Notre Dame vs. North Carolina

$479.5K Vol
2026年10月3日
Resolved
機率趨勢
Notre Dame 100.0%
North Carolina 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Notre Dame vs. North Carolina」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 以壓倒性的 7,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 以 5,000% 位居第二,Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $479.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 (7,550%):Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $65.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 (5,000%)、Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 (5,000%),以及 Pick-Six Scored (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.57550.0%$65.5K7550¢-7450¢
2Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and North Carolina, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game.

This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 10:53 AM
    IDIdesOfMarch68
    $1.25

    Bought 2.314815 North Carolina for Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5) at 0.54

  • 10:49 AM
    NInigiri99
    $317.86

    Bought 691 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-13.5) at 0.46

  • 10:49 AM
    NInigiri99
    $188.14

    Bought 409 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-13.5) at 0.46

  • 09:38 AM
    NInigiri99
    $36.92

    Bought 71 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) at 0.52

  • 08:51 AM
    DZDZ002
    $1.08

    Sold 15.47 North Carolina for Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 0.07

  • 08:26 AM
    LIliverpoolfc
    $10.00

    Bought 10.752685 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 0.93

  • 08:12 AM
    0X0xca0c6d9b7A2C0cB9582591Cd2D8ff42D5674b9B6-1751220806251
    $4.65

    Bought 5 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 0.93

  • 07:42 AM
    NInigiri99
    $23.46

    Bought 46 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 07:42 AM
    NInigiri99
    $1,046.01

    Bought 2051 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 07:42 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $51.00

    Bought 100 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 07:40 AM
    ROrookie888
    $100.05

    Bought 161.370968 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-8.5) at 0.62

  • 07:27 AM
    ROrookie888
    $200.00

    Bought 322.580644 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-8.5) at 0.62

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

NI1
nigiri99
事件損益
-$307.05
成交量
$46,801.00
持倉數
Notre DameNotre DameNotre Dame+2
KC2
Kch-Temp
事件損益
-$164.61
成交量
$40,544.92
持倉數
Notre Dame
MO3
mooseborzoii
事件損益
+$139.44
成交量
$33,577.03
持倉數
North CarolinaOverNorth Carolina+1
SA4
Sassy-Bucket
事件損益
+$146.23
成交量
$29,245.29
持倉數
North Carolina
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$23.14
成交量
$23,377.43
持倉數
North CarolinaOverNorth Carolina+3
BA6
bands1
事件損益
+$100.00
成交量
$19,999.97
持倉數
Under
GM7
gmpm2
事件損益
+$278.46
成交量
$18,563.89
持倉數
Notre Dame
MO8
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件損益
-$225.00
成交量
$15,000.00
持倉數
North Carolina

常見問題

目前市場對「Notre Dame vs. North Carolina」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 以 7,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1(5,000%),以及 Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $479.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始