Purdue vs. Illinois

$280.9K Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
機率趨勢
Purdue 61.5%
Illinois 36.5%

核心摘要

根據「Purdue vs. Illinois」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Purdue vs. Illinois 以壓倒性的 7,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 39.5 以 6,750% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 6,650% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $280.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Purdue vs. Illinois (7,000%):Purdue vs. Illinois 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $41.0K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 39.5 (6,750%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 39.5 保持著 6,750% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,750¢。
  • Spread -1.5 (6,650%):以 6,650% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -3.5 (5,500%)、Spread -4.5 (5,400%),以及 Spread -5.5 (5,200%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -0.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Purdue vs. Illinois7000.0%$41.0K7000¢-6900¢
2O/U 39.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
3Spread -1.56650.0%$3.7K6650¢-6550¢
4Spread -3.55500.0%$5.0K5500¢-5400¢
5Spread -4.55400.0%$85400¢-5300¢
6Spread -5.55200.0%$3.3K5200¢-5100¢
7Spread -0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
82H O/U 30.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
94Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
10Purdue O/U 26.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
114Q Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
12Illinois O/U 4.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
13Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Spread -17.55000.0%$325000¢-4900¢
15Spread -16.55000.0%$375000¢-4900¢
16Spread -8.55000.0%$11.6K5000¢-4900¢
17Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Spread -8.55000.0%$11.6K5000¢-4900¢
19O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20O/U 37.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21O/U 41.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22O/U 43.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23O/U 45.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24O/U 55.55000.0%$5025000¢-4900¢
252H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
262H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
272H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
282H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
293Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
303Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
313Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
324Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
334Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
344Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Purdue O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Purdue O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Illinois O/U 26.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
38Illinois O/U 29.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
39Illinois O/U 32.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
40Purdue 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Purdue 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Purdue 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Illinois 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Illinois 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Illinois 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Purdue vs. Illinois: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Purdue vs. Illinois: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Purdue vs. Illinois: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Purdue 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Purdue 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Purdue vs. Illinois: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Purdue vs. Illinois: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Purdue vs. Illinois: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1082H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1092H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1102H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1112H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1122H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1132H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1143Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1153Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1163Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1173Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1184Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1194Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1204Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1214Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Purdue O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1243Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1254Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Spread -2.54950.0%$4.9K4950¢-4850¢
127O/U 49.54950.0%$3.0K4950¢-4850¢
128O/U 65.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
129O/U 67.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
130O/U 71.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
131O/U 73.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1323Q O/U 16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1333Q O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1344Q O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
135Purdue O/U 20.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
136Purdue O/U 23.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
137Illinois O/U 35.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
138Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
139Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1403Q Spread -1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1413Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1424Q Spread -1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
143Spread -6.54500.0%$304500¢-4400¢
144O/U 53.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
145O/U 47.53900.0%$4.5K3900¢-3800¢
146Spread -7.53700.0%$553700¢-3600¢
147Illinois O/U 23.53500.0%$243500¢-3400¢
148Spread -13.52705.0%$2162705¢-2605¢
149O/U 51.52700.0%$10.7K2700¢-2600¢
150Spread -2.52600.0%$4.9K2600¢-2500¢
151Spread -10.52410.0%$25.1K2410¢-2310¢
152Spread -3.52350.0%$5.0K2350¢-2250¢
153Spread -1.52100.0%$3.7K2100¢-2000¢
154Spread -17.51685.0%$321685¢-1585¢
155Spread -13.51600.0%$2161600¢-1500¢
156Spread -14.51590.0%$431590¢-1490¢
157Spread -7.51500.0%$551500¢-1400¢
158O/U 59.51500.0%$5481500¢-1400¢
159O/U 57.51350.0%$4221350¢-1250¢
160O/U 61.51250.0%$123.6K1250¢-1150¢
161Spread -14.51150.0%$431150¢-1050¢
162Spread -4.51050.0%$81050¢-950¢
163Spread -5.51000.0%$3.3K1000¢-900¢
164Spread -16.5950.0%$37950¢-850¢
165O/U 63.5750.0%$23.1K750¢-650¢
166Spread -6.5650.0%$30650¢-550¢
167Spread -10.5450.0%$25.1K450¢-350¢
168O/U 69.5395.0%—395¢-295¢
169O/U 75.5300.0%$160300¢-200¢
170Spread -20.5250.0%—250¢-150¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Purdue and Illinois, scheduled for October 3 at 4:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Purdue" if Purdue win the game.

This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 09:44 PM
    AVAvocadosFromMexico
    $3.50

    Bought 5 Under for Illinois Team Total: O/U 32.5 at 0.7

  • 09:44 PM
    AVAvocadosFromMexico
    $2.65

    Bought 5 Under for Illinois Team Total: O/U 29.5 at 0.53

  • 09:44 PM
    TOtorta.tech
    $1.95

    Bought 5 Under for Illinois Team Total: O/U 26.5 at 0.39

  • 09:43 PM
    0X0xc976cbfEa6636488fAbcE2B29ed7d5C1d12Ac147-1789895696530
    $1.19

    Bought 1.803029 Purdue for Spread: Illinois (-3.5) at 0.66

  • 09:43 PM
    BOBOB6633
    $3.30

    Bought 5 Purdue for Spread: Illinois (-3.5) at 0.66

  • 09:43 PM
    PLplatarb
    $2.88

    Bought 8.228572 Illinois for Spread: Illinois (-3.5) at 0.35

  • 09:43 PM
    PXpxxp
    $11.16

    Bought 31.885715 Illinois for Spread: Illinois (-3.5) at 0.35

  • 09:42 PM
    ANantec
    $192.00

    Bought 400 Purdue for Purdue vs. Illinois at 0.48

  • 09:42 PM
    BIBillBenter2026
    $94.08

    Bought 196 Purdue for Purdue vs. Illinois at 0.48

  • 09:42 PM
    SHSherz99
    $1,050.00

    Bought 2187.5 Purdue for Purdue vs. Illinois at 0.48

  • 09:42 PM
    BIBillBenter2026
    $99.84

    Bought 208 Purdue for Purdue vs. Illinois at 0.48

  • 09:42 PM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 5.660378 Illinois for Purdue vs. Illinois at 0.53

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

MO1
mooseborzoii
事件損益
+$302.48
成交量
$18,957.29
持倉數
UnderUnderIllinois+1
HO2
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$35.09
成交量
$9,769.74
持倉數
IllinoisOverUnder+2
TO3
tomb2456
事件損益
+$49.51
成交量
$6,451.56
持倉數
UnderUnder
JA4
JAMJAMJAM4
事件損益
-$142.50
成交量
$5,700.00
持倉數
Over
VE5
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$7.85
成交量
$5,697.87
持倉數
OverPurdueOver+1
MO6
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$25.77
成交量
$4,872.00
持倉數
PurduePurdueOver+1
WE7
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
事件損益
-$17.50
成交量
$3,500.00
持倉數
OverOver
638
0x6387…95dc
事件損益
-$14.20
成交量
$3,007.71
持倉數
IllinoisOver

常見問題

目前市場對「Purdue vs. Illinois」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Purdue vs. Illinois 以 7,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 39.5(6,750%),以及 Spread -1.5(6,650%)。該市場總成交量已達 $280.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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