
Missouri State vs. Texas A&M
核心摘要
根據「Missouri State vs. Texas A&M」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Spread: Texas A&M (-40.5) 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -0.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $147.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Spread: Texas A&M (-40.5) (9,995%):Spread: Texas A&M (-40.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $12.3K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -0.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -0.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
- Spread -1.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Spread -2.5 (9,995%)、Spread -3.5 (9,995%),以及 Spread -4.5 (9,995%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -5.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread: Texas A&M (-40.5) | 9995.0% | $12.3K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Spread -0.5 | 9995.0% | $28 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Spread -1.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Spread -2.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Spread -3.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | Spread -4.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 7 | Spread -5.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 8 | Spread -6.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 9 | Spread -7.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 10 | Spread -8.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 11 | Spread -10.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 12 | Spread -13.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 13 | Spread -14.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 14 | Spread -16.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 15 | Spread -17.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 16 | Spread -20.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 17 | Spread -21.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 18 | Spread -24.5 | 9995.0% | $1.0K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 19 | Spread -27.5 | 9995.0% | $22.7K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 20 | Spread -31.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 21 | Spread -34.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 22 | Spread -38.5 | 9995.0% | $17.4K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 23 | Spread -41.5 | 9950.0% | $1.5K | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 24 | 2H Spread -13.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 25 | 2H Spread -14.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 26 | 2H Spread -15.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 27 | 2H Spread -16.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 28 | 2H Spread -17.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 29 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 18.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 30 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 20.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 31 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 22.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 32 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 17.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 33 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 19.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 34 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 21.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 35 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 15.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 36 | 2H Spread -18.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 37 | 2H Spread -20.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 38 | Texas A&M O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Missouri State O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Jamarion Morrow: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Marcel Reed: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Mario Craver: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Isaiah Horton: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Carsyn Baker: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Ashton Bethel-Roman: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Terry Bussey: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Micah Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Houston Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Richie Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Skyler Locklear: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Ramone Green Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Jmariyae Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Makai Cope: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Jeron Askren: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Isaiah Myers: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | James BlackStrain: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Missouri State O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Missouri State O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Missouri State O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Missouri State O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Texas A&M O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Texas A&M O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Texas A&M O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Texas A&M O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | 2H Spread -19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | 2H Spread -21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 2H Spread -22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | 2H Moneyline | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 70 | 4Q Moneyline | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 71 | Missouri State O/U 4.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 72 | Missouri State O/U 7.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 73 | Missouri State O/U 10.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 74 | Missouri State O/U 13.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 75 | Missouri State 2H O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 76 | Missouri State 2H O/U 2.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 77 | Texas A&M O/U 50.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 78 | Missouri State 2H O/U 4.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 79 | Texas A&M O/U 52.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 80 | Texas A&M O/U 53.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 81 | Texas A&M O/U 51.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 82 | Missouri State vs. Texas A&M | 5.0% | $3.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 83 | O/U 52.5 | 5.0% | $2.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 84 | O/U 53.5 | 5.0% | $5.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 85 | O/U 51.5 | 5.0% | $2.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 86 | O/U 55.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 87 | O/U 57.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 88 | O/U 59.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 89 | O/U 61.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 90 | O/U 63.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 91 | O/U 65.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 92 | O/U 67.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 93 | O/U 69.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 94 | O/U 71.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 95 | O/U 73.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:00PM ET:
If Missouri State wins, the market will resolve to "Missouri State".
If Texas A&M wins, the market will resolve to "Texas A&M".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 5, 2026
- 07:51 PM0X0x8a31Afc7Ab5bc94Fb4423E2A84f3BaFB4957803f-1771673480495$2.00
Bought 4 Under for Missouri State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 53.5 at 0.5
- 07:10 PMNONoam-rosen$47.48
Bought 83.298244 Over for Missouri State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 51.5 at 0.57
- 07:10 PM0X0x910aA5aC3E134d64639179dc127fAea593481aa7-1784364728780$16.72
Bought 33.43 Under for Missouri State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 53.5 at 0.5
- 07:08 PMFLFlipadelphia$2,500.00
Bought 5000 Under for Missouri State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 53.5 at 0.5
- 07:05 PMNONoam-rosen$49.69
Sold 93.75 Over for Missouri State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 51.5 at 0.53
- 06:37 PMNInigiri99$26.40
Bought 48 Over for Texas A&M Team Total: O/U 45.5 at 0.55
- 05:04 PM——$5.00
Bought 500 Missouri State for Missouri State vs. Texas A&M at 0.01
- 04:55 PMNONoam-rosen$52.50
Bought 93.75 Over for Missouri State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 51.5 at 0.56
- 04:41 PM——$5.50
Bought 10.576922 Missouri State for Spread: Texas A&M (-40.5) at 0.52
- 04:41 PMTITimeTraveler$46.36
Bought 90.91 Missouri State for Spread: Texas A&M (-40.5) at 0.51
- 03:30 PMTRtr3vorx$10.00
Bought 17.543858 Texas A&M for 1H Spread: Texas A&M (-23.5) at 0.57
- 03:30 PMTRtr3vorx$20.00
Bought 40 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-40.5) at 0.5
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Missouri State vs. Texas A&M」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Spread: Texas A&M (-40.5) 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -0.5(9,995%),以及 Spread -1.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $147.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
