Toledo vs. Ball State

$296.3K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
機率趨勢
Toledo 100.0%
Ball State 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Toledo vs. Ball State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 43.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 51.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 55.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $296.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 43.5 (9,995%):O/U 43.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $396 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 51.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 51.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • O/U 55.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 55.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -11.5 (9,995%)、Spread -9.5 (9,995%),以及 Toledo O/U 32.5 (9,955%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -12.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 43.59995.0%$3969995¢-9895¢
2O/U 51.59995.0%$72.3K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 55.59995.0%$9049995¢-9895¢
4Spread -11.59995.0%$1.7K9995¢-9895¢
5Spread -9.59995.0%$6859995¢-9895¢
6Toledo O/U 32.59955.0%$159955¢-9855¢
7Spread -12.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
8Both Teams to Score a Touchdown9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
9Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
10Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
11Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q39000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
12Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q49000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
13Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
14Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
15Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
16Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
17Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
18Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
19Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
20Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
21Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
22Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
23Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
24Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
25Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
26Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
27Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
282H Spread -9.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
292H Spread -6.59000.0%$59000¢-8900¢
304Q Spread -7.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
314Q Spread -5.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
324Q Spread -4.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
334Q Spread -2.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
344Q Spread -0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
352H Moneyline9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
36Ball State O/U 2.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
374Q Moneyline9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
38Ball State O/U 1.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
39Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
40Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
41Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
42Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
43Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 14.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
44Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
45Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
46Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 19.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
47Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 23.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
48Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 21.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
49Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Toledo vs. Ball State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
513Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
53Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
54Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
55Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
56Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 19.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
57Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 24.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
58Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 24.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
59Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
60Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
61Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 23.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
62Toledo vs. Ball State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
63Toledo vs. Ball State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
64Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
65Ball State 2H O/U 14.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
66Ball State 2H O/U 16.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
67Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q11000.0%—1000¢-900¢
68Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q21000.0%—1000¢-900¢
69Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
70Pick-Six Scored1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
71Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
72Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
73Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
74Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
75Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
76Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
77Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
78Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
79Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
802H Spread -13.51000.0%$51000¢-900¢
812H Spread -10.51000.0%$51000¢-900¢
82Toledo O/U 4.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
83Spread -5.545.0%—45¢55¢
84Spread -6.545.0%—45¢55¢
85Ball State O/U 26.545.0%$545¢55¢
86Ball State O/U 29.545.0%$5545¢55¢
87Spread -40.545.0%—45¢55¢
88Spread -37.545.0%—45¢55¢
89Spread -34.545.0%—45¢55¢
90Spread -28.545.0%—45¢55¢
91Spread -26.545.0%—45¢55¢
92Spread -25.545.0%—45¢55¢
93Spread -24.545.0%—45¢55¢
94Spread -15.545.0%—45¢55¢
95Spread -33.535.0%—35¢65¢
96Spread -30.55.0%$1705¢95¢
97Spread -23.55.0%$1035¢95¢
98Spread -21.55.0%$39.2K5¢95¢
99Spread -19.55.0%$1005¢95¢
100Spread -18.55.0%$825¢95¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Ball State, scheduled for October 3 at 2:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game.

This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 09:39 PM
    0X0x5C4e14D94daeb0df04f0be9718ee1e61202O184
    $10.38

    Sold 10.38 Toledo for Toledo vs. Ball State at 1

  • 09:33 PM
    0X0x1256E1f
    $410.72

    Sold 410.72 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-14.5) at 1

  • 09:33 PM
    0X0x1256E1f
    $1,042.00

    Sold 1042 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-13.5) at 1

  • 09:32 PM
    JUJustWins12
    $11.00

    Sold 11 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-13.5) at 1

  • 09:28 PM
    QWqwe258
    $9.00

    Bought 9 Ball State for Spread: Toledo (-16.5) at 1

  • 09:28 PM
    DAdachshundowner
    $6.99

    Bought 6.99 Ball State for Spread: Toledo (-16.5) at 1

  • 09:28 PM
    HYHypnoman007
    $46.29

    Sold 46.29 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-14.5) at 1

  • 09:27 PM
    JOJordyBOBO
    $5.01

    Bought 5.005006 Ball State for Spread: Toledo (-16.5) at 1

  • 09:27 PM
    SHshugafa
    $50.00

    Bought 50 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 35.5 at 1

  • 09:27 PM
    SHshugafa
    $50.00

    Bought 50 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 32.5 at 1

  • 09:27 PM
    SHshugafa
    $50.00

    Bought 50 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 29.5 at 1

  • 09:27 PM
    SHshugafa
    $5.00

    Bought 5 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-7.5) at 1

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

MO1
mooseborzoii
事件損益
+$21.41
成交量
$2,356.98
持倉數
UnderToledoUnder
MO2
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$16.36
成交量
$1,869.00
持倉數
ToledoBall State
633
0x6387…95dc
事件損益
-$21.93
成交量
$1,462.26
持倉數
Over
SN4
SnakeBall
事件損益
+$11.47
成交量
$1,371.68
持倉數
ToledoBall State
385
38791873984189
事件損益
+$1.56
成交量
$1,215.46
持倉數
ToledoOverToledo+5
5C6
0x5c54…f1d2
事件損益
-$2.70
成交量
$1,008.54
持倉數
UnderToledo
UP7
UpTheBlues
事件損益
-$2.88
成交量
$944.90
持倉數
Ball StateToledoBall State+7
BL8
black4562
事件損益
-$3.52
成交量
$703.00
持倉數
Ball State

常見問題

目前市場對「Toledo vs. Ball State」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 43.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 51.5(9,995%),以及 O/U 55.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $296.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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