Michigan State vs. Wisconsin

$291.6K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
機率趨勢
Wisconsin 100.0%
Michigan State 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Michigan State vs. Wisconsin」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Spread -0.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -1.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $291.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Spread -0.5 (9,995%):Spread -0.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -1.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Spread -2.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -3.5 (9,995%)、Spread -4.5 (9,995%),以及 Spread -5.5 (9,995%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -6.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Spread -0.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Spread -1.59995.0%$259995¢-9895¢
3Spread -2.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Spread -3.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
5Spread -4.59995.0%$509995¢-9895¢
6Spread -5.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
7Spread -6.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
8Spread -7.59995.0%$66.4K9995¢-9895¢
9Spread -8.59995.0%$9.3K9995¢-9895¢
10Spread -10.59995.0%$9.3K9995¢-9895¢
11Spread -13.59995.0%$969995¢-9895¢
12Spread -14.59995.0%$3059995¢-9895¢
13Spread -16.59995.0%$5.6K9995¢-9895¢
14Spread -17.59995.0%$1379995¢-9895¢
15Spread -20.59995.0%$8.8K9995¢-9895¢
164Q Spread -0.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
174Q Spread -1.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
184Q Spread -2.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
194Q Spread -3.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
204Q Spread -5.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
212H Spread -2.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
222H Spread -6.55450.0%$55450¢-5350¢
232H Spread -4.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
242H Spread -5.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
252H Spread -7.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
262H Spread -9.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
27Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Wisconsin O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Michigan State O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
872Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Michigan State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
892H O/U 24.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
90Michigan State 2H O/U 11.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
91Michigan State 2H O/U 13.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
92Michigan State 2H O/U 15.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
93Wisconsin 2H O/U 14.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
94Wisconsin 2H O/U 16.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
95Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
96Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
97Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
982H Moneyline4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
992H O/U 21.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
100Game Goes to Overtime4450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1012H O/U 27.550.0%—50¢50¢
1022H O/U 30.550.0%—50¢50¢
1032H O/U 33.550.0%—50¢50¢
1044Q O/U 7.550.0%—50¢50¢
1054Q O/U 10.550.0%—50¢50¢
1064Q O/U 13.550.0%—50¢50¢
1074Q O/U 16.550.0%—50¢50¢
1084Q O/U 19.550.0%—50¢50¢
109Both Teams to Score Points - Q450.0%—50¢50¢
1104Q Spread -1.550.0%—50¢50¢
1114Q Moneyline50.0%—50¢50¢
112Michigan State vs. Wisconsin5.0%$173.9K5¢95¢
113Spread -20.55.0%$8.8K5¢95¢
114Spread -17.55.0%$1375¢95¢
115Spread -16.55.0%$5.6K5¢95¢
116Spread -14.55.0%$3055¢95¢
117Spread -13.55.0%$965¢95¢
118Spread -10.55.0%$9.3K5¢95¢
119Spread -8.55.0%$9.3K5¢95¢
120Spread -7.55.0%$66.4K5¢95¢
121Spread -6.55.0%—5¢95¢
122Spread -5.55.0%—5¢95¢
123Spread -4.55.0%$505¢95¢
124Spread -3.55.0%—5¢95¢
125Spread -2.55.0%—5¢95¢
126Spread -1.55.0%$255¢95¢
127Spread -0.55.0%—5¢95¢
128O/U 35.55.0%—5¢95¢
129O/U 37.55.0%—5¢95¢
130O/U 39.55.0%$8215¢95¢
131O/U 41.55.0%$1855¢95¢
132O/U 43.55.0%$13.8K5¢95¢
133O/U 45.55.0%$2495¢95¢
134O/U 47.55.0%$435¢95¢
135O/U 49.55.0%—5¢95¢
136O/U 51.55.0%—5¢95¢
137O/U 53.55.0%—5¢95¢
138O/U 55.55.0%—5¢95¢
139O/U 57.55.0%$65¢95¢
140O/U 59.55.0%—5¢95¢
141O/U 61.55.0%—5¢95¢
142O/U 63.55.0%$115¢95¢
143O/U 65.55.0%—5¢95¢
144O/U 67.55.0%—5¢95¢
145O/U 69.55.0%—5¢95¢
146O/U 71.55.0%—5¢95¢
147O/U 73.55.0%—5¢95¢
148O/U 75.55.0%—5¢95¢
149Michigan State O/U 20.55.0%$175¢95¢
150Michigan State O/U 23.55.0%$255¢95¢
151Michigan State O/U 26.55.0%$55¢95¢
152Michigan State O/U 29.55.0%—5¢95¢
153Michigan State O/U 32.55.0%—5¢95¢
154Wisconsin O/U 32.55.0%—5¢95¢
155Wisconsin O/U 35.55.0%—5¢95¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Michigan State and Wisconsin, scheduled for October 3 at 12:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 09:10 AM
    STStas77
    $15.40

    Bought 20 Wisconsin for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.77

  • 05:59 AM
    SWSwampmaster247
    $1.80

    Bought 4.186047 Over for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: O/U 45.5 at 0.43

  • 05:09 AM
    LOlocksnation
    $100.10

    Bought 130 Wisconsin for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.77

  • 03:55 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $20.09

    Bought 41 Michigan State for Spread: Wisconsin (-8.5) at 0.49

  • 03:47 AM
    ONonlyinvegas
    $1,155.00

    Bought 1500 Wisconsin for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.77

  • 03:28 AM
    DZDZ002
    $2.00

    Bought 8.333334 Michigan State for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.24

  • 03:28 AM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $5.22

    Bought 21.75 Michigan State for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.24

  • 03:28 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $139.69

    Bought 607.33 Michigan State for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.23

Oct 2, 2026

  • 10:45 PM
    GPGptball
    $41.75

    Bought 53.52564 Wisconsin for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.78

  • 10:43 PM
    SZszy10010
    $31.20

    Bought 40 Wisconsin for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.78

  • 10:43 PM
    TRtrader-a9940275
    $150.00

    Bought 192.30769 Wisconsin for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.78

  • 10:43 PM
    TRtrader-ab59c777
    $500.00

    Bought 641.02564 Wisconsin for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.78

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

CV1
CVCM
事件損益
-$28.70
成交量
$5,740.26
持倉數
Wisconsin
SN2
SnakeBall
事件損益
-$2.99
成交量
$3,414.65
持倉數
Michigan StateWisconsin
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$11.26
成交量
$2,289.10
持倉數
Michigan StateUnderMichigan State
HI4
hi774c
事件損益
+$10.52
成交量
$2,104.16
持倉數
Michigan State
VE5
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$29.56
成交量
$1,502.57
持倉數
WisconsinWisconsin
ON6
onlyinvegas
事件損益
-$7.50
成交量
$1,500.00
持倉數
Wisconsin
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件損益
+$30.14
成交量
$1,446.00
持倉數
Michigan StateWisconsin
LU8
LuckyLoo
事件損益
+$4.29
成交量
$858.00
持倉數
Michigan State

常見問題

目前市場對「Michigan State vs. Wisconsin」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Spread -0.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,995%),以及 Spread -2.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $291.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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