Michigan State vs. Notre Dame

$155.9K Vol
2026年9月20日
Active
機率趨勢
Notre Dame 94.7%
Michigan State 5.3%

核心摘要

根據「Michigan State vs. Notre Dame」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 33.5 以壓倒性的 8,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -12.5 以 7,450% 位居第二,Spread -9.5 以 7,350% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $155.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 33.5 (8,050%):O/U 33.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $10 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -12.5 (7,450%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -12.5 保持著 7,450% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,450¢。
  • Spread -9.5 (7,350%):以 7,350% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -9.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -16.5 (7,200%)、Spread -13.5 (7,050%),以及 O/U 35.5 (6,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 39.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 33.58050.0%$108050¢-7950¢
2Spread -12.57450.0%7450¢-7350¢
3Spread -9.57350.0%7350¢-7250¢
4Spread -16.57200.0%$2417200¢-7100¢
5Spread -13.57050.0%7050¢-6950¢
6O/U 35.56950.0%6950¢-6850¢
7O/U 39.56900.0%$486900¢-6800¢
8O/U 37.56800.0%6800¢-6700¢
9O/U 45.55850.0%$385850¢-5750¢
10O/U 41.55750.0%5750¢-5650¢
11O/U 43.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
12Spread -15.55350.0%5350¢-5250¢
132H Moneyline5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
14Notre Dame O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Michigan State O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
163Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
174Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Spread -40.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Spread -43.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Spread -44.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Spread -46.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Spread -47.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Spread -50.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24O/U 71.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25O/U 73.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
262H Spread -6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
272H Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
282H Spread -9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
292H Spread -10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
302H Spread -11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
312H Spread -13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
332H O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
342H O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
352H O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
362H O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
373Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
383Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
393Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
403Q Spread -6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
413Q Spread -7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
423Q Spread -9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
433Q O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
443Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
453Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
463Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
473Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
484Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
494Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
504Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
514Q Spread -6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
524Q Spread -7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
534Q Spread -9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
544Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
554Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
564Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
574Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
584Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
59Michigan State O/U 10.55000.0%$4375000¢-4900¢
60Michigan State O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
61Michigan State O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
62Notre Dame O/U 33.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
63Notre Dame O/U 36.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
64Notre Dame O/U 39.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
65Notre Dame O/U 42.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
66Notre Dame O/U 45.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
67Michigan State 2H O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
68Michigan State 2H O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
69Michigan State 2H O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
70Notre Dame 2H O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
71Notre Dame 2H O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
72Notre Dame 2H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
73Spread -31.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
74Spread -32.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
75Spread -34.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
76Spread -36.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
77Spread -37.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
78O/U 47.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
79Spread -19.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
80O/U 69.54110.0%4110¢-4010¢
81Spread -22.53900.0%3900¢-3800¢
82O/U 49.53900.0%$43900¢-3800¢
83O/U 52.53850.0%$8.7K3850¢-3750¢
84Spread -26.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
85Spread -25.53500.0%3500¢-3400¢
86Spread -21.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢
87O/U 59.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢
88O/U 61.53400.0%3400¢-3300¢
89O/U 65.53400.0%$53400¢-3300¢
90O/U 67.53400.0%3400¢-3300¢
91Spread -28.53300.0%$4.2K3300¢-3200¢
92Spread -33.53250.0%$5.8K3250¢-3150¢
93O/U 53.53150.0%$4133150¢-3050¢
94Spread -27.53050.0%$3.0K3050¢-2950¢
95O/U 51.53000.0%$32.8K3000¢-2900¢
96O/U 57.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
97Spread -23.52300.0%$1752300¢-2200¢
98O/U 63.52100.0%2100¢-2000¢
99O/U 55.51650.0%$4961650¢-1550¢
100Spread -24.51400.0%$2.6K1400¢-1300¢
101Spread -35.51400.0%$821400¢-1300¢
102Spread -29.51200.0%$41.0K1200¢-1100¢
103Spread -30.5950.0%950¢-850¢
104Spread -38.5700.0%700¢-600¢
105Michigan State vs. Notre Dame380.0%$55.7K380¢-280¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Michigan State and Notre Dame, scheduled for September 19 at 7:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:43 PM
    CMcm2897
    $37.63

    Bought 71 Under for Michigan State vs. Notre Dame: O/U 51.5 at 0.53

  • 11:42 PM
    0X0x4304107fa56ff1D89d3Be7B00ADbD326Cb016138-1789786195540
    $6.75

    Bought 14.361703 Over for Michigan State vs. Notre Dame: O/U 51.5 at 0.47

  • 11:42 PM
    RNRN1
    $1,358.30

    Bought 2952.826087 Over for Michigan State vs. Notre Dame: O/U 51.5 at 0.46

  • 11:37 PM
    NOnoosh1
    $4.42

    Bought 8.036364 Over for Michigan State vs. Notre Dame: O/U 51.5 at 0.55

  • 11:37 PM
    TOtorta.tech
    $12.65

    Bought 23 Over for Michigan State vs. Notre Dame: O/U 51.5 at 0.55

  • 11:37 PM
    $2.70

    Bought 5 Over for Michigan State vs. Notre Dame: O/U 51.5 at 0.54

  • 11:30 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $2.50

    Bought 6.25 Michigan State for Spread: Notre Dame (-23.5) at 0.4

  • 11:27 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $100.00

    Bought 200 Over for Michigan State vs. Notre Dame: O/U 51.5 at 0.5

  • 11:27 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $23.50

    Bought 47 Over for Michigan State vs. Notre Dame: O/U 51.5 at 0.5

  • 11:26 PM
    $19.98

    Bought 30.272726 Notre Dame for Spread: Notre Dame (-23.5) at 0.66

  • 11:20 PM
    GOGoodIdeaFairy
    $2.00

    Bought 3.571429 Over for Michigan State vs. Notre Dame: O/U 49.5 at 0.56

  • 11:20 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.48

    Bought 3.02 Over for Michigan State Team Total: O/U 10.5 at 0.49

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

CA1
caspar1248
事件損益
-$78.41
成交量
$9,513.09
持倉數
Michigan State
382
38791873984189
事件損益
+$14.70
成交量
$4,857.65
持倉數
Notre DameUnderNotre Dame+2
GA3
Gaditima
事件損益
+$21.97
成交量
$4,118.75
持倉數
Notre Dame
JA4
JAMJAMJAM4
事件損益
-$18.55
成交量
$3,710.00
持倉數
Under
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$18.61
成交量
$3,291.92
持倉數
OverNotre Dame
956
0x9527…4187
事件損益
-$11.24
成交量
$1,273.42
持倉數
Michigan State
LP7
lpcapital1
事件損益
+$1.87
成交量
$1,093.62
持倉數
Notre Dame
HO8
hobo69
事件損益
-$8.43
成交量
$1,000.00
持倉數
Over

常見問題

目前市場對「Michigan State vs. Notre Dame」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 33.5 以 8,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -12.5(7,450%),以及 Spread -9.5(7,350%)。該市場總成交量已達 $155.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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