
Michigan State vs. Wisconsin
核心摘要
根據「Michigan State vs. Wisconsin」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Spread -0.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -1.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $291.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Spread -0.5 (9,995%):Spread -0.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -1.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -1.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
- Spread -2.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Spread -3.5 (9,995%)、Spread -4.5 (9,995%),以及 Spread -5.5 (9,995%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -6.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -0.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Spread -1.5 | 9995.0% | $25 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Spread -2.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Spread -3.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Spread -4.5 | 9995.0% | $50 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | Spread -5.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 7 | Spread -6.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 8 | Spread -7.5 | 9995.0% | $66.4K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 9 | Spread -8.5 | 9995.0% | $9.3K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 10 | Spread -10.5 | 9995.0% | $9.3K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 11 | Spread -13.5 | 9995.0% | $96 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 12 | Spread -14.5 | 9995.0% | $305 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 13 | Spread -16.5 | 9995.0% | $5.6K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 14 | Spread -17.5 | 9995.0% | $137 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 15 | Spread -20.5 | 9995.0% | $8.8K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 16 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 17 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 18 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 19 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 20 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 21 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 22 | 2H Spread -6.5 | 5450.0% | $5 | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 23 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 24 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 25 | 2H Spread -7.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 26 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 27 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Wisconsin O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Michigan State O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Michigan State O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 90 | Michigan State 2H O/U 11.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 91 | Michigan State 2H O/U 13.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 92 | Michigan State 2H O/U 15.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 93 | Wisconsin 2H O/U 14.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 94 | Wisconsin 2H O/U 16.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 95 | Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 96 | Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 97 | Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 98 | 2H Moneyline | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 99 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 100 | Game Goes to Overtime | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 101 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 102 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 103 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 104 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 105 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 106 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 107 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 108 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 109 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 110 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 111 | 4Q Moneyline | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 112 | Michigan State vs. Wisconsin | 5.0% | $173.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 113 | Spread -20.5 | 5.0% | $8.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 114 | Spread -17.5 | 5.0% | $137 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 115 | Spread -16.5 | 5.0% | $5.6K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 116 | Spread -14.5 | 5.0% | $305 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 117 | Spread -13.5 | 5.0% | $96 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 118 | Spread -10.5 | 5.0% | $9.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 119 | Spread -8.5 | 5.0% | $9.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 120 | Spread -7.5 | 5.0% | $66.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 121 | Spread -6.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 122 | Spread -5.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 123 | Spread -4.5 | 5.0% | $50 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 124 | Spread -3.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 125 | Spread -2.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 126 | Spread -1.5 | 5.0% | $25 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 127 | Spread -0.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 128 | O/U 35.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 129 | O/U 37.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 130 | O/U 39.5 | 5.0% | $821 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 131 | O/U 41.5 | 5.0% | $185 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 132 | O/U 43.5 | 5.0% | $13.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 133 | O/U 45.5 | 5.0% | $249 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 134 | O/U 47.5 | 5.0% | $43 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 135 | O/U 49.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 136 | O/U 51.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 137 | O/U 53.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 138 | O/U 55.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 139 | O/U 57.5 | 5.0% | $6 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 140 | O/U 59.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 141 | O/U 61.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 142 | O/U 63.5 | 5.0% | $11 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 143 | O/U 65.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 144 | O/U 67.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 145 | O/U 69.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 146 | O/U 71.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 147 | O/U 73.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 148 | O/U 75.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 149 | Michigan State O/U 20.5 | 5.0% | $17 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 150 | Michigan State O/U 23.5 | 5.0% | $25 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 151 | Michigan State O/U 26.5 | 5.0% | $5 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 152 | Michigan State O/U 29.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 153 | Michigan State O/U 32.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 154 | Wisconsin O/U 32.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 155 | Wisconsin O/U 35.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Michigan State and Wisconsin, scheduled for October 3 at 12:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game.
This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 3, 2026
- 09:10 AMSTStas77$15.40
Bought 20 Wisconsin for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.77
- 05:59 AMSWSwampmaster247$1.80
Bought 4.186047 Over for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: O/U 45.5 at 0.43
- 05:09 AMLOlocksnation$100.10
Bought 130 Wisconsin for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.77
- 03:55 AMFOForecastication2$20.09
Bought 41 Michigan State for Spread: Wisconsin (-8.5) at 0.49
- 03:47 AMONonlyinvegas$1,155.00
Bought 1500 Wisconsin for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.77
- 03:28 AMDZDZ002$2.00
Bought 8.333334 Michigan State for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.24
- 03:28 AMTHTheRomanProcurator$5.22
Bought 21.75 Michigan State for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.24
- 03:28 AMHOHomeRunHazard$139.69
Bought 607.33 Michigan State for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.23
Oct 2, 2026
- 10:45 PMGPGptball$41.75
Bought 53.52564 Wisconsin for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.78
- 10:43 PMSZszy10010$31.20
Bought 40 Wisconsin for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.78
- 10:43 PMTRtrader-a9940275$150.00
Bought 192.30769 Wisconsin for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.78
- 10:43 PMTRtrader-ab59c777$500.00
Bought 641.02564 Wisconsin for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin at 0.78
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Michigan State vs. Wisconsin」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Spread -0.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,995%),以及 Spread -2.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $291.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
