Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State

$225.3K Vol

2026年9月6日

Active

機率趨勢

Sacramento State 98.9%

Mississippi Valley State 1.1%

核心摘要

根據「Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Spread -16.5 以壓倒性的 9,250% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 36.5 以 9,250% 位居第二，Spread -17.5 以 9,150% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $225.3K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

Spread -16.5 (9,250%)：Spread -16.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,250¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

O/U 36.5 (9,250%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 36.5 保持著 9,250% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,250¢。
Spread -17.5 (9,150%)：以 9,150% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Spread -17.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

替代選項：包括 Spread -20.5 (8,850%)、O/U 38.5 (8,750%)，以及 O/U 40.5 (8,750%)。
投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Spread -21.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名	預測結果	獲勝機率	成交量	買入 Yes（成本）	買入 No（成本）
1	Spread -16.5	9250.0%	—	9250¢	-9150¢
2	O/U 36.5	9250.0%	—	9250¢	-9150¢
3	Spread -17.5	9150.0%	—	9150¢	-9050¢
4	Spread -20.5	8850.0%	—	8850¢	-8750¢
5	O/U 38.5	8750.0%	—	8750¢	-8650¢
6	O/U 40.5	8750.0%	—	8750¢	-8650¢
7	Spread -21.5	8700.0%	—	8700¢	-8600¢
8	O/U 42.5	8450.0%	$873	8450¢	-8350¢
9	Spread -24.5	8200.0%	—	8200¢	-8100¢
10	Spread -6.5	7900.0%	—	7900¢	-7800¢
11	Spread -27.5	7700.0%	—	7700¢	-7600¢
12	O/U 44.5	7600.0%	—	7600¢	-7500¢
13	Spread -7.5	7350.0%	—	7350¢	-7250¢
14	O/U 46.5	7150.0%	—	7150¢	-7050¢
15	O/U 48.5	7000.0%	—	7000¢	-6900¢
16	Spread -0.5	6950.0%	—	6950¢	-6850¢
17	Spread -31.5	6500.0%	—	6500¢	-6400¢
18	O/U 50.5	6400.0%	—	6400¢	-6300¢
19	Spread -34.5	6100.0%	—	6100¢	-6000¢
20	O/U 52.5	5900.0%	—	5900¢	-5800¢
21	Sacramento State O/U 41.5	5850.0%	—	5850¢	-5750¢
22	Sacramento State O/U 44.5	5850.0%	—	5850¢	-5750¢
23	Sacramento State O/U 47.5	5850.0%	—	5850¢	-5750¢
24	Sacramento State O/U 45.5	5850.0%	—	5850¢	-5750¢
25	Mississippi Valley State O/U 1.5	5800.0%	—	5800¢	-5700¢
26	Mississippi Valley State O/U 4.5	5800.0%	—	5800¢	-5700¢
27	Sacramento State O/U 42.5	5800.0%	—	5800¢	-5700¢
28	Mississippi Valley State O/U 7.5	5750.0%	—	5750¢	-5650¢
29	Mississippi Valley State O/U 2.5	5750.0%	—	5750¢	-5650¢
30	Mississippi Valley State O/U 5.5	5700.0%	—	5700¢	-5600¢
31	Spread -37.5	5650.0%	$6.8K	5650¢	-5550¢
32	Spread: Sacramento State (-35.5)	5600.0%	—	5600¢	-5500¢
33	Spread -36.5	5600.0%	—	5600¢	-5500¢
34	O/U 54.5	5500.0%	$150	5500¢	-5400¢
35	Spread -5.5	5300.0%	—	5300¢	-5200¢
36	Spread -3.5	5250.0%	—	5250¢	-5150¢
37	Spread -4.5	5200.0%	—	5200¢	-5100¢
38	1Q Spread -8.5	5050.0%	—	5050¢	-4950¢
39	1Q Spread -11.5	5050.0%	—	5050¢	-4950¢
40	Mississippi Valley State O/U 1.5	5050.0%	—	5050¢	-4950¢
41	Spread -1.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
42	Spread -2.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
43	Spread -8.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
44	Spread -10.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
45	Spread -13.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
46	Spread -14.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
47	2H Moneyline	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
48	1H Spread -19.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
49	1H Spread -20.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
50	1H Spread -21.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
51	1H Spread -22.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
52	1H Spread -23.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
53	1Q Moneyline	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
54	2Q Spread -11.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
55	2Q Spread -12.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
56	2Q Spread -13.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
57	2Q Spread -14.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
58	2Q Spread -15.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
59	2Q Moneyline	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
60	3Q Spread -5.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
61	3Q Spread -6.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
62	3Q Spread -7.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
63	3Q Spread -8.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
64	3Q Spread -9.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
65	3Q Moneyline	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
66	4Q Moneyline	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
67	1Q Spread -7.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
68	1Q Spread -9.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
69	1Q Spread -10.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
70	4Q Spread -5.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
71	4Q Spread -6.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
72	4Q Spread -7.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
73	4Q Spread -8.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
74	1H Spread -18.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
75	Mississippi Valley State O/U 2.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
76	Mississippi Valley State O/U 3.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
77	Sacramento State O/U 0.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
78	Sacramento State O/U 1.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
79	Sacramento State O/U 2.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
80	Sacramento State O/U 3.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
81	4Q Spread -9.5	4950.0%	—	4950¢	-4850¢
82	Mississippi Valley State O/U 0.5	4950.0%	—	4950¢	-4850¢
83	O/U 56.5	4750.0%	$784	4750¢	-4650¢
84	Sacramento State O/U 48.5	4700.0%	—	4700¢	-4600¢
85	Mississippi Valley State O/U 8.5	4700.0%	—	4700¢	-4600¢
86	O/U 58.5	4300.0%	—	4300¢	-4200¢
87	Mississippi Valley State O/U 10.5	4150.0%	—	4150¢	-4050¢
88	Mississippi Valley State O/U 13.5	4150.0%	—	4150¢	-4050¢
89	Sacramento State O/U 50.5	4150.0%	—	4150¢	-4050¢
90	Sacramento State O/U 53.5	4150.0%	—	4150¢	-4050¢
91	Sacramento State O/U 51.5	4150.0%	—	4150¢	-4050¢
92	Sacramento State O/U 54.5	4150.0%	—	4150¢	-4050¢
93	Mississippi Valley State O/U 11.5	4150.0%	—	4150¢	-4050¢
94	Mississippi Valley State O/U 14.5	4150.0%	—	4150¢	-4050¢
95	O/U 60.5	3800.0%	—	3800¢	-3700¢
96	O/U 62.5	3350.0%	—	3350¢	-3250¢
97	O/U 64.5	2750.0%	—	2750¢	-2650¢
98	O/U 66.5	2200.0%	$39	2200¢	-2100¢
99	O/U 76.5	2200.0%	—	2200¢	-2100¢
100	O/U 68.5	1600.0%	—	1600¢	-1500¢
101	O/U 70.5	1500.0%	—	1500¢	-1400¢
102	O/U 72.5	1250.0%	—	1250¢	-1150¢
103	O/U 74.5	950.0%	—	950¢	-850¢
104	Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State	115.0%	$216.6K	115¢	-15¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:00PM ET:

If Mississippi Valley State wins, the market will resolve to "Mississippi Valley State".

If Sacramento State wins, the market will resolve to "Sacramento State".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 5, 2026

07:52 PM
3838791873984189
$246.54
Bought 249.0302 Sacramento State for Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State at 0.99
07:43 PM
TCtcjoness
$1.65
Bought 7.173912 Over for Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State: O/U 66.5 at 0.23
06:22 PM
0X0xb5794FF8CE96b773701fE9333283915eEf5fF458-1729659432133
$0.71
Bought 71.428571 Mississippi Valley State for Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State at 0.01
04:35 PM
MAMAGATheeStallion
$1,999.69
Bought 3773 Sacramento State for Spread: Sacramento State (-37.5) at 0.53
04:35 PM
BEbetabot
$1,000.66
Bought 1853.074073 Sacramento State for Spread: Sacramento State (-37.5) at 0.54
03:45 PM
0X0xaE457d6d83362588DD2B8E23B2c8c359212396B9-1770832003765
$2.34
Bought 4.5 Sacramento State for Spread: Sacramento State (-37.5) at 0.52
03:00 PM
SRsreca
$2.55
Bought 5 Mississippi Valley State for Spread: Sacramento State (-37.5) at 0.51
02:57 PM
0X0x1bcef021C846cd82E3DaaB1F0E239c052465C696-1767521962995
$5.00
Bought 9.62 Sacramento State for Spread: Sacramento State (-37.5) at 0.52
02:16 PM
USUseraxe
$0.10
Sold 9.99 Mississippi Valley State for Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State at 0.01
10:39 AM
FOForecastication2
$10.29
Bought 1028.92 Mississippi Valley State for Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State at 0.01
10:37 AM
FOForecastication2
$1.00
Bought 100 Mississippi Valley State for Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State at 0.01
10:11 AM
——
$1.00
Bought 100 Mississippi Valley State for Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State at 0.01

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

OM1

omoi0i0

事件損益

-$50.96

成交量

$12,739.00

持倉數

Sacramento State

NI2

nigiri99

事件損益

+$38.39

成交量

$10,966.00

持倉數

Mississippi Valley State

HO3

HomeRunHazard

事件損益

+$72.55

成交量

$5,514.07

持倉數

Mississippi Valley State

MA4

MAGATheeStallion

事件損益

-$18.86

成交量

$3,773.00

持倉數

Sacramento State

BE5

betabot

事件損益

-$35.94

成交量

$1,853.07

持倉數

Sacramento State

FO6

Forecastication2

事件損益

+$5.22

成交量

$1,739.96

持倉數

Mississippi Valley State

SA7

Sassy-Bucket

事件損益

+$3.99

成交量

$1,596.47

持倉數

Mississippi Valley State

KI8

kissben2119

事件損益

-$2.66

成交量

$1,077.17

持倉數

Sacramento State

常見問題

目前市場對「Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，Spread -16.5 以 9,250% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 36.5（9,250%），以及 Spread -17.5（9,150%）。該市場總成交量已達 $225.3K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。