95¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between UMass and Sacramento State, scheduled for September 26 at 9:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game.

This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacramento State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 10:28 PM
    NInigiri99
    $24.75

    Bought 45 UMass for 1H Spread: UMass (-2.5) at 0.55

  • 10:27 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $36.00

    Bought 180 UMass for Spread: UMass (-17.5) at 0.2

  • 10:25 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $421.51

    Bought 843.01 UMass for Spread: UMass (-4.5) at 0.5

  • 10:24 PM
    NIninemmmm
    $4.00

    Bought 20 UMass for Spread: UMass (-17.5) at 0.2

  • 10:24 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $55.80

    Bought 180 UMass for Spread: UMass (-11.5) at 0.31

  • 10:24 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $45.00

    Bought 180 UMass for Spread: UMass (-14.5) at 0.25

  • 10:24 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $6.46

    Bought 8.5 UMass for Spread: Sacramento State (-4.5) at 0.76

  • 10:24 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $22.20

    Bought 30 UMass for Spread: Sacramento State (-3.5) at 0.74

  • 10:24 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $22.00

    Bought 50 UMass for Spread: UMass (-6.5) at 0.44

  • 10:24 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $1.90

    Bought 5 UMass for Spread: UMass (-7.5) at 0.38

  • 10:24 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $144.39

    Bought 687.571429 UMass for Spread: UMass (-17.5) at 0.21

  • 10:24 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $35.91

    Bought 171 UMass for Spread: UMass (-17.5) at 0.21

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

HO1
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$127.10
成交量
$23,367.16
持倉數
UnderUMassUMass+5
WR2
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件損益
-$139.24
成交量
$10,019.66
持倉數
UnderSacramento State
ES3
esportsbetter1
事件損益
-$50.00
成交量
$9,999.98
持倉數
Sacramento State
C94
0xc96a…f3f2
事件損益
-$32.69
成交量
$8,552.15
持倉數
Over
DA5
0xda39…c640
事件損益
-$25.47
成交量
$5,094.33
持倉數
Over
7B6
0x7b47…5789
事件損益
+$25.36
成交量
$5,071.44
持倉數
UMass
FA7
FaroeseNationalist
事件損益
+$4.58
成交量
$4,999.96
持倉數
Sacramento State
NI8
nigiri99
事件損益
+$17.92
成交量
$4,679.00
持倉數
UMassSacramento StateSacramento State

常見問題

目前市場對「UMass vs. Sacramento State」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Spread -7.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -6.5(9,995%),以及 Spread -5.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $427.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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