Penn State vs. Northwestern

$130.1K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
機率趨勢
Penn State 56.5%
Northwestern 43.5%

核心摘要

根據「Penn State vs. Northwestern」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 35.5 以壓倒性的 7,700% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 37.5 以 7,350% 位居第二,1H O/U 21.5 以 7,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $130.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (7,700%):O/U 35.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,700¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $25 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 37.5 (7,350%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 37.5 保持著 7,350% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,350¢。
  • 1H O/U 21.5 (7,250%):以 7,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 1H O/U 21.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 39.5 (6,950%)、O/U 41.5 (6,550%),以及 Penn State O/U 20.5 (6,400%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 43.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 35.57700.0%$257700¢-7600¢
2O/U 37.57350.0%$297350¢-7250¢
31H O/U 21.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
4O/U 39.56950.0%$296950¢-6850¢
5O/U 41.56550.0%$406550¢-6450¢
6Penn State O/U 20.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
7O/U 43.55950.0%$1.7K5950¢-5850¢
8Penn State vs. Northwestern5650.0%$59.7K5650¢-5550¢
9Spread -0.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
101H O/U 33.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
111Q Spread -3.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
12O/U 45.55450.0%$19.8K5450¢-5350¢
13Spread -1.55400.0%$1565400¢-5300¢
14Penn State O/U 23.55400.0%$3895400¢-5300¢
151H Moneyline5300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
162Q O/U 10.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
17Spread -2.55150.0%$1895150¢-5050¢
181Q O/U 7.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
192Q O/U 19.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
201Q Moneyline5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
212H O/U 27.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
222H O/U 30.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
232Q O/U 13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
24Penn State 1H O/U 11.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
25Northwestern O/U 2.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
262H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
272H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
282H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
294Q O/U 16.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
30Penn State 1H O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
31Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
322H Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
333Q Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
342Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
353Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
363Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
373Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
383Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
393Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
404Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
414Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
424Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
434Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Penn State 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Northwestern 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Penn State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Penn State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Penn State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Northwestern 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Northwestern 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Northwestern 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Penn State vs. Northwestern: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Penn State vs. Northwestern: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Penn State vs. Northwestern: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Northwestern 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Northwestern 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Penn State vs. Northwestern: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Penn State vs. Northwestern: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1152H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1162H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1172H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1182H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1191Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1201Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1212Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1232Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1242Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1252Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1263Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1273Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1283Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1293Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1303Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1314Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1324Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1334Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1344Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Penn State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1372Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1383Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1394Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
140Northwestern 1H O/U 16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
141Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1422H Spread -2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1431Q Spread -1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1442Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1454Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
146O/U 47.54850.0%$1.9K4850¢-4750¢
147Northwestern O/U 29.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
148Penn State vs. Northwestern: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1491H Spread -1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
1501H Spread -0.54750.0%$3.8K4750¢-4650¢
1514Q Spread -1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
1522Q O/U 7.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
153Northwestern O/U 23.54600.0%$874600¢-4500¢
154Northwestern O/U 35.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
1551H O/U 24.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
156Northwestern 1H O/U 12.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
1571H Spread -0.54350.0%$3.8K4350¢-4250¢
158Spread -0.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
159Northwestern O/U 26.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
160Spread -3.54250.0%$1104250¢-4150¢
161O/U 49.54250.0%$1144250¢-4150¢
162Spread -1.54200.0%$1564200¢-4100¢
163Spread -17.54200.0%$854200¢-4100¢
1641H Spread -1.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
165Spread -4.54100.0%$3264100¢-4000¢
166Spread -2.54050.0%$1894050¢-3950¢
167Spread -5.54000.0%$3234000¢-3900¢
168Spread -20.53950.0%$2263950¢-3850¢
169Penn State O/U 32.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
1701Q Spread -0.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
1711H Spread -3.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
172Northwestern O/U 32.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
173Penn State O/U 29.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
174Spread -6.53700.0%$1303700¢-3600¢
175O/U 51.53650.0%$53650¢-3550¢
176Spread -3.53450.0%$1103450¢-3350¢
1771Q O/U 10.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
178Penn State O/U 26.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
1791Q O/U 13.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
1801H Spread -3.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
181O/U 53.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
1821H O/U 27.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
183Spread -7.53150.0%$2663150¢-3050¢
184Spread -8.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
185Spread -4.53050.0%$3263050¢-2950¢
186Spread -16.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
187Spread -5.52950.0%$3232950¢-2850¢
188Spread -6.52750.0%$1302750¢-2650¢
1891Q Spread -3.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
190O/U 55.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
1911H O/U 30.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
192Spread -10.52500.0%$3162500¢-2400¢
193O/U 57.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
194Spread -7.52200.0%$2662200¢-2100¢
195Spread -13.52050.0%$5272050¢-1950¢
196Spread -8.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
197O/U 59.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
198Spread -14.51750.0%$9161750¢-1650¢
199Spread -10.51750.0%$3161750¢-1650¢
200O/U 63.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
201O/U 61.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
2021Q O/U 16.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
203Spread -16.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
204Spread -17.51350.0%$851350¢-1250¢
205Spread -13.51350.0%$5271350¢-1250¢
206O/U 65.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
207Spread -14.51050.0%$9161050¢-950¢
208Spread -20.51000.0%$2261000¢-900¢
2091Q O/U 19.5950.0%$2950¢-850¢
210O/U 69.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
211O/U 67.5800.0%$28800¢-700¢
212O/U 71.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
213O/U 73.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
214O/U 75.5650.0%—650¢-550¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Penn State and Northwestern, scheduled for October 2 at 8:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Northwestern" if Northwestern win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 2, 2026

  • 09:41 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.80

    Bought 18.15 Over for Penn State vs. Northwestern: O/U 45.5 at 0.54

  • 09:41 PM
    02024370
    $57.00

    Bought 100 Penn State for Penn State vs. Northwestern at 0.57

  • 09:41 PM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615385 Penn State for Spread: Penn State (-2.5) at 0.52

  • 09:39 PM
    ——
    $14.48

    Sold 25.86 Penn State for Penn State vs. Northwestern at 0.56

  • 09:39 PM
    ACACTA2MUTANT
    $40.00

    Bought 70.175439 Penn State for Penn State vs. Northwestern at 0.57

  • 09:38 PM
    NIninemmmm
    $1.10

    Bought 5 Northwestern for Spread: Northwestern (-7.5) at 0.22

  • 09:34 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $58.77

    Bought 326.5 Penn State for Spread: Penn State (-14.5) at 0.18

  • 09:34 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $34.54

    Bought 157 Northwestern for Spread: Northwestern (-7.5) at 0.22

  • 09:29 PM
    0X0xAff1b5E12F494089BD956248046A12842EccB691-1790858343755
    $1.72

    Sold 10.09 Penn State for Spread: Penn State (-14.5) at 0.17

  • 09:22 PM
    CHCharlieEcho1510
    $5.00

    Bought 8.77193 Penn State for Penn State vs. Northwestern at 0.57

  • 09:22 PM
    0X0x3981AD83017C5D0A2d6e53f5AdA011a9A4018809-1780766946736
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754386 Penn State for Penn State vs. Northwestern at 0.57

  • 09:18 PM
    DUdunkie-duncs
    $5.00

    Bought 9.25926 Over for Penn State vs. Northwestern: O/U 45.5 at 0.54

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

MO1
mooseborzoii
事件損益
+$137.22
成交量
$22,727.59
持倉數
NorthwesternNorthwesternPenn State+1
AR2
ArielFilipino
事件損益
-$306.49
成交量
$21,300.00
持倉數
Penn State
WR3
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件損益
+$303.15
成交量
$20,208.90
持倉數
Northwestern
MO4
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$26.13
成交量
$19,364.82
持倉數
OverPenn StateNorthwestern+14
GA5
gagarin59
事件損益
-$16.57
成交量
$17,564.04
持倉數
UnderUnderNorthwestern+3
TY6
tysonuw
事件損益
-$31.53
成交量
$6,307.04
持倉數
Penn State
CH7
ChampGamp
事件損益
-$26.31
成交量
$5,263.16
持倉數
Penn State
JA8
JAMJAMJAM4
事件損益
+$17.90
成交量
$3,840.00
持倉數
Over

常見問題

目前市場對「Penn State vs. Northwestern」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 7,700% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 37.5(7,350%),以及 1H O/U 21.5(7,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $130.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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