South Dakota State vs. Northwestern

$33.1K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
機率趨勢
Northwestern 81.5%
South Dakota State 18.5%

核心摘要

根據「South Dakota State vs. Northwestern」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，O/U 26.5 以壓倒性的 9,400% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 28.5 以 9,400% 位居第二，O/U 30.5 以 9,100% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $33.1K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • O/U 26.5 (9,400%)：O/U 26.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,400¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • O/U 28.5 (9,400%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 28.5 保持著 9,400% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,400¢。
  • O/U 30.5 (9,100%)：以 9,100% 的機率位列第三，市場對 O/U 30.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

  • 替代選項：包括 O/U 32.5 (8,850%)、O/U 34.5 (8,550%)，以及 O/U 36.5 (8,250%)。
  • 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Spread -0.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1O/U 26.59400.0%—9400¢-9300¢
2O/U 28.59400.0%—9400¢-9300¢
3O/U 30.59100.0%—9100¢-9000¢
4O/U 32.58850.0%—8850¢-8750¢
5O/U 34.58550.0%—8550¢-8450¢
6O/U 36.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
7Spread -0.58050.0%—8050¢-7950¢
8Spread -1.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
9O/U 38.57700.0%—7700¢-7600¢
10South Dakota State O/U 10.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
11Northwestern O/U 23.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
12Spread -2.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
13O/U 40.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
14Spread -3.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
15Spread -4.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
16Northwestern O/U 24.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
17South Dakota State O/U 13.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
18O/U 42.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
19Spread -5.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
20Northwestern O/U 26.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
21Spread -6.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
22Northwestern O/U 27.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
23O/U 44.56050.0%$1.1K6050¢-5950¢
24Spread -7.55950.0%$45950¢-5850¢
25Spread -8.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
26O/U 46.55750.0%$5.3K5750¢-5650¢
27South Dakota State O/U 16.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
281H Spread -6.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
29Northwestern O/U 29.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
30Spread -10.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
31Northwestern O/U 30.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
323Q Spread -2.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
334Q Spread -2.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
34Spread: Northwestern (-12.5)5050.0%$735050¢-4950¢
35O/U 48.55050.0%$725050¢-4950¢
361Q Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
371Q Spread -5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
383Q Moneyline5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
39Northwestern 1H O/U 16.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
403Q Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
413Q Spread -4.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
423Q Spread -5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
43South Dakota State 1H O/U 5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
443Q Spread -0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Northwestern 1H O/U 18.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
461H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
471H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
481H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
491Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
501Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
511Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
522Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
534Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
544Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
554Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
564Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Northwestern 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58South Dakota State 1H O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
592Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
602Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
612Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
622Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63South Dakota State O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64South Dakota State O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65South Dakota State O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66South Dakota State O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67South Dakota State O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68South Dakota State 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
692H Moneyline4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
701Q Spread -1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
714Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
72Northwestern 1H O/U 14.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
731Q Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
743Q Spread -1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
75South Dakota State 1H O/U 7.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
761H Spread -7.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
772Q Spread -4.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
78Spread -13.54750.0%$3.5K4750¢-4650¢
79O/U 50.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
80South Dakota State O/U 19.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
81Northwestern O/U 32.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
82Spread -14.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
83Northwestern O/U 33.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
84O/U 52.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
85Spread -16.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
86Spread -17.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
87O/U 54.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
881H Spread -9.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
89South Dakota State O/U 22.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
90Northwestern O/U 35.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
91Northwestern O/U 36.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
92O/U 56.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
93Spread -20.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
94Spread -21.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
95O/U 58.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
96O/U 60.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
97Spread -24.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
98South Dakota State vs. Northwestern1850.0%$23.0K1850¢-1750¢
99O/U 62.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
100O/U 64.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
101Spread -27.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
102O/U 66.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
103Spread -31.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
104Spread -34.5650.0%—650¢-550¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 8:00PM ET:

If South Dakota State wins, the market will resolve to "South Dakota State".

If Northwestern wins, the market will resolve to "Northwestern".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 06:28 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $10.34

    Bought 19.14 South Dakota State for Spread: Northwestern (-13.5) at 0.54

  • 05:40 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.57

    Bought 19.14 Northwestern for Spread: Northwestern (-12.5) at 0.5

  • 05:29 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.76

    Bought 19.14 South Dakota State for Spread: Northwestern (-12.5) at 0.51

  • 04:06 AM
    NInigiri99
    $20.71

    Bought 109 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:56 AM
    NInigiri99
    $17.10

    Bought 90 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:53 AM
    NInigiri99
    $8.93

    Bought 47 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:49 AM
    NInigiri99
    $8.55

    Bought 45 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:49 AM
    NInigiri99
    $26.98

    Bought 142 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:48 AM
    NInigiri99
    $3.42

    Bought 18 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:46 AM
    NInigiri99
    $4.37

    Bought 23 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:46 AM
    NInigiri99
    $22.42

    Bought 118 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:46 AM
    NInigiri99
    $7.98

    Bought 42 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

CA1
CanadianGoose
事件損益
-$235.27
成交量
$18,000.00
持倉數
Northwestern
IM2
imjustkenisghey
事件損益
+$157.85
成交量
$9,769.36
持倉數
South Dakota State
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$109.65
成交量
$9,167.24
持倉數
OverSouth Dakota StateOver+2
TW4
twotontony
事件損益
+$35.01
成交量
$3,320.78
持倉數
NorthwesternOver
VE5
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$58.40
成交量
$2,842.12
持倉數
UnderUnder
BA6
Bagwell306
事件損益
-$12.50
成交量
$2,500.00
持倉數
Under
NI7
nigiri99
事件損益
-$7.95
成交量
$2,431.00
持倉數
South Dakota StateSouth Dakota StateNorthwestern+1
7D8
0x7df8…80fe
事件損益
-$17.86
成交量
$1,190.47
持倉數
Northwestern

常見問題

目前市場對「South Dakota State vs. Northwestern」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，O/U 26.5 以 9,400% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 28.5（9,400%），以及 O/U 30.5（9,100%）。該市場總成交量已達 $33.1K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始