UCLA vs. California

$107.6K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
機率趨勢
UCLA 91.0%
California 9.0%

核心摘要

根據「UCLA vs. California」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 39.5 以壓倒性的 9,700% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 45.5 以 9,350% 位居第二,O/U 33.5 以 9,175% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $107.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 39.5 (9,700%):O/U 39.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,700¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 45.5 (9,350%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 45.5 保持著 9,350% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,350¢。
  • O/U 33.5 (9,175%):以 9,175% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 33.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread: UCLA (-1.5) (9,150%)、UCLA vs. California (9,100%),以及 Spread -2.5 (8,700%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -3.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 39.59700.0%9700¢-9600¢
2O/U 45.59350.0%9350¢-9250¢
3O/U 33.59175.0%$1009175¢-9075¢
4Spread: UCLA (-1.5)9150.0%$4569150¢-9050¢
5UCLA vs. California9100.0%$200.0K9100¢-9000¢
6Spread -2.58700.0%$8.0K8700¢-8600¢
7Spread -3.58450.0%$2.4K8450¢-8350¢
8Spread -4.58250.0%$2.6K8250¢-8150¢
9O/U 51.58250.0%8250¢-8150¢
10Spread -5.58200.0%$9818200¢-8100¢
11Spread -6.57950.0%$457950¢-7850¢
12O/U 53.57650.0%$3.3K7650¢-7550¢
13Spread -7.57350.0%$1377350¢-7250¢
14O/U 55.56600.0%$2906600¢-6500¢
151H Spread -2.56500.0%$2076500¢-6400¢
16Spread -10.56450.0%$5706450¢-6350¢
17O/U 57.56050.0%$2.7K6050¢-5950¢
18Spread -13.55700.0%$4055700¢-5600¢
19Spread -0.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
202H Spread -2.55050.0%$2505050¢-4950¢
21California 1H O/U 13.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
22Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Spread -14.55000.0%$545000¢-4900¢
24Spread -17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Spread -27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Spread -31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Spread -34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28O/U 35.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29O/U 37.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30O/U 41.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31O/U 43.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32O/U 47.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33O/U 49.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34O/U 59.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35O/U 61.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36O/U 65.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37O/U 67.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38O/U 71.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39O/U 73.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
402H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
411H Spread -0.55000.0%$905000¢-4900¢
421H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
431H Moneyline5000.0%$1.8K5000¢-4900¢
442H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
452H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
462H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
472Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
482Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
492Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
502Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
512Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
523Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
533Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
543Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
553Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
563Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
574Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
584Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
594Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
604Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
614Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
62UCLA O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
63UCLA O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
64UCLA O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
65UCLA O/U 30.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
66UCLA O/U 33.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
67California O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
68California O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
69California O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
70California O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
71California O/U 32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
72UCLA 1H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
73UCLA 1H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
74UCLA 1H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
75California 1H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
76California 1H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
77UCLA 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
78UCLA 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
79UCLA 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
80California 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81California 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
82California 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
83California O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
84California O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
85California O/U 25.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
86California O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
87California O/U 31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
88California 1H O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
89California 1H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
90California 1H O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
91California O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
92UCLA O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
93Adam Mohammed: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
94Nico Iamaleava: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
95Wayne Knight: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
96Ian Strong: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
97Chase Hendricks: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
98Jaivian Thomas: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
99Ashten Emory: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
100Anthony Woods: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
101Brian Rowe Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
102Landon Ellis: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
103Carter Vargas: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
104Mikey Matthews: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
105Leland Smith: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
106Mason Mini: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
107Dorian Thomas: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
108Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
109Cooper Perry: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
110Brayden Loftin: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
111Josh Phifer: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
112Semaj Morgan: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
113Jordan King: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
114UCLA O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
115UCLA O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
116UCLA O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
117UCLA O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
118California O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
119California O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
120California O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
121California O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
122Spread -24.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
123Spread -20.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
124Spread -21.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
125Spread -16.54650.0%$2184650¢-4550¢
126O/U 63.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
127O/U 69.52250.0%2250¢-2150¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:30PM ET:

If UCLA wins, the market will resolve to "UCLA".

If California wins, the market will resolve to "California".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 08:46 PM
    OMomerrrr
    $10.00

    Bought 17.241378 Under for UCLA vs. California: O/U 55.5 at 0.58

  • 07:51 PM
    MOMoltenpick
    $27.00

    Bought 60 California for UCLA vs. California at 0.45

  • 07:28 PM
    CHchaeri
    $4.86

    Bought 9 UCLA for UCLA vs. California: 1H Moneyline at 0.54

  • 07:20 PM
    CHchaeri
    $10.29

    Bought 21 California for UCLA vs. California: 1H Moneyline at 0.49

  • 07:15 PM
    CHchaeri
    $10.29

    Bought 21 California for UCLA vs. California: 1H Moneyline at 0.49

  • 07:13 PM
    CHchaeri
    $10.29

    Bought 21 California for UCLA vs. California: 1H Moneyline at 0.49

  • 07:05 PM
    DFDFY
    $10.28

    Bought 22.844443 California for UCLA vs. California at 0.45

  • 06:58 PM
    LUluckyguy168
    $2.00

    Bought 4 California for Spread: UCLA (-2.5) at 0.5

  • 06:04 PM
    TITimPenis
    $2.64

    Bought 5.866665 California for UCLA vs. California at 0.45

  • 02:07 PM
    $9.00

    Sold 16.36 UCLA for UCLA vs. California at 0.55

  • 01:55 PM
    CHChampGamp
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1785.714284 UCLA for UCLA vs. California at 0.56

  • 01:55 PM
    CHChampGamp
    $2,000.00

    Bought 3571.42857 UCLA for UCLA vs. California at 0.56

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

B41
0xb4F9…0186
事件損益
-$95.89
成交量
$19,181.11
持倉數
UCLA
SA2
Sassy-Bucket
事件損益
+$79.09
成交量
$15,817.41
持倉數
California
IM3
imjustkenisghey
事件損益
-$39.90
成交量
$7,979.31
持倉數
California
NI4
nigiri99
事件損益
-$36.57
成交量
$7,056.00
持倉數
UCLACalifornia
HE5
0xheavy888
事件損益
+$30.00
成交量
$5,999.99
持倉數
California
JU6
JUSTINHERBERTMVP
事件損益
-$10.50
成交量
$5,495.47
持倉數
UCLAUnder
CH7
ChampGamp
事件損益
+$26.79
成交量
$5,357.14
持倉數
UCLA
0A8
0x0A77exmm
事件損益
+$18.60
成交量
$3,720.00
持倉數
California

常見問題

目前市場對「UCLA vs. California」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 39.5 以 9,700% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 45.5(9,350%),以及 O/U 33.5(9,175%)。該市場總成交量已達 $107.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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