San Diego State vs. Toledo

$895.9K Vol
2026年9月26日
Active
機率趨勢
Toledo 99.6%
San Diego State 0.4%

核心摘要

根據「San Diego State vs. Toledo」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 40.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 46.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 48.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $895.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 40.5 (9,995%):O/U 40.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $3.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 46.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 46.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • O/U 48.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 48.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 38.5 (9,950%)、O/U 42.5 (9,950%),以及 O/U 44.5 (9,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 40.59995.0%$3.4K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 46.59995.0%$5.0K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 48.59995.0%$9.7K9995¢-9895¢
4O/U 38.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
5O/U 42.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
6O/U 44.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
7Spread -1.59855.0%$4.8K9855¢-9755¢
8Spread -2.59850.0%$63.8K9850¢-9750¢
9Spread -3.59750.0%$9.4K9750¢-9650¢
10Spread -4.59450.0%$5.9K9450¢-9350¢
11Spread -5.59200.0%$6.5K9200¢-9100¢
12Spread -9.59065.0%$2.8K9065¢-8965¢
13Spread -7.59050.0%$6.3K9050¢-8950¢
14Spread -11.59050.0%$359050¢-8950¢
15Spread -14.59050.0%$20.2K9050¢-8950¢
16Spread -10.59000.0%$3.0K9000¢-8900¢
172H O/U 19.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
182H O/U 22.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
193Q Spread -0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
203Q Spread -1.59000.0%$59000¢-8900¢
213Q Spread -2.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
223Q Spread -3.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
233Q Spread -5.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
24Both Teams to Score Points - Q39000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
25Spread -17.58950.0%$5.2K8950¢-8850¢
26Spread -6.58505.0%$3.5K8505¢-8405¢
27Spread -24.57950.0%$4.4K7950¢-7850¢
28O/U 50.57500.0%$28.6K7500¢-7400¢
29O/U 52.57450.0%$4.1K7450¢-7350¢
30Spread -0.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
31Spread -8.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
32Spread -12.55150.0%$1005150¢-5050¢
33Spread -18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Spread -21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36O/U 54.55000.0%$6.9K5000¢-4900¢
37O/U 56.55000.0%$4.5K5000¢-4900¢
38O/U 60.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39O/U 62.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40O/U 66.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41O/U 68.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
422H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
432H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
442H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
452H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
462H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
472H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
482H O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
492H O/U 28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
502H O/U 31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
514Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
524Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
534Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
544Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
554Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
564Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
574Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
584Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
594Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
604Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
614Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62San Diego State O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63San Diego State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64San Diego State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65San Diego State 2H O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66San Diego State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67San Diego State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
682H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69San Diego State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Toledo O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
714Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
129Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
131Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Spread -12.54850.0%$1004850¢-4750¢
136Spread -0.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
137San Diego State O/U 20.52050.0%$52050¢-1950¢
138San Diego State O/U 23.51850.0%$471850¢-1750¢
139O/U 58.51650.0%$471650¢-1550¢
1403Q Spread -1.51000.0%$51000¢-900¢
1413Q Moneyline1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
142O/U 64.5850.0%$144850¢-750¢
143O/U 70.5840.0%—840¢-740¢
144Spread -13.5355.0%—355¢-255¢
145Spread -10.5355.0%$3.0K355¢-255¢
146Spread -4.5355.0%$5.9K355¢-255¢
147Spread -1.5250.0%$4.8K250¢-150¢
148Spread -9.5245.0%$2.8K245¢-145¢
149Spread -3.5245.0%$9.4K245¢-145¢
150Spread -2.5245.0%$63.8K245¢-145¢
151Spread -16.5200.0%—200¢-100¢
152Spread -6.5200.0%$3.5K200¢-100¢
153San Diego State vs. Toledo5.0%$689.6K5¢95¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and Toledo, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 10:06 AM
    ODOddstorm
    $37.65

    Bought 72.4 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-2.5) at 0.52

  • 05:22 AM
    LILiquidatedDegen
    $400.00

    Bought 769.23077 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-2.5) at 0.52

  • 05:09 AM
    0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872
    $3.91

    Sold 8.88 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-3.5) at 0.44

  • 04:59 AM
    0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872
    $5.88

    Sold 11.53 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-2.5) at 0.51

  • 04:36 AM
    STStarch
    $5.87

    Bought 10.482143 Under for San Diego State vs. Toledo: O/U 52.5 at 0.56

  • 12:04 AM
    WRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r
    $34.65

    Bought 63 San Diego State for Spread: Toledo (-3.5) at 0.55

Sep 25, 2026

  • 11:34 PM
    NInigiri99
    $26.32

    Bought 47 Over for San Diego State Team Total: O/U 23.5 at 0.56

  • 11:30 PM
    HEHerdonia
    $95.26

    Bought 167.122806 Toledo for San Diego State vs. Toledo at 0.57

  • 11:30 PM
    HEHerdonia
    $108.76

    Bought 190.807018 Toledo for San Diego State vs. Toledo at 0.57

  • 08:21 PM
    0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872
    $4.00

    Bought 8.888889 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 08:21 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $2,197.00

    Bought 3854.39 Toledo for San Diego State vs. Toledo at 0.57

  • 08:21 PM
    0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872
    $6.00

    Bought 11.538462 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-2.5) at 0.52

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SA1
Sassy-Bucket
事件損益
-$1,442.41
成交量
$239,271.00
持倉數
San Diego State
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
+$905.10
成交量
$139,293.24
持倉數
Toledo
WR3
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件損益
+$85.07
成交量
$49,162.64
持倉數
San Diego StateOverSan Diego State+1
HO4
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
-$57.19
成交量
$48,882.18
持倉數
ToledoOverOver+3
MA5
maz26
事件損益
-$199.43
成交量
$40,113.10
持倉數
ToledoToledo
MO6
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件損益
+$102.33
成交量
$20,108.32
持倉數
San Diego StateSan Diego State
HE7
0xheavy888
事件損益
+$100.00
成交量
$20,000.00
持倉數
Toledo
NI8
nigiri99
事件損益
+$210.96
成交量
$18,048.00
持倉數
UnderUnderToledo+1

常見問題

目前市場對「San Diego State vs. Toledo」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 40.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 46.5(9,995%),以及 O/U 48.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $895.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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