SMU vs. Louisville

$143.7K Vol
2026年9月19日
Active
機率趨勢
Louisville 54.5%
SMU 45.5%

核心摘要

根據「SMU vs. Louisville」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 38.5 以壓倒性的 9,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 40.5 以 8,800% 位居第二,O/U 42.5 以 8,600% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $143.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 38.5 (9,050%):O/U 38.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 40.5 (8,800%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 40.5 保持著 8,800% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,800¢。
  • O/U 42.5 (8,600%):以 8,600% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 42.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 44.5 (8,200%)、O/U 46.5 (7,900%),以及 O/U 48.5 (7,400%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Louisville O/U 23.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 38.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
2O/U 40.58800.0%8800¢-8700¢
3O/U 42.58600.0%8600¢-8500¢
4O/U 44.58200.0%8200¢-8100¢
5O/U 46.57900.0%7900¢-7800¢
6O/U 48.57400.0%7400¢-7300¢
7Louisville O/U 23.57400.0%7400¢-7300¢
8O/U 50.57050.0%7050¢-6950¢
9SMU O/U 23.57050.0%7050¢-6950¢
101Q Spread -0.57000.0%7000¢-6900¢
11O/U 52.56500.0%$5356500¢-6400¢
12Louisville O/U 26.56500.0%6500¢-6400¢
13O/U 54.56100.0%6100¢-6000¢
14SMU O/U 26.56050.0%6050¢-5950¢
15Spread -0.55450.0%$895450¢-5350¢
16O/U 56.55450.0%$13.4K5450¢-5350¢
17Spread -1.55250.0%$12.6K5250¢-5150¢
18Louisville O/U 29.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
191H O/U 29.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
20O/U 58.55050.0%$1585050¢-4950¢
21Spread -2.55050.0%$32.9K5050¢-4950¢
221Q O/U 12.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
232Q O/U 16.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
243Q Spread -3.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
254Q O/U 19.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
262H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Louisville O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28SMU O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
291Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
302Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
313Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
324Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
331H O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
341H O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
351H O/U 32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
361H O/U 35.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
372H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
382H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
392H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
402H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
412H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
422H O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
432H O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
442H O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
452H O/U 32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
462H O/U 35.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
471Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
481Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
491Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
501Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
511Q O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
521Q O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
531Q O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
541Q O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
552Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
562Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
572Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
582Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
592Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
602Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
612Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
622Q O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
633Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
643Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
653Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
663Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
673Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
683Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
693Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
703Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
714Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
724Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
734Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
744Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
754Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
764Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
774Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
784Q O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
79SMU 1H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
80SMU 1H O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81SMU 1H O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
82Louisville 1H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
83Louisville 1H O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
84Louisville 1H O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
85SMU 2H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
86SMU 2H O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
87SMU 2H O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
88Louisville 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
89Louisville 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
90Louisville 2H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
911Q Spread -3.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
921H Spread -0.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
932Q Spread -0.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
94SMU O/U 29.54700.0%$54700¢-4600¢
951H Spread -1.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
96SMU vs. Louisville4550.0%$83.8K4550¢-4450¢
97Spread -0.54550.0%$894550¢-4450¢
982H Spread -1.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
994Q Spread -0.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
100Spread -1.54350.0%$12.6K4350¢-4250¢
101Spread -3.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
102O/U 60.54350.0%$504350¢-4250¢
1031H Spread -0.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
1042Q Spread -1.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
105O/U 62.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
1063Q Spread -1.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
1073Q Spread -0.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
1081H Spread -1.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
1094Q Spread -1.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
110Louisville O/U 32.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
111Spread -2.54000.0%$32.9K4000¢-3900¢
1121H Spread -3.54000.0%4000¢-3900¢
113Spread -4.53850.0%$33850¢-3750¢
114O/U 64.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
115Spread -5.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
116SMU O/U 32.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
117Spread -6.53450.0%$523450¢-3350¢
1181H Spread -3.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢
119Spread -3.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢
120O/U 66.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
121Spread -4.53050.0%$33050¢-2950¢
122Spread -5.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
123Spread -7.52900.0%$172900¢-2800¢
124Louisville O/U 35.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
125O/U 68.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
126Spread -6.52750.0%$522750¢-2650¢
127Spread -9.52600.0%$52600¢-2500¢
128SMU O/U 35.52550.0%2550¢-2450¢
1291H Moneyline2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
130Spread -8.52500.0%$52500¢-2400¢
131O/U 70.52400.0%2400¢-2300¢
132Spread -10.52150.0%2150¢-2050¢
133O/U 72.52050.0%2050¢-1950¢
134Spread -8.51800.0%$51800¢-1700¢
135Spread -12.51700.0%$211700¢-1600¢
136O/U 74.51700.0%1700¢-1600¢
137Spread -11.51550.0%1550¢-1450¢
138O/U 76.51500.0%1500¢-1400¢
139Spread -16.51300.0%1300¢-1200¢
140Spread -14.51250.0%$51250¢-1150¢
141Spread -15.51200.0%1200¢-1100¢
142O/U 78.51200.0%1200¢-1100¢
143Spread -12.51150.0%$211150¢-1050¢
144Spread -15.5750.0%750¢-650¢
145Spread -18.5700.0%700¢-600¢
146Spread -19.5650.0%650¢-550¢
147Spread -18.5500.0%500¢-400¢
148Spread -22.5500.0%500¢-400¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between SMU and Louisville, scheduled for September 19 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game.

This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 10:14 AM
    NInigiri99
    $2.45

    Bought 5 Over for SMU Team Total: O/U 29.5 at 0.49

  • 09:33 AM
    NInigiri99
    $4.86

    Bought 9 Louisville for SMU vs. Louisville at 0.54

  • 08:31 AM
    WIwinningbob
    $2.50

    Bought 5.319149 SMU for SMU vs. Louisville at 0.47

  • 08:07 AM
    CWcwc2025
    $5.00

    Bought 9.25926 Louisville for SMU vs. Louisville at 0.54

  • 07:38 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 SMU for Spread: Louisville (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 07:38 AM
    $5.58

    Bought 11.387756 SMU for Spread: Louisville (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 07:15 AM
    QWqwertyuioppp
    $208.65

    Bought 535 Under for SMU vs. Louisville: O/U 52.5 at 0.39

  • 06:50 AM
    ZSZson
    $50.00

    Bought 106.382979 SMU for SMU vs. Louisville at 0.47

  • 06:30 AM
    TOTopPato
    $105.00

    Bought 194.44 Louisville for SMU vs. Louisville at 0.54

  • 06:30 AM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $2,003.40

    Bought 3710 Louisville for SMU vs. Louisville at 0.54

  • 05:44 AM
    ICIceington
    $100.00

    Bought 185.185186 Louisville for SMU vs. Louisville at 0.54

  • 05:10 AM
    TITimPenis
    $1.64

    Bought 3.489362 SMU for SMU vs. Louisville at 0.47

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

ES1
esportsbetter1
事件損益
-$75.00
成交量
$15,000.00
持倉數
Louisville
VE2
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$27.43
成交量
$13,280.67
持倉數
SMUOverSMU+1
WR3
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件損益
-$31.92
成交量
$12,911.24
持倉數
UnderLouisville
HO4
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$36.31
成交量
$11,253.01
持倉數
SMUOver
CO5
CoffeeDespiser
事件損益
+$50.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持倉數
SMU
NI6
nigiri99
事件損益
-$44.40
成交量
$8,869.00
持倉數
LouisvilleOver
CH7
ChampGamp
事件損益
-$14.10
成交量
$8,384.83
持倉數
Louisville
JA8
JAMJAMJAM4
事件損益
-$17.07
成交量
$5,109.91
持倉數
Louisville

常見問題

目前市場對「SMU vs. Louisville」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 38.5 以 9,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 40.5(8,800%),以及 O/U 42.5(8,600%)。該市場總成交量已達 $143.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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