SMU vs. Florida State
$65.1K Vol
2026年9月8日
Active
機率趨勢
SMU 57.5%
Florida State 42.5%
核心摘要
根據「SMU vs. Florida State」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，O/U 33.5 以壓倒性的 9,300% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 35.5 以 8,900% 位居第二，O/U 37.5 以 8,700% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $65.1K，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- O/U 33.5 (9,300%)：O/U 33.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,300¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- O/U 35.5 (8,900%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 35.5 保持著 8,900% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,900¢。
- O/U 37.5 (8,700%)：以 8,700% 的機率位列第三，市場對 O/U 37.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）
在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：
- 替代選項：包括 O/U 39.5 (8,400%)、O/U 41.5 (7,850%)，以及 Florida State O/U 18.5 (7,750%)。
- 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 O/U 43.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 33.5 | 9300.0% | — | 9300¢ | -9200¢ |
| 2 | O/U 35.5 | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 3 | O/U 37.5 | 8700.0% | — | 8700¢ | -8600¢ |
| 4 | O/U 39.5 | 8400.0% | — | 8400¢ | -8300¢ |
| 5 | O/U 41.5 | 7850.0% | — | 7850¢ | -7750¢ |
| 6 | Florida State O/U 18.5 | 7750.0% | — | 7750¢ | -7650¢ |
| 7 | O/U 43.5 | 7600.0% | — | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 8 | Florida State O/U 19.5 | 7450.0% | — | 7450¢ | -7350¢ |
| 9 | SMU O/U 21.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 10 | SMU O/U 22.5 | 7300.0% | — | 7300¢ | -7200¢ |
| 11 | O/U 45.5 | 7200.0% | — | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 12 | Florida State O/U 20.5 | 6950.0% | — | 6950¢ | -6850¢ |
| 13 | O/U 47.5 | 6650.0% | — | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 14 | Florida State O/U 21.5 | 6550.0% | — | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 15 | Florida State O/U 22.5 | 6450.0% | — | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 16 | SMU O/U 24.5 | 6350.0% | — | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 17 | O/U 49.5 | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 18 | SMU O/U 25.5 | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 19 | Florida State O/U 23.5 | 5950.0% | — | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 20 | O/U 51.5 | 5850.0% | $1.2K | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 21 | SMU vs. Florida State | 5750.0% | $42.2K | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 22 | Spread -0.5 | 5750.0% | $11 | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 23 | O/U 52.5 | 5550.0% | $1.9K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 24 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5500.0% | $25 | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 25 | O/U 53.5 | 5450.0% | $7.0K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 26 | Spread -1.5 | 5450.0% | $6 | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 27 | 1H Moneyline | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 28 | Florida State O/U 24.5 | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 29 | Florida State O/U 1.5 | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 30 | Florida State O/U 25.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 31 | Florida State 1H O/U 12.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 32 | SMU O/U 27.5 | 5200.0% | $227 | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 33 | Spread: SMU (-2.5) | 5150.0% | $6.7K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 34 | 1H Spread -0.5 | 5150.0% | $285 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 35 | Florida State 1H O/U 10.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 36 | SMU 1H O/U 13.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 37 | O/U 54.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 38 | 2H Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 39 | 1Q Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 40 | 3Q Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 41 | 4Q Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 42 | SMU 1H O/U 11.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 43 | SMU 2H O/U 11.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 44 | SMU 2H O/U 13.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 45 | SMU 2H O/U 15.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 46 | Florida State 2H O/U 13.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 47 | Florida State 2H O/U 15.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 48 | Ousmane Kromah: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 49 | Samuel Singleton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 50 | Ashton Daniels: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 51 | Duce Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 52 | Yamir Knight: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 53 | Micahi Danzy: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 54 | Jalen Cooper: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 55 | Yannick Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 56 | Quintrevion Wisner: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 57 | Jayvan Boggs: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 58 | Randy Pittman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 59 | Landen Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 60 | Jalen Hale: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 61 | Desirrio Riles: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 62 | Isaiah Robertson: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 63 | SMU O/U 0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 64 | Florida State O/U 0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 65 | Florida State 1H O/U 11.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 66 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Florida State 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | SMU 1H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Florida State 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Kendrick Raphael: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Derrick McFall: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Theo Melin Ohrstrom: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Christian Rhodes: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Dramekco Green: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 77 | Kevin Jennings: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 78 | Florida State 1H O/U 13.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 79 | Florida State 1H O/U 15.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 80 | Florida State O/U 26.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 81 | SMU O/U 3.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 82 | 1H Spread -1.5 | 4850.0% | $1.1K | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 83 | SMU O/U 28.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 84 | SMU O/U 1.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 85 | 1H Spread -2.5 | 4750.0% | $30 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 86 | O/U 55.5 | 4650.0% | $5 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 87 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 4650.0% | $17 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 88 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 89 | 2Q Spread -0.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 90 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 91 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 92 | Florida State O/U 27.5 | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 93 | 2Q Spread -1.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 94 | 2Q Spread -2.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 95 | Florida State O/U 3.5 | 4400.0% | $985 | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 96 | Spread -3.5 | 4300.0% | $2.0K | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 97 | Spread -34.5 | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 98 | Spread -4.5 | 4150.0% | $293 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 99 | O/U 57.5 | 4150.0% | $51 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 100 | 1Q Spread -2.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 101 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 102 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 103 | SMU O/U 30.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 104 | Spread -5.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 105 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 106 | 1H Spread -3.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 107 | Florida State O/U 28.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 108 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 109 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 3850.0% | $343 | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 110 | Florida State O/U 29.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 111 | Spread -6.5 | 3750.0% | $392 | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 112 | O/U 59.5 | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 113 | SMU O/U 31.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 114 | Florida State O/U 30.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 115 | Florida State O/U 2.5 | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 116 | SMU O/U 33.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 117 | Spread -7.5 | 3200.0% | $73 | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 118 | O/U 61.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 119 | SMU O/U 2.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 120 | Spread -8.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 121 | Florida State O/U 31.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 122 | O/U 63.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 123 | Florida State O/U 32.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 124 | SMU O/U 34.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 125 | Spread -31.5 | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 126 | Spread -10.5 | 2550.0% | $318 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 127 | O/U 65.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 128 | Spread -13.5 | 2050.0% | $5 | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 129 | O/U 67.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 130 | Florida State O/U 3.5 | 2050.0% | $985 | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 131 | SMU O/U 3.5 | 1900.0% | — | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 132 | Spread -14.5 | 1800.0% | $25 | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 133 | O/U 69.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 134 | Spread -16.5 | 1600.0% | — | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 135 | Spread -17.5 | 1350.0% | $64 | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 136 | O/U 71.5 | 1350.0% | — | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 137 | O/U 73.5 | 1200.0% | — | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 138 | Spread -20.5 | 1100.0% | — | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 139 | Spread -21.5 | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 140 | Spread -24.5 | 650.0% | — | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 141 | Spread -27.5 | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 7 at 7:30PM ET:
If SMU wins, the market will resolve to "SMU".
If Florida State wins, the market will resolve to "Florida State".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 7, 2026
- 08:14 AMMOmooseborzoi$66.03
Bought 115.85 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:13 AMMOmooseborzoi$19.52
Bought 34.25 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:10 AMMOmooseborzoi$25.26
Bought 44.32 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:10 AMMOmooseborzoi$94.75
Bought 166.22 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:08 AM02024370$39.90
Bought 70 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:04 AMMOmooseborzoi$24.12
Bought 42.31 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:04 AMMOmooseborzoi$5.16
Bought 9.06 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:03 AMMOmooseborzoi$45.94
Bought 80.59 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:03 AMSESebinVegas$5.70
Bought 10 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 07:59 AMMOmooseborzoi$9.61
Bought 18.13 SMU for Spread: SMU (-2.5) at 0.53
- 07:58 AMMOmooseborzoi$32.15
Bought 56.41 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 07:57 AM——$14.00
Bought 25 Florida State for Spread: SMU (-3.5) at 0.56
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
VE1
VeryLucky888事件損益
-$16.44
成交量
$13,832.84
持倉數
Florida StateUnderUnder+2
MO2
mooseborzoi事件損益
+$26.48
成交量
$12,066.12
持倉數
SMUFlorida StateSMU+7
PH3
phonesculptor事件損益
+$51.53
成交量
$10,302.42
持倉數
SMU
HO4
HomeRunHazard事件損益
-$7.67
成交量
$8,733.47
持倉數
Florida StateOverOver+4
WR5
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r事件損益
+$23.50
成交量
$7,339.70
持倉數
Florida StateFlorida StateFlorida State+2
JU6
JUSTINHERBERTMVP事件損益
-$27.45
成交量
$5,500.00
持倉數
SMU
ON7
onlyinvegas事件損益
+$14.50
成交量
$2,900.00
持倉數
SMU
JU8
JustADonk事件損益
+$42.71
成交量
$2,847.42
持倉數
SMU
常見問題
目前市場對「SMU vs. Florida State」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，O/U 33.5 以 9,300% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 35.5（8,900%），以及 O/U 37.5（8,700%）。該市場總成交量已達 $65.1K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。