
Toledo vs. Ball State
核心摘要
根據「Toledo vs. Ball State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,O/U 43.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 51.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 55.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $296.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- O/U 43.5 (9,995%):O/U 43.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $396 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- O/U 51.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 51.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
- O/U 55.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 55.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Spread -11.5 (9,995%)、Spread -9.5 (9,995%),以及 Toledo O/U 32.5 (9,955%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -12.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 43.5 | 9995.0% | $396 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 51.5 | 9995.0% | $72.3K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | O/U 55.5 | 9995.0% | $904 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Spread -11.5 | 9995.0% | $1.7K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Spread -9.5 | 9995.0% | $685 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | Toledo O/U 32.5 | 9955.0% | $15 | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 7 | Spread -12.5 | 9955.0% | — | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 13 | Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 14 | Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 15 | Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 16 | Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 17 | Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 18 | Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 19 | Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 20 | Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 21 | Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 22 | Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 23 | Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 24 | Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 25 | Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 26 | Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 27 | Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 28 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 29 | 2H Spread -6.5 | 9000.0% | $5 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 30 | 4Q Spread -7.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 31 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 32 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 33 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 34 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 35 | 2H Moneyline | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 36 | Ball State O/U 2.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 37 | 4Q Moneyline | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 38 | Ball State O/U 1.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 39 | Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 40 | Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 41 | Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 42 | Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 43 | Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 44 | Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 45 | Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 46 | Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 47 | Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 48 | Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 49 | Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Toledo vs. Ball State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 53 | Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 54 | Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 55 | Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 56 | Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 57 | Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 58 | Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 59 | Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 60 | Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 61 | Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 62 | Toledo vs. Ball State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 63 | Toledo vs. Ball State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 64 | Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 65 | Ball State 2H O/U 14.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 66 | Ball State 2H O/U 16.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 67 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 68 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 69 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 70 | Pick-Six Scored | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 71 | Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 72 | Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 73 | Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 74 | Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 75 | Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 76 | Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 77 | Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 78 | Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 79 | Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 80 | 2H Spread -13.5 | 1000.0% | $5 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 81 | 2H Spread -10.5 | 1000.0% | $5 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 82 | Toledo O/U 4.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 83 | Spread -5.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 84 | Spread -6.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 85 | Ball State O/U 26.5 | 45.0% | $5 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 86 | Ball State O/U 29.5 | 45.0% | $55 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 87 | Spread -40.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 88 | Spread -37.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 89 | Spread -34.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 90 | Spread -28.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 91 | Spread -26.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 92 | Spread -25.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 93 | Spread -24.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 94 | Spread -15.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 95 | Spread -33.5 | 35.0% | — | 35¢ | 65¢ |
| 96 | Spread -30.5 | 5.0% | $170 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 97 | Spread -23.5 | 5.0% | $103 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 98 | Spread -21.5 | 5.0% | $39.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 99 | Spread -19.5 | 5.0% | $100 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 100 | Spread -18.5 | 5.0% | $82 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Ball State, scheduled for October 3 at 2:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game.
This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 3, 2026
- 09:39 PM0X0x5C4e14D94daeb0df04f0be9718ee1e61202O184$10.38
Sold 10.38 Toledo for Toledo vs. Ball State at 1
- 09:33 PM0X0x1256E1f$410.72
Sold 410.72 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-14.5) at 1
- 09:33 PM0X0x1256E1f$1,042.00
Sold 1042 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-13.5) at 1
- 09:32 PMJUJustWins12$11.00
Sold 11 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-13.5) at 1
- 09:28 PMQWqwe258$9.00
Bought 9 Ball State for Spread: Toledo (-16.5) at 1
- 09:28 PMDAdachshundowner$6.99
Bought 6.99 Ball State for Spread: Toledo (-16.5) at 1
- 09:28 PMHYHypnoman007$46.29
Sold 46.29 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-14.5) at 1
- 09:27 PMJOJordyBOBO$5.01
Bought 5.005006 Ball State for Spread: Toledo (-16.5) at 1
- 09:27 PMSHshugafa$50.00
Bought 50 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 35.5 at 1
- 09:27 PMSHshugafa$50.00
Bought 50 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 32.5 at 1
- 09:27 PMSHshugafa$50.00
Bought 50 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 29.5 at 1
- 09:27 PMSHshugafa$5.00
Bought 5 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-7.5) at 1
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Toledo vs. Ball State」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,O/U 43.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 51.5(9,995%),以及 O/U 55.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $296.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
