
San Diego State vs. Toledo
核心摘要
根據「San Diego State vs. Toledo」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,O/U 40.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 46.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 48.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $895.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- O/U 40.5 (9,995%):O/U 40.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $3.4K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- O/U 46.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 46.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
- O/U 48.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 48.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 O/U 38.5 (9,950%)、O/U 42.5 (9,950%),以及 O/U 44.5 (9,950%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 40.5 | 9995.0% | $3.4K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 46.5 | 9995.0% | $5.0K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | O/U 48.5 | 9995.0% | $9.7K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | O/U 38.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 5 | O/U 42.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 6 | O/U 44.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 7 | Spread -1.5 | 9855.0% | $4.8K | 9855¢ | -9755¢ |
| 8 | Spread -2.5 | 9850.0% | $63.8K | 9850¢ | -9750¢ |
| 9 | Spread -3.5 | 9750.0% | $9.4K | 9750¢ | -9650¢ |
| 10 | Spread -4.5 | 9450.0% | $5.9K | 9450¢ | -9350¢ |
| 11 | Spread -5.5 | 9200.0% | $6.5K | 9200¢ | -9100¢ |
| 12 | Spread -9.5 | 9065.0% | $2.8K | 9065¢ | -8965¢ |
| 13 | Spread -7.5 | 9050.0% | $6.3K | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 14 | Spread -11.5 | 9050.0% | $35 | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 15 | Spread -14.5 | 9050.0% | $20.2K | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 16 | Spread -10.5 | 9000.0% | $3.0K | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 17 | 2H O/U 19.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 18 | 2H O/U 22.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 19 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 20 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 9000.0% | $5 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 21 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 22 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 23 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 25 | Spread -17.5 | 8950.0% | $5.2K | 8950¢ | -8850¢ |
| 26 | Spread -6.5 | 8505.0% | $3.5K | 8505¢ | -8405¢ |
| 27 | Spread -24.5 | 7950.0% | $4.4K | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 28 | O/U 50.5 | 7500.0% | $28.6K | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 29 | O/U 52.5 | 7450.0% | $4.1K | 7450¢ | -7350¢ |
| 30 | Spread -0.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 31 | Spread -8.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 32 | Spread -12.5 | 5150.0% | $100 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 33 | Spread -18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Spread -21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | O/U 54.5 | 5000.0% | $6.9K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | O/U 56.5 | 5000.0% | $4.5K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | O/U 60.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | O/U 62.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | O/U 66.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | O/U 68.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 2H O/U 25.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 2H O/U 28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 2H O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | San Diego State O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | San Diego State O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | San Diego State O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | San Diego State 2H O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | San Diego State 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | San Diego State 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | San Diego State O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Toledo O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | $25 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | $25 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 131 | Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 132 | San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 133 | San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 134 | San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 135 | Spread -12.5 | 4850.0% | $100 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 136 | Spread -0.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 137 | San Diego State O/U 20.5 | 2050.0% | $5 | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 138 | San Diego State O/U 23.5 | 1850.0% | $47 | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 139 | O/U 58.5 | 1650.0% | $47 | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 140 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 1000.0% | $5 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 141 | 3Q Moneyline | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 142 | O/U 64.5 | 850.0% | $144 | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 143 | O/U 70.5 | 840.0% | — | 840¢ | -740¢ |
| 144 | Spread -13.5 | 355.0% | — | 355¢ | -255¢ |
| 145 | Spread -10.5 | 355.0% | $3.0K | 355¢ | -255¢ |
| 146 | Spread -4.5 | 355.0% | $5.9K | 355¢ | -255¢ |
| 147 | Spread -1.5 | 250.0% | $4.8K | 250¢ | -150¢ |
| 148 | Spread -9.5 | 245.0% | $2.8K | 245¢ | -145¢ |
| 149 | Spread -3.5 | 245.0% | $9.4K | 245¢ | -145¢ |
| 150 | Spread -2.5 | 245.0% | $63.8K | 245¢ | -145¢ |
| 151 | Spread -16.5 | 200.0% | — | 200¢ | -100¢ |
| 152 | Spread -6.5 | 200.0% | $3.5K | 200¢ | -100¢ |
| 153 | San Diego State vs. Toledo | 5.0% | $689.6K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and Toledo, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game.
This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 26, 2026
- 10:06 AMODOddstorm$37.65
Bought 72.4 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-2.5) at 0.52
- 05:22 AMLILiquidatedDegen$400.00
Bought 769.23077 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-2.5) at 0.52
- 05:09 AM0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872$3.91
Sold 8.88 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-3.5) at 0.44
- 04:59 AM0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872$5.88
Sold 11.53 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-2.5) at 0.51
- 04:36 AMSTStarch$5.87
Bought 10.482143 Under for San Diego State vs. Toledo: O/U 52.5 at 0.56
- 12:04 AMWRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r$34.65
Bought 63 San Diego State for Spread: Toledo (-3.5) at 0.55
Sep 25, 2026
- 11:34 PMNInigiri99$26.32
Bought 47 Over for San Diego State Team Total: O/U 23.5 at 0.56
- 11:30 PMHEHerdonia$95.26
Bought 167.122806 Toledo for San Diego State vs. Toledo at 0.57
- 11:30 PMHEHerdonia$108.76
Bought 190.807018 Toledo for San Diego State vs. Toledo at 0.57
- 08:21 PM0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872$4.00
Bought 8.888889 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-3.5) at 0.45
- 08:21 PMHOHomeRunHazard$2,197.00
Bought 3854.39 Toledo for San Diego State vs. Toledo at 0.57
- 08:21 PM0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872$6.00
Bought 11.538462 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-2.5) at 0.52
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「San Diego State vs. Toledo」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,O/U 40.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 46.5(9,995%),以及 O/U 48.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $895.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
