Montana State vs. Nevada

$115.2K Vol
2026年9月13日
Active
機率趨勢
Montana State 79.0%
Nevada 21.0%

核心摘要

根據「Montana State vs. Nevada」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 30.5 以壓倒性的 9,300% 獲勝機率主導市場;1Q Spread -0.5 以 9,050% 位居第二,1Q Spread -1.5 以 9,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $115.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 30.5 (9,300%):O/U 30.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,300¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 1Q Spread -0.5 (9,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,1Q Spread -0.5 保持著 9,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,050¢。
  • 1Q Spread -1.5 (9,050%):以 9,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 1Q Spread -1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 1Q Spread -2.5 (9,050%)、1Q Spread -3.5 (9,050%),以及 1Q Moneyline (9,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 1Q O/U 7.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 30.59300.0%9300¢-9200¢
21Q Spread -0.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
31Q Spread -1.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
41Q Spread -2.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
51Q Spread -3.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
61Q Moneyline9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
71Q O/U 7.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
8O/U 36.58550.0%8550¢-8450¢
9Spread -1.58000.0%8000¢-7900¢
10Montana State vs. Nevada7950.0%$131.0K7950¢-7850¢
11Spread -6.57750.0%$2567750¢-7650¢
12O/U 32.57750.0%7750¢-7650¢
13Spread -3.57100.0%$2.6K7100¢-7000¢
14Spread -4.56950.0%$6.0K6950¢-6850¢
15Spread -5.56200.0%$1.1K6200¢-6100¢
16Spread -7.55900.0%5900¢-5800¢
17Spread -2.55650.0%$195650¢-5550¢
18Spread -9.55450.0%5450¢-5350¢
19O/U 42.55400.0%5400¢-5300¢
20O/U 51.55150.0%$7005150¢-5050¢
21Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Spread -21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Spread -24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Spread -27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Spread -31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Spread -34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28O/U 34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29O/U 38.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30O/U 40.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31O/U 44.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32O/U 46.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33O/U 48.55000.0%$165000¢-4900¢
34O/U 56.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35O/U 58.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36O/U 62.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37O/U 64.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38O/U 68.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39O/U 70.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
402H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
411H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
421H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
431H Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
441H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
451H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
462Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
472Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
482Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
492Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
502Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
513Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
523Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
533Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
543Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
553Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
564Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
574Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
584Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
594Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
604Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
61Nevada O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
62Nevada O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
63Nevada O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
64Nevada O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
65Nevada O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
66Montana State O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
67Montana State O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
68Montana State O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
69Montana State O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
70Montana State O/U 32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
71Montana State O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
72Montana State O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
73Montana State O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
74Montana State O/U 30.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
75Montana State O/U 33.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
761H Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
77Nevada 1H O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
78Nevada 1H O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
79Nevada 1H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
80Spread -18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81Spread -12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
82Spread -12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
831H Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
841H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
851H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
861H O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
871H O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
881H O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
891H O/U 30.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
902H Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
912H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
922H Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
932H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
942H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
952H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
962H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
972H O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
982H O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
992H O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1002H O/U 30.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1012Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1022Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1032Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1042Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1052Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1062Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1072Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1082Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1093Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1103Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1113Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1123Q O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1133Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1143Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1153Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1163Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1174Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1184Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1194Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1204Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1214Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1224Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1234Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1244Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
125Montana State 1H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
126Montana State 1H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
127Montana State 1H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
128Montana State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
129Montana State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
130Montana State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
131Nevada 2H O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
132Nevada 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
133Nevada 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
134Nevada O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
135Nevada O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
136Nevada O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
137Nevada O/U 25.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
138Nevada O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
139Montana State O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
140Montana State O/U 25.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
141Montana State O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
142Montana State O/U 31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
143Montana State O/U 34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
144Nevada 1H O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
145Spread -10.54950.0%$2014950¢-4850¢
146O/U 49.54700.0%$1984700¢-4600¢
147Spread -11.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
148O/U 50.54550.0%$2384550¢-4450¢
149Spread -13.54250.0%$2794250¢-4150¢
150Spread -14.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
151Spread -0.53750.0%3750¢-3650¢
152Spread -16.53500.0%3500¢-3400¢
153O/U 52.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢
154O/U 54.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢
155Spread -17.52450.0%$2152450¢-2350¢
156Spread -20.52250.0%2250¢-2150¢
157O/U 60.52000.0%2000¢-1900¢
158Spread -1.51700.0%1700¢-1600¢
159Spread -2.51550.0%$191550¢-1450¢
160Spread -3.51150.0%$2.6K1150¢-1050¢
161Spread -4.51050.0%$6.0K1050¢-950¢
162O/U 66.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1631Q Spread -0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1641Q Spread -1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1651Q Spread -3.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1661Q O/U 10.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1671Q O/U 13.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1681Q O/U 16.5950.0%950¢-850¢
169Spread -6.5900.0%$256900¢-800¢
170Spread -9.5450.0%450¢-350¢
171Spread -10.5400.0%$201400¢-300¢
172Spread -13.5400.0%$279400¢-300¢
173Spread -16.5345.0%345¢-245¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Montana State and Nevada, scheduled for September 12 at 10:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Montana State" if Montana State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 12, 2026

  • 10:34 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.84

    Bought 3.02 Montana State for Spread: Montana State (-2.5) at 0.61

  • 10:26 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $28.26

    Bought 56.52 Montana State for Spread: Montana State (-4.5) at 0.5

  • 10:26 PM
    ODOddstorm
    $28.86

    Bought 57.72 Montana State for Spread: Montana State (-4.5) at 0.5

  • 10:22 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $33.58

    Bought 67.16 Montana State for Spread: Montana State (-4.5) at 0.5

  • 10:22 PM
    0X0xf5aA2A175c457F797A426E0B81C530287b064464-1720704803719
    $21.32

    Bought 41 Montana State for Spread: Montana State (-3.5) at 0.52

  • 10:20 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $20.37

    Bought 40.74 Montana State for Spread: Montana State (-4.5) at 0.5

  • 10:19 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $28.08

    Bought 54 Montana State for Spread: Montana State (-3.5) at 0.52

  • 09:47 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $10.41

    Bought 45.24 Nevada for Spread: Nevada (-6.5) at 0.23

  • 09:47 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $23.12

    Bought 100.53 Nevada for Spread: Nevada (-6.5) at 0.23

  • 09:19 PM
    JAJarvisChen
    $4.98

    Bought 14.228572 Nevada for Montana State vs. Nevada at 0.35

  • 09:19 PM
    EJejhz
    $12.90

    Bought 36.857143 Nevada for Montana State vs. Nevada at 0.35

  • 09:19 PM
    NOnoob4dezenuts
    $12.90

    Bought 36.857143 Nevada for Montana State vs. Nevada at 0.35

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SD1
SDTrading
事件損益
-$429.03
成交量
$39,555.00
持倉數
NevadaNevadaNevada
SA2
Sassy-Bucket
事件損益
+$189.10
成交量
$37,819.34
持倉數
Montana State
VI3
VigorishVault
事件損益
-$108.31
成交量
$21,666.52
持倉數
Montana State
IM4
imjustkenisghey
事件損益
-$119.91
成交量
$15,109.98
持倉數
Nevada
NI5
nigiri99
事件損益
+$179.58
成交量
$9,474.00
持倉數
Montana State
NO6
Nooserac
事件損益
+$41.95
成交量
$7,919.68
持倉數
Nevada
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$11.25
成交量
$7,774.69
持倉數
Montana StateNevadaNevada+1
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$53.13
成交量
$6,545.03
持倉數
NevadaUnderOver+3

常見問題

目前市場對「Montana State vs. Nevada」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 30.5 以 9,300% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 1Q Spread -0.5(9,050%),以及 1Q Spread -1.5(9,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $115.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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