Texas State vs. Texas

$84.5K Vol
2026年9月5日
Active
機率趨勢
Texas 99.6%
Texas State 0.4%

核心摘要

根據「Texas State vs. Texas」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Spread -10.5 以壓倒性的 9,630% 獲勝機率主導市場；Spread -14.5 以 9,600% 位居第二，Spread -16.5 以 9,400% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $84.5K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • Spread -10.5 (9,630%)：Spread -10.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,630¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $5.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • Spread -14.5 (9,600%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Spread -14.5 保持著 9,600% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,600¢。
  • Spread -16.5 (9,400%)：以 9,400% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Spread -16.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

  • 替代選項：包括 O/U 48.5 (9,400%)、O/U 42.5 (9,250%)，以及 1H Spread -16.5 (9,150%)。
  • 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 1H Spread -17.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1Spread -10.59630.0%$5.2K9630¢-9530¢
2Spread -14.59600.0%—9600¢-9500¢
3Spread -16.59400.0%—9400¢-9300¢
4O/U 48.59400.0%—9400¢-9300¢
5O/U 42.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
61H Spread -16.59150.0%$2589150¢-9050¢
71H Spread -17.59150.0%$489150¢-9050¢
8Spread -20.59100.0%$1039100¢-9000¢
9Spread -17.59060.0%$259060¢-8960¢
101H Spread -15.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
111H Spread -18.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
121H Spread -19.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
13Texas 1H O/U 22.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
14Texas 1H O/U 24.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
15Texas 1H O/U 26.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
16Texas State 1H O/U 4.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
17Texas State 1H O/U 6.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
18Spread -21.58700.0%$508700¢-8600¢
19O/U 54.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
20Spread -24.58100.0%$3.9K8100¢-8000¢
21O/U 58.57850.0%$1.3K7850¢-7750¢
22Spread -27.57650.0%$9037650¢-7550¢
23Spread -13.57300.0%—7300¢-7200¢
24O/U 62.56850.0%$566850¢-6750¢
25Spread -29.56650.0%$34.1K6650¢-6550¢
26O/U 60.56150.0%$21.4K6150¢-6050¢
27O/U 59.56150.0%$4.1K6150¢-6050¢
28Spread: Texas (-30.5)6050.0%$2.7K6050¢-5950¢
29Texas O/U 44.55050.0%$4915050¢-4950¢
30Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39O/U 40.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40O/U 44.55000.0%$805000¢-4900¢
41O/U 46.55000.0%$855000¢-4900¢
42O/U 50.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43O/U 52.55000.0%$75000¢-4900¢
44O/U 56.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45O/U 64.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46O/U 68.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47O/U 70.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48O/U 74.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49O/U 76.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50O/U 80.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
512H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
521H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
532H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
542H Spread -12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
553Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
563Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
573Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
583Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
593Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
603Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
614Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
624Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
634Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
644Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
654Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
664Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Texas O/U 38.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Texas O/U 41.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Texas O/U 47.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Texas O/U 50.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Texas State O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Texas State O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Texas State O/U 14.55000.0%$1105000¢-4900¢
74Texas State O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Texas State O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Texas 2H O/U 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Texas 2H O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Texas 2H O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Texas State 2H O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Texas State 2H O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Texas State 2H O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
822H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Texas State O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Texas O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Brad Jackson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Beau Sparks: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Torrance Burgess Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Jaylen Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Chris Dawn Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Kaliq Lockett: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99LaKeyleon Graves: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Zechariah Sample: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Blake Smith: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1022H Spread -15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1032H Spread -10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1042H Spread -13.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1052H Spread -14.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
106Spread -31.53950.0%$2003950¢-3850¢
107Spread -34.53850.0%$1003850¢-3750¢
108O/U 66.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
109O/U 72.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
1102Q Spread -8.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1112Q Spread -9.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1122Q Spread -10.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1132Q Spread -11.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1142Q Spread -12.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1152Q Moneyline950.0%—950¢-850¢
116Texas State 1H O/U 8.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1172Q Spread -7.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
118O/U 78.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
119Texas State vs. Texas50.0%$17.7K50¢50¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET:

If Texas State wins, the market will resolve to "Texas State".

If Texas wins, the market will resolve to "Texas".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 08:42 PM
    -J-JB-
    $5,042.07

    Bought 5093 Texas for Spread: Texas (-10.5) at 0.99

  • 08:39 PM
    3838791873984189
    $90.00

    Bought 100 Texas for Spread: Texas (-24.5) at 0.9

  • 08:38 PM
    0X0xff5d9Bd85678de5CBc3f867f538998Ae60BAa931-1767206904536
    $79.00

    Bought 100 Texas for Spread: Texas (-31.5) at 0.79

  • 08:38 PM
    0X0xff5d9Bd85678de5CBc3f867f538998Ae60BAa931-1767206904536
    $56.09

    Bought 71 Texas for Spread: Texas (-31.5) at 0.79

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0xff5d9Bd85678de5CBc3f867f538998Ae60BAa931-1767206904536
    $178.00

    Bought 200 Texas for Spread: Texas (-24.5) at 0.89

  • 08:36 PM
    LOlomatic
    $69.00

    Bought 100 Texas for Spread: Texas (-34.5) at 0.69

  • 08:35 PM
    LOlomatic
    $22.91

    Bought 29 Texas for Spread: Texas (-31.5) at 0.79

  • 08:35 PM
    USUser7429
    $5.95

    Bought 7.083331 Texas for Spread: Texas (-27.5) at 0.84

  • 08:35 PM
    CHchaeri
    $0.76

    Bought 0.91 Texas for Spread: Texas (-27.5) at 0.84

  • 08:35 PM
    CUcurie
    $77.28

    Bought 92 Texas for Spread: Texas (-27.5) at 0.84

  • 08:29 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $484.00

    Bought 987.76 Over for Texas State vs. Texas: O/U 58.5 at 0.49

  • 08:23 PM
    0X0xff5d9Bd85678de5CBc3f867f538998Ae60BAa931-1767206904536
    $58.83

    Bought 111 Under for Texas State vs. Texas: O/U 58.5 at 0.53

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

HO1
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
-$512.00
成交量
$25,482.85
持倉數
TexasUnderUnder+2
BA2
bands1
事件損益
-$5,216.00
成交量
$21,733.63
持倉數
Texas State
VI3
VigorishVault
事件損益
+$650.69
成交量
$15,857.50
持倉數
OverOver
HI4
hi774c
事件損益
+$2,145.49
成交量
$12,984.82
持倉數
TexasUnder
RN5
RN1
事件損益
+$718.83
成交量
$11,245.26
持倉數
UnderUnderUnder+4
WR6
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件損益
-$13.29
成交量
$6,814.59
持倉數
UnderTexas StateTexas State+1
-J7
-JB-
事件損益
-$967.55
成交量
$5,093.00
持倉數
Texas
FL8
floflo2426
事件損益
+$700.00
成交量
$5,000.00
持倉數
Over

常見問題

目前市場對「Texas State vs. Texas」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，Spread -10.5 以 9,630% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Spread -14.5（9,600%），以及 Spread -16.5（9,400%）。該市場總成交量已達 $84.5K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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