
Tulsa vs. Arkansas
核心摘要
根據「Tulsa vs. Arkansas」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Spread -1.5 以壓倒性的 9,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -2.5 以 9,050% 位居第二,Spread -3.5 以 8,400% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $438.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Spread -1.5 (9,050%):Spread -1.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -2.5 (9,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -2.5 保持著 9,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,050¢。
- Spread -3.5 (8,400%):以 8,400% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -3.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Spread -4.5 (8,250%)、Spread -5.5 (7,850%),以及 Spread -6.5 (7,650%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 35.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -1.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 2 | Spread -2.5 | 9050.0% | $7 | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 3 | Spread -3.5 | 8400.0% | — | 8400¢ | -8300¢ |
| 4 | Spread -4.5 | 8250.0% | $2.1K | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 5 | Spread -5.5 | 7850.0% | $1.3K | 7850¢ | -7750¢ |
| 6 | Spread -6.5 | 7650.0% | $8.9K | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 7 | O/U 35.5 | 7650.0% | $125 | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 8 | Spread -7.5 | 7150.0% | $63.3K | 7150¢ | -7050¢ |
| 9 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 10 | Spread -9.5 | 6700.0% | $108 | 6700¢ | -6600¢ |
| 11 | O/U 31.5 | 6100.0% | — | 6100¢ | -6000¢ |
| 12 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 13 | Spread -10.5 | 5900.0% | $150 | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 14 | Spread -8.5 | 5850.0% | $719 | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 15 | O/U 33.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 16 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5700.0% | — | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 17 | Arkansas O/U 27.5 | 5600.0% | — | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 18 | Spread -11.5 | 5550.0% | $355 | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 19 | O/U 37.5 | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 20 | Spread -12.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 21 | O/U 41.5 | 5050.0% | $77 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 22 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Spread -28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | 2H Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 2H O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 2H O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 2H O/U 25.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 2H O/U 28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 2H O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 3Q O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Tulsa O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Tulsa O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Tulsa O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Tulsa O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Arkansas O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Arkansas O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Arkansas O/U 36.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Tulsa 2H O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Tulsa 2H O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Tulsa 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Arkansas 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Arkansas 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Arkansas 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Tulsa O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Arkansas O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Tulsa vs. Arkansas: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Tulsa vs. Arkansas: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Tulsa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Tulsa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Tulsa vs. Arkansas: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Tulsa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Tulsa Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Tulsa Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Tulsa Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Tulsa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Tulsa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Tulsa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Tulsa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Tulsa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Tulsa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Tulsa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Tulsa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Arkansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Arkansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Tulsa Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | Tulsa Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Tulsa Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | Tulsa Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | Tulsa Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Tulsa Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | Tulsa Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | Tulsa Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | Tulsa Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | Tulsa vs. Arkansas: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | Tulsa vs. Arkansas: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | Tulsa vs. Arkansas: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | Spread -8.5 | 4950.0% | $719 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 131 | Spread -0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 132 | Spread -13.5 | 4950.0% | $66 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 133 | Spread -12.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 134 | Spread -15.5 | 4650.0% | $100 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 135 | O/U 39.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 136 | Spread -14.5 | 4450.0% | $105 | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 137 | Spread -16.5 | 3900.0% | $425 | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 138 | O/U 43.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 139 | O/U 45.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 140 | Spread -22.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 141 | O/U 49.5 | 3700.0% | $4.3K | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 142 | O/U 57.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 143 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 144 | Spread -25.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 145 | O/U 61.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 146 | O/U 63.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 147 | O/U 67.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 148 | O/U 69.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 149 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 3300.0% | — | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 150 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 151 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 152 | Arkansas O/U 30.5 | 2800.0% | $85 | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 153 | Spread -18.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 154 | O/U 47.5 | 2600.0% | $247 | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 155 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 2150.0% | — | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 156 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 157 | Spread -21.5 | 2000.0% | $636 | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 158 | O/U 51.5 | 1650.0% | $62.6K | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 159 | Spread -24.5 | 1300.0% | — | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 160 | O/U 53.5 | 1150.0% | $840 | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 161 | Tulsa vs. Arkansas | 915.0% | $292.6K | 915¢ | -815¢ |
| 162 | O/U 55.5 | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 163 | Tulsa O/U 27.5 | 850.0% | $10 | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 164 | Spread -2.5 | 700.0% | $7 | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 165 | O/U 59.5 | 500.0% | $22 | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 166 | Spread -9.5 | 495.0% | $108 | 495¢ | -395¢ |
| 167 | O/U 71.5 | 350.0% | — | 350¢ | -250¢ |
| 168 | Spread -5.5 | 305.0% | $1.3K | 305¢ | -205¢ |
| 169 | Spread -6.5 | 300.0% | $8.9K | 300¢ | -200¢ |
| 170 | O/U 65.5 | 245.0% | — | 245¢ | -145¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Tulsa and Arkansas, scheduled for September 26 at 8:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Tulsa" if Tulsa win the game.
This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 26, 2026
- 10:29 PMSAsajat5mm$5.73
Bought 10.811321 Under for Tulsa vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 at 0.53
- 10:25 PM——$131.26
Bought 247.66 Under for Tulsa vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 at 0.53
- 10:25 PMONone8tyfive$2,650.00
Bought 5000 Under for Tulsa vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 at 0.53
- 10:22 PMNInigiri99$3.19
Bought 11 Tulsa for Tulsa vs. Arkansas at 0.29
- 10:21 PMNInigiri99$4.64
Bought 16 Tulsa for Tulsa vs. Arkansas at 0.29
- 10:18 PMPOPollytical$12.00
Bought 41.379311 Tulsa for Tulsa vs. Arkansas at 0.29
- 10:18 PMBLblunderbot$433.26
Bought 601.75 Arkansas for Tulsa vs. Arkansas at 0.72
- 10:17 PMNInigiri99$48.43
Bought 167 Tulsa for Tulsa vs. Arkansas at 0.29
- 10:16 PMNInigiri99$17.11
Bought 59 Tulsa for Tulsa vs. Arkansas at 0.29
- 10:13 PMODOddstorm$9.91
Bought 34.18 Tulsa for Tulsa vs. Arkansas at 0.29
- 10:09 PMTCtcirkven$2.00
Bought 3.773585 Under for Tulsa vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 at 0.53
- 10:08 PMPEPetitCrayon0$751.00
Bought 1416.981131 Under for Tulsa vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 at 0.53
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Tulsa vs. Arkansas」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Spread -1.5 以 9,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -2.5(9,050%),以及 Spread -3.5(8,400%)。該市場總成交量已達 $438.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
