
Troy vs. Utah State
核心摘要
根據「Troy vs. Utah State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,O/U 34.5 以壓倒性的 8,600% 獲勝機率主導市場;Utah State O/U 19.5 以 7,850% 位居第二,O/U 40.5 以 7,800% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $322.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- O/U 34.5 (8,600%):O/U 34.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,600¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Utah State O/U 19.5 (7,850%):作為最可行的替代選項,Utah State O/U 19.5 保持著 7,850% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,850¢。
- O/U 40.5 (7,800%):以 7,800% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 40.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Spread -1.5 (7,650%)、Spread -2.5 (7,500%),以及 O/U 28.5 (7,100%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 30.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 34.5 | 8600.0% | — | 8600¢ | -8500¢ |
| 2 | Utah State O/U 19.5 | 7850.0% | — | 7850¢ | -7750¢ |
| 3 | O/U 40.5 | 7800.0% | $5.5K | 7800¢ | -7700¢ |
| 4 | Spread -1.5 | 7650.0% | $19.2K | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 5 | Spread -2.5 | 7500.0% | $72.1K | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 6 | O/U 28.5 | 7100.0% | — | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 7 | O/U 30.5 | 7100.0% | — | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 8 | O/U 32.5 | 6900.0% | — | 6900¢ | -6800¢ |
| 9 | Spread -3.5 | 6750.0% | $5.4K | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 10 | O/U 36.5 | 6600.0% | — | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 11 | Spread -4.5 | 6200.0% | $159 | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 12 | O/U 38.5 | 6150.0% | — | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 13 | Spread -5.5 | 5900.0% | $103 | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 14 | Spread -6.5 | 5500.0% | $108 | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 15 | O/U 42.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 16 | Utah State O/U 25.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 17 | O/U 44.5 | 5250.0% | $288 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 18 | Spread -0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 19 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Spread -17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Spread -18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Spread -21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Spread -24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 2H O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 3Q O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 3Q O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 3Q O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Troy O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Troy O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Troy O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Utah State O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Utah State O/U 28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Utah State O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Troy 2H O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Troy 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Troy 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Utah State 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Utah State 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Utah State 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Troy O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Utah State O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | Troy Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | Troy Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | Troy Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | Troy Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | Troy Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 131 | Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 132 | Troy Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 133 | Troy vs. Utah State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 134 | Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 135 | Troy vs. Utah State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 136 | Troy vs. Utah State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 137 | Spread -12.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 138 | Spread -7.5 | 4800.0% | $128 | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 139 | Spread -8.5 | 4400.0% | $132 | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 140 | O/U 46.5 | 4200.0% | $15.6K | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 141 | Spread -9.5 | 4000.0% | $5 | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 142 | O/U 48.5 | 4000.0% | $7.7K | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 143 | Spread -10.5 | 3650.0% | $756 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 144 | Spread -12.5 | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 145 | O/U 60.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 146 | O/U 62.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 147 | O/U 66.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 148 | O/U 68.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 149 | Troy O/U 20.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 150 | O/U 50.5 | 3300.0% | $1.2K | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 151 | Troy O/U 23.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 152 | Spread -11.5 | 3100.0% | — | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 153 | Spread -14.5 | 2400.0% | $226 | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 154 | O/U 52.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 155 | Troy vs. Utah State | 2050.0% | $186.7K | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 156 | Spread -1.5 | 1850.0% | $19.2K | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 157 | O/U 54.5 | 1750.0% | $11 | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 158 | Spread -2.5 | 1700.0% | $72.1K | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 159 | Spread -3.5 | 1300.0% | $5.4K | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 160 | O/U 56.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 161 | Spread -4.5 | 1000.0% | $159 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 162 | O/U 58.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 163 | Spread -6.5 | 850.0% | $108 | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 164 | Spread -13.5 | 600.0% | — | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 165 | Spread -10.5 | 500.0% | $756 | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 166 | Spread -9.5 | 500.0% | $5 | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 167 | O/U 64.5 | 500.0% | — | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 168 | Spread -16.5 | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Troy and Utah State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game.
This market will resolve to "Utah State" if Utah State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 26, 2026
- 09:55 PMCIciburri$27.00
Bought 50 Under for Troy vs. Utah State: O/U 48.5 at 0.54
- 09:51 PMWRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r$404.00
Bought 897.77 Troy for Spread: Utah State (-1.5) at 0.45
- 09:51 PMWRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r$445.00
Bought 988.88 Troy for Spread: Utah State (-1.5) at 0.45
- 09:51 PMWRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r$431.00
Bought 957.77 Troy for Spread: Utah State (-1.5) at 0.45
- 09:51 PMWRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r$417.00
Bought 926.66 Troy for Spread: Utah State (-1.5) at 0.45
- 09:23 PMCHChinaskii$1.00
Bought 1.785715 Troy for Spread: Utah State (-3.5) at 0.56
- 08:29 PMHOHomeRunHazard$23.78
Bought 41 Over for Troy vs. Utah State: O/U 44.5 at 0.58
- 08:09 PMMOMoltenpick$22.26
Bought 42 Utah State for Spread: Utah State (-2.5) at 0.53
- 07:42 PMHYHypnoman007$25.00
Bought 59.52381 Troy for Spread: Troy (-1.5) at 0.42
- 07:41 PMMOmooseborzoi$40.06
Bought 97.7 Troy for Spread: Troy (-1.5) at 0.41
- 07:32 PMWRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r$740.25
Bought 1575 Troy for Spread: Utah State (-2.5) at 0.47
- 07:21 PMCICip106$27.00
Bought 50 Under for Troy vs. Utah State: O/U 48.5 at 0.54
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Troy vs. Utah State」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,O/U 34.5 以 8,600% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Utah State O/U 19.5(7,850%),以及 O/U 40.5(7,800%)。該市場總成交量已達 $322.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
