
Kentucky vs. Texas A&M
核心摘要
根據「Kentucky vs. Texas A&M」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Spread -2.5 以壓倒性的 8,650% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -1.5 以 7,550% 位居第二,Spread -5.5 以 7,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $241K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Spread -2.5 (8,650%):Spread -2.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,650¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -1.5 (7,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -1.5 保持著 7,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,550¢。
- Spread -5.5 (7,250%):以 7,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -5.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 O/U 33.5 (7,050%)、O/U 29.5 (7,000%),以及 Spread -9.5 (6,450%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 35.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -2.5 | 8650.0% | — | 8650¢ | -8550¢ |
| 2 | Spread -1.5 | 7550.0% | $1.0K | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 3 | Spread -5.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 4 | O/U 33.5 | 7050.0% | $6.0K | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 5 | O/U 29.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 6 | Spread -9.5 | 6450.0% | $180 | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 7 | O/U 35.5 | 6200.0% | — | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 8 | Spread -7.5 | 6100.0% | $623 | 6100¢ | -6000¢ |
| 9 | Spread -8.5 | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 10 | Spread -10.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 11 | O/U 31.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 12 | Spread -11.5 | 5550.0% | — | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 13 | Spread -13.5 | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 14 | 1H Spread -9.5 | 5100.0% | $2.4K | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 15 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 16 | 2H O/U 23.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 17 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Kentucky O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Texas A&M O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | 1H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | 1Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Spread -29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Spread -32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Spread -36.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | O/U 65.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | O/U 69.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 1H Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 1H Spread -10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 1H Spread -11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 1H O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 1H O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 1H O/U 25.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 1H O/U 28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 1H O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | 2H Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 2H Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 2H Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 2H Spread -11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 2H O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 2H O/U 20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 2H O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 2H O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 2Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 2Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 2Q Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 2Q Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 2Q Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 2Q O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 2Q O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 2Q O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | 2Q O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | 2Q O/U 20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | 3Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | 3Q Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | 3Q O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Kentucky O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Kentucky O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Kentucky O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | $860 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Kentucky O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Kentucky O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Texas A&M O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Texas A&M O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Texas A&M O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Texas A&M O/U 36.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Texas A&M O/U 39.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Kentucky 1H O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Kentucky 1H O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Kentucky 1H O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Texas A&M 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Texas A&M 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Texas A&M 1H O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Kentucky 2H O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Kentucky 2H O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Kentucky 2H O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Spread -0.5 | 4950.0% | $100 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 101 | 1H Spread -6.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 102 | 2Q Spread -2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 103 | 4Q Spread -7.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 104 | Spread -12.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 105 | 1H Spread -13.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 106 | Spread -14.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 107 | Spread -15.5 | 4300.0% | $11.2K | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 108 | O/U 39.5 | 4300.0% | — | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 109 | Spread -16.5 | 4200.0% | $58.4K | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 110 | Spread -19.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 111 | O/U 37.5 | 3950.0% | $22 | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 112 | Spread -17.5 | 3550.0% | $65.2K | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 113 | O/U 41.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 114 | Spread -18.5 | 3500.0% | $5 | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 115 | Spread -22.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 116 | O/U 45.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 117 | Spread -23.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 118 | Spread -26.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 119 | O/U 53.5 | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 120 | Spread -20.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 121 | O/U 57.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 122 | O/U 59.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 123 | O/U 63.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 124 | Spread -33.5 | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 125 | O/U 67.5 | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 126 | O/U 47.5 | 2450.0% | — | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 127 | Spread -21.5 | 2250.0% | — | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 128 | O/U 43.5 | 2100.0% | — | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 129 | Spread -24.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 130 | Spread -1.5 | 1550.0% | $1.0K | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 131 | O/U 49.5 | 1100.0% | $41.5K | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 132 | Kentucky vs. Texas A&M | 1050.0% | $65.1K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 133 | Spread -30.5 | 1000.0% | $250 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 134 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 135 | 1Q Spread -2.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 136 | 1Q Spread -3.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 137 | 1Q Spread -4.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 138 | 1Q Spread -5.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 139 | 1Q Spread -7.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 140 | 1Q O/U 3.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 141 | 1Q O/U 6.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 142 | 1Q O/U 9.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 143 | 1Q O/U 12.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 144 | 1Q O/U 15.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 145 | O/U 51.5 | 900.0% | $199 | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 146 | Spread -4.5 | 500.0% | — | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 147 | O/U 55.5 | 500.0% | — | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 148 | O/U 61.5 | 200.0% | — | 200¢ | -100¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Kentucky and Texas A&M, scheduled for September 19 at 3:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Kentucky" if Kentucky win the game.
This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 19, 2026
- 10:25 AMSAsallu076$0.09
Sold 0.2 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-17.5) at 0.45
- 09:31 AM——$1.50
Bought 11.538462 Kentucky for Kentucky vs. Texas A&M at 0.13
- 09:31 AMNInigiri99$41.36
Bought 47 Texas A&M for Kentucky vs. Texas A&M at 0.88
- 08:38 AM——$1.50
Bought 11.538462 Kentucky for Kentucky vs. Texas A&M at 0.13
- 08:38 AMNInigiri99$41.36
Bought 47 Texas A&M for Kentucky vs. Texas A&M at 0.88
- 08:20 AMNInigiri99$7.04
Bought 8 Texas A&M for Kentucky vs. Texas A&M at 0.88
- 06:06 AMNInigiri99$4.50
Bought 9 Over for Kentucky Team Total: O/U 16.5 at 0.5
- 05:17 AMJCjcasino$108.00
Bought 200 Kentucky for Spread: Texas A&M (-17.5) at 0.54
- 04:34 AMMOmooseborzoi$16.32
Bought 30.22 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-15.5) at 0.54
- 04:31 AMFOForecastication2$9.18
Bought 18 Texas A&M for 1H Spread: Texas A&M (-9.5) at 0.51
- 04:24 AM——$6.90
Bought 10 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-9.5) at 0.69
- 04:19 AM——$8.00
Bought 9.090908 Texas A&M for Kentucky vs. Texas A&M at 0.88
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Kentucky vs. Texas A&M」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Spread -2.5 以 8,650% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(7,550%),以及 Spread -5.5(7,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $241K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
