
Purdue vs. Illinois
核心摘要
根據「Purdue vs. Illinois」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Purdue vs. Illinois 以壓倒性的 7,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 39.5 以 6,750% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 6,650% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $280.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Purdue vs. Illinois (7,000%):Purdue vs. Illinois 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $41.0K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- O/U 39.5 (6,750%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 39.5 保持著 6,750% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,750¢。
- Spread -1.5 (6,650%):以 6,650% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Spread -3.5 (5,500%)、Spread -4.5 (5,400%),以及 Spread -5.5 (5,200%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -0.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Purdue vs. Illinois | 7000.0% | $41.0K | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 2 | O/U 39.5 | 6750.0% | — | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 3 | Spread -1.5 | 6650.0% | $3.7K | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 4 | Spread -3.5 | 5500.0% | $5.0K | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 5 | Spread -4.5 | 5400.0% | $8 | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 6 | Spread -5.5 | 5200.0% | $3.3K | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 7 | Spread -0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 8 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 9 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 10 | Purdue O/U 26.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 11 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 12 | Illinois O/U 4.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 13 | Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Spread -17.5 | 5000.0% | $32 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Spread -16.5 | 5000.0% | $37 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | $11.6K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | $11.6K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | O/U 37.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | O/U 41.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | O/U 43.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | O/U 45.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | O/U 55.5 | 5000.0% | $502 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Purdue O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Purdue O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Illinois O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | $25 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Illinois O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | $10 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Illinois O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Purdue 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Purdue 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Purdue 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Illinois 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Illinois 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Illinois 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Purdue vs. Illinois: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Purdue vs. Illinois: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Purdue vs. Illinois: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Purdue 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Purdue 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Purdue vs. Illinois: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Purdue vs. Illinois: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Purdue vs. Illinois: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | 2H Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | 2H Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | Purdue O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | Spread -2.5 | 4950.0% | $4.9K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 127 | O/U 49.5 | 4950.0% | $3.0K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 128 | O/U 65.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 129 | O/U 67.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 130 | O/U 71.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 131 | O/U 73.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 132 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 133 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 134 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 135 | Purdue O/U 20.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 136 | Purdue O/U 23.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 137 | Illinois O/U 35.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 138 | Game Goes to Overtime | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 139 | Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 140 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 141 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 142 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 143 | Spread -6.5 | 4500.0% | $30 | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 144 | O/U 53.5 | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 145 | O/U 47.5 | 3900.0% | $4.5K | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 146 | Spread -7.5 | 3700.0% | $55 | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 147 | Illinois O/U 23.5 | 3500.0% | $24 | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 148 | Spread -13.5 | 2705.0% | $216 | 2705¢ | -2605¢ |
| 149 | O/U 51.5 | 2700.0% | $10.7K | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 150 | Spread -2.5 | 2600.0% | $4.9K | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 151 | Spread -10.5 | 2410.0% | $25.1K | 2410¢ | -2310¢ |
| 152 | Spread -3.5 | 2350.0% | $5.0K | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 153 | Spread -1.5 | 2100.0% | $3.7K | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 154 | Spread -17.5 | 1685.0% | $32 | 1685¢ | -1585¢ |
| 155 | Spread -13.5 | 1600.0% | $216 | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 156 | Spread -14.5 | 1590.0% | $43 | 1590¢ | -1490¢ |
| 157 | Spread -7.5 | 1500.0% | $55 | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 158 | O/U 59.5 | 1500.0% | $548 | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 159 | O/U 57.5 | 1350.0% | $422 | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 160 | O/U 61.5 | 1250.0% | $123.6K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 161 | Spread -14.5 | 1150.0% | $43 | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 162 | Spread -4.5 | 1050.0% | $8 | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 163 | Spread -5.5 | 1000.0% | $3.3K | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 164 | Spread -16.5 | 950.0% | $37 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 165 | O/U 63.5 | 750.0% | $23.1K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 166 | Spread -6.5 | 650.0% | $30 | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 167 | Spread -10.5 | 450.0% | $25.1K | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 168 | O/U 69.5 | 395.0% | — | 395¢ | -295¢ |
| 169 | O/U 75.5 | 300.0% | $160 | 300¢ | -200¢ |
| 170 | Spread -20.5 | 250.0% | — | 250¢ | -150¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Purdue and Illinois, scheduled for October 3 at 4:15PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Purdue" if Purdue win the game.
This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 3, 2026
- 09:44 PMAVAvocadosFromMexico$3.50
Bought 5 Under for Illinois Team Total: O/U 32.5 at 0.7
- 09:44 PMAVAvocadosFromMexico$2.65
Bought 5 Under for Illinois Team Total: O/U 29.5 at 0.53
- 09:44 PMTOtorta.tech$1.95
Bought 5 Under for Illinois Team Total: O/U 26.5 at 0.39
- 09:43 PM0X0xc976cbfEa6636488fAbcE2B29ed7d5C1d12Ac147-1789895696530$1.19
Bought 1.803029 Purdue for Spread: Illinois (-3.5) at 0.66
- 09:43 PMBOBOB6633$3.30
Bought 5 Purdue for Spread: Illinois (-3.5) at 0.66
- 09:43 PMPLplatarb$2.88
Bought 8.228572 Illinois for Spread: Illinois (-3.5) at 0.35
- 09:43 PMPXpxxp$11.16
Bought 31.885715 Illinois for Spread: Illinois (-3.5) at 0.35
- 09:42 PMANantec$192.00
Bought 400 Purdue for Purdue vs. Illinois at 0.48
- 09:42 PMBIBillBenter2026$94.08
Bought 196 Purdue for Purdue vs. Illinois at 0.48
- 09:42 PMSHSherz99$1,050.00
Bought 2187.5 Purdue for Purdue vs. Illinois at 0.48
- 09:42 PMBIBillBenter2026$99.84
Bought 208 Purdue for Purdue vs. Illinois at 0.48
- 09:42 PM——$3.00
Bought 5.660378 Illinois for Purdue vs. Illinois at 0.53
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Purdue vs. Illinois」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Purdue vs. Illinois 以 7,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 39.5(6,750%),以及 Spread -1.5(6,650%)。該市場總成交量已達 $280.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
