New Mexico vs. Oklahoma

$206.5K Vol
2026年9月20日
Active
機率趨勢
Oklahoma 98.7%
New Mexico 1.4%

核心摘要

根據「New Mexico vs. Oklahoma」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Spread -1.5 以壓倒性的 9,955% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -4.5 以 9,955% 位居第二,Spread -5.5 以 9,955% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $206.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,955%):Spread -1.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,955¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -4.5 (9,955%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -4.5 保持著 9,955% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,955¢。
  • Spread -5.5 (9,955%):以 9,955% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -5.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -7.5 (9,955%)、2H Spread -6.5 (9,050%),以及 3Q Spread -2.5 (9,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 3Q Spread -4.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Spread -1.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
2Spread -4.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
3Spread -5.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
4Spread -7.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
52H Spread -6.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
63Q Spread -2.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
73Q Spread -4.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
83Q Spread -5.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
93Q Spread -6.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
103Q Spread -0.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
113Q Spread -3.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
12Oklahoma O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
134Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
142H Moneyline950.0%950¢-850¢
15New Mexico O/U 1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
163Q Moneyline950.0%950¢-850¢
172H Spread -8.5950.0%950¢-850¢
182H Spread -9.5950.0%950¢-850¢
192H Spread -10.5950.0%950¢-850¢
202H Spread -11.5950.0%950¢-850¢
212H Spread -13.5950.0%950¢-850¢
222H O/U 14.5950.0%950¢-850¢
232H O/U 17.5950.0%950¢-850¢
242H O/U 20.5950.0%$46950¢-850¢
252H O/U 23.5950.0%950¢-850¢
262H O/U 26.5950.0%950¢-850¢
273Q Spread -7.5950.0%950¢-850¢
283Q Spread -9.5950.0%950¢-850¢
293Q O/U 8.5950.0%950¢-850¢
303Q O/U 11.5950.0%950¢-850¢
313Q O/U 14.5950.0%950¢-850¢
324Q Spread -2.5950.0%950¢-850¢
334Q Spread -4.5950.0%950¢-850¢
344Q Spread -5.5950.0%950¢-850¢
354Q Spread -6.5950.0%950¢-850¢
364Q Spread -7.5950.0%950¢-850¢
374Q Spread -9.5950.0%950¢-850¢
384Q O/U 4.5950.0%950¢-850¢
394Q O/U 7.5950.0%950¢-850¢
404Q O/U 10.5950.0%950¢-850¢
414Q O/U 13.5950.0%950¢-850¢
424Q O/U 16.5950.0%950¢-850¢
43New Mexico 2H O/U 4.5950.0%950¢-850¢
44New Mexico 2H O/U 6.5950.0%950¢-850¢
45New Mexico 2H O/U 8.5950.0%950¢-850¢
46Oklahoma 2H O/U 12.5950.0%950¢-850¢
47Oklahoma 2H O/U 14.5950.0%950¢-850¢
48Oklahoma 2H O/U 16.5950.0%950¢-850¢
49O/U 25.550.0%50¢50¢
50O/U 27.550.0%50¢50¢
51O/U 29.550.0%$1050¢50¢
52O/U 31.550.0%50¢50¢
53O/U 33.550.0%50¢50¢
54O/U 35.550.0%50¢50¢
55O/U 37.550.0%$2550¢50¢
56O/U 39.550.0%50¢50¢
57O/U 41.550.0%$2650¢50¢
58O/U 43.550.0%50¢50¢
59O/U 45.550.0%$49.0K50¢50¢
60O/U 47.550.0%$15050¢50¢
61O/U 53.550.0%50¢50¢
62O/U 55.550.0%50¢50¢
63O/U 57.550.0%50¢50¢
64O/U 59.550.0%50¢50¢
65O/U 61.550.0%50¢50¢
66O/U 63.550.0%50¢50¢
67O/U 65.550.0%50¢50¢
68New Mexico O/U 15.550.0%$1050¢50¢
69Spread -11.545.0%$11045¢55¢
70Spread -13.545.0%$5045¢55¢
71Spread -14.545.0%$9945¢55¢
72Spread -15.545.0%$645¢55¢
73Spread -16.545.0%$2545¢55¢
74Spread -17.545.0%45¢55¢
75Spread -18.545.0%$2545¢55¢
76Spread -19.545.0%45¢55¢
77Spread -22.545.0%$445¢55¢
78Spread -23.545.0%45¢55¢
79Spread -24.545.0%$10945¢55¢
80Spread -25.545.0%45¢55¢
81Spread -26.545.0%$2545¢55¢
82Spread -27.545.0%$2545¢55¢
83Spread -28.545.0%$645¢55¢
84Spread -29.545.0%45¢55¢
85Spread -30.545.0%45¢55¢
86Spread -32.545.0%45¢55¢
87Spread -35.545.0%45¢55¢
88Spread -36.545.0%45¢55¢
89Spread -38.545.0%45¢55¢
90Spread -39.545.0%45¢55¢
91Spread -42.545.0%45¢55¢
92O/U 49.545.0%$3.7K45¢55¢
93O/U 51.545.0%$3.8K45¢55¢
94New Mexico O/U 6.545.0%45¢55¢
95New Mexico O/U 9.545.0%45¢55¢
96New Mexico O/U 12.545.0%45¢55¢
97New Mexico O/U 18.545.0%45¢55¢
98Oklahoma O/U 27.545.0%45¢55¢
99Oklahoma O/U 30.545.0%45¢55¢
100Oklahoma O/U 33.545.0%45¢55¢
101Oklahoma O/U 36.545.0%45¢55¢
102Oklahoma O/U 39.545.0%45¢55¢
103New Mexico vs. Oklahoma5.0%$116.3K95¢
104Spread -8.55.0%$20095¢
105Spread -20.55.0%$2.1K95¢
106Spread -21.55.0%$35.5K95¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico and Oklahoma, scheduled for September 19 at 7:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game.

This market will resolve to "Oklahoma" if Oklahoma win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:34 PM
    ICic4cream
    $49.00

    Bought 100 Oklahoma for Spread: Oklahoma (-21.5) at 0.49

  • 11:34 PM
    DADansoulette
    $50.00

    Bought 83.333332 New Mexico for Spread: Oklahoma (-24.5) at 0.6

  • 11:30 PM
    0X0x418D51e13d019913BB027DB22ECc723fe1AD88A3-1720918577961
    $61.20

    Bought 120 New Mexico for Spread: Oklahoma (-21.5) at 0.51

  • 11:30 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $2.45

    Bought 5 Oklahoma for Spread: Oklahoma (-21.5) at 0.49

  • 11:29 PM
    NSns9z
    $500.00

    Bought 1020.408164 Oklahoma for Spread: Oklahoma (-21.5) at 0.49

  • 11:28 PM
    NInigiri99
    $24.30

    Bought 45 Oklahoma for 1H Spread: Oklahoma (-10.5) at 0.54

  • 11:27 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $24.48

    Bought 51 New Mexico for Spread: Oklahoma (-20.5) at 0.48

  • 11:27 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $21.60

    Bought 45 Oklahoma for Spread: Oklahoma (-21.5) at 0.48

  • 11:27 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $69.16

    Bought 133 Over for New Mexico vs. Oklahoma: O/U 45.5 at 0.52

  • 11:24 PM
    MEmemo21
    $4.77

    Bought 9 Over for New Mexico vs. Oklahoma: O/U 45.5 at 0.53

  • 11:24 PM
    NInigiri99
    $1,040.00

    Bought 2000 Over for New Mexico vs. Oklahoma: O/U 45.5 at 0.52

  • 11:23 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $290.08

    Bought 828.8 Over for New Mexico vs. Oklahoma: O/U 51.5 at 0.35

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

BA1
bands1
事件損益
+$140.96
成交量
$27,514.60
持倉數
New Mexico
WR2
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件損益
+$50.77
成交量
$15,920.45
持倉數
Over
KI3
kingflop
事件損益
+$4.34
成交量
$14,497.09
持倉數
OklahomaUnder
HO4
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
-$108.41
成交量
$14,251.50
持倉數
UnderOklahoma
0A5
0x0A77exmm
事件損益
-$31.25
成交量
$6,249.00
持倉數
Oklahoma
FA6
FaroeseNationalist
事件損益
+$75.04
成交量
$5,000.00
持倉數
New Mexico
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$99.59
成交量
$3,326.38
持倉數
OklahomaOklahomaNew Mexico
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$203.46
成交量
$2,728.21
持倉數
UnderNew Mexico

常見問題

目前市場對「New Mexico vs. Oklahoma」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Spread -1.5 以 9,955% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -4.5(9,955%),以及 Spread -5.5(9,955%)。該市場總成交量已達 $206.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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