
Marshall vs. James Madison
核心摘要
根據「Marshall vs. James Madison」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,O/U 57.5 以壓倒性的 9,955% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 55.5 以 9,800% 位居第二,Spread -3.5 以 9,450% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $224K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- O/U 57.5 (9,955%):O/U 57.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,955¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $1.2K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- O/U 55.5 (9,800%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 55.5 保持著 9,800% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,800¢。
- Spread -3.5 (9,450%):以 9,450% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -3.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 O/U 59.5 (9,400%)、O/U 63.5 (9,250%),以及 Spread -5.5 (9,200%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -7.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 57.5 | 9955.0% | $1.2K | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 2 | O/U 55.5 | 9800.0% | $484 | 9800¢ | -9700¢ |
| 3 | Spread -3.5 | 9450.0% | $1.2K | 9450¢ | -9350¢ |
| 4 | O/U 59.5 | 9400.0% | $270 | 9400¢ | -9300¢ |
| 5 | O/U 63.5 | 9250.0% | $7.8K | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 6 | Spread -5.5 | 9200.0% | $6.7K | 9200¢ | -9100¢ |
| 7 | Spread -7.5 | 9200.0% | $2.4K | 9200¢ | -9100¢ |
| 8 | Spread -10.5 | 8900.0% | $811 | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 9 | Spread -13.5 | 8850.0% | $6.2K | 8850¢ | -8750¢ |
| 10 | Spread -14.5 | 8800.0% | $31.4K | 8800¢ | -8700¢ |
| 11 | Spread -16.5 | 8650.0% | $5.3K | 8650¢ | -8550¢ |
| 12 | Spread -6.5 | 8600.0% | $780 | 8600¢ | -8500¢ |
| 13 | O/U 69.5 | 7950.0% | $676 | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 14 | Spread -17.5 | 7750.0% | $10.9K | 7750¢ | -7650¢ |
| 15 | Spread -9.5 | 7550.0% | $399 | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 16 | Spread -21.5 | 7200.0% | $296 | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 17 | Spread -20.5 | 6800.0% | $301 | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 18 | Spread -26.5 | 6700.0% | — | 6700¢ | -6600¢ |
| 19 | Spread -24.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 20 | O/U 75.5 | 5800.0% | $182 | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 21 | Spread -1.5 | 5500.0% | $4.1K | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 22 | Spread -11.5 | 5350.0% | $638 | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 23 | Spread -4.5 | 5300.0% | $1.2K | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 24 | Spread -2.5 | 5250.0% | $80 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 25 | Spread -15.5 | 5100.0% | $103.1K | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 26 | Spread -8.5 | 5050.0% | $30 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 27 | O/U 53.5 | 5050.0% | $103 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 28 | O/U 65.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 29 | O/U 67.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 30 | Spread -12.5 | 5050.0% | $9 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 31 | Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | $301 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Spread -17.5 | 5000.0% | $10.9K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Spread -16.5 | 5000.0% | $5.3K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Spread -14.5 | 5000.0% | $31.4K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | $780 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | O/U 61.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | O/U 71.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | O/U 73.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Marshall O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Marshall O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Marshall O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Marshall O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Marshall 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Marshall 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Marshall 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | James Madison 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | James Madison 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | James Madison 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Marshall vs. James Madison: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Marshall vs. James Madison: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Marshall Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Marshall vs. James Madison: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Marshall Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Marshall Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Marshall Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Marshall Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Marshall Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Marshall Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Marshall Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Marshall Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Marshall Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Marshall Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Marshall Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Marshall 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Marshall 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Marshall Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Marshall Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Marshall Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Marshall Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | Marshall Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | Marshall Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Marshall Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | Marshall Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | Marshall Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | Marshall vs. James Madison: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | Marshall vs. James Madison: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | Marshall vs. James Madison: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | Spread -18.5 | 5000.0% | $2.1K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | Spread -19.5 | 5000.0% | $808 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 131 | Spread -22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 132 | Spread -25.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 133 | Spread -28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 134 | Spread -31.5 | 5000.0% | $8 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 135 | Spread -32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 136 | Spread -34.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 137 | Spread -38.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 138 | 2H Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 139 | 2H Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 140 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 141 | 2H Spread -10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 142 | 2H Spread -11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 143 | 2H Spread -13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 144 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 145 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 146 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 147 | 3Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 148 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 149 | 3Q Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 150 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 151 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 152 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 153 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 154 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 155 | 4Q Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 156 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 157 | Marshall O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 158 | James Madison O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 159 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 160 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 161 | Spread -13.5 | 4950.0% | $6.2K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 162 | Spread -0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 163 | Marshall O/U 20.5 | 4950.0% | $5 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 164 | Spread -8.5 | 4945.0% | $30 | 4945¢ | -4845¢ |
| 165 | Spread -7.5 | 4625.0% | $2.4K | 4625¢ | -4525¢ |
| 166 | Spread -23.5 | 4600.0% | $262 | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 167 | Spread -10.5 | 4295.0% | $811 | 4295¢ | -4195¢ |
| 168 | Spread -4.5 | 4080.0% | $1.2K | 4080¢ | -3980¢ |
| 169 | Spread -5.5 | 3905.0% | $6.7K | 3905¢ | -3805¢ |
| 170 | Spread -35.5 | 3100.0% | $84 | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 171 | Spread -3.5 | 95.0% | $1.2K | 95¢ | 5¢ |
| 172 | Spread -2.5 | 95.0% | $80 | 95¢ | 5¢ |
| 173 | Spread -1.5 | 95.0% | $4.1K | 95¢ | 5¢ |
| 174 | Marshall vs. James Madison | 50.0% | $31.2K | 50¢ | 50¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Marshall and James Madison, scheduled for October 3 at 3:45PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Marshall" if Marshall win the game.
This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 3, 2026
- 09:38 PMQWqwe258$181.86
Bought 181.86 Over for Marshall vs. James Madison: O/U 45.5 at 1
- 09:33 PM-C-Ciguli-$5.01
Bought 5.005006 Over for Marshall vs. James Madison: O/U 45.5 at 1
- 09:32 PMHYHypnoman007$14.31
Sold 14.45 James Madison for Marshall vs. James Madison at 0.99
- 09:30 PMJOJordyBOBO$5.01
Bought 5.005006 Over for Marshall vs. James Madison: O/U 45.5 at 1
- 09:30 PMMImicrobetadm$5.01
Bought 5.005006 Over for Marshall vs. James Madison: O/U 45.5 at 1
- 09:30 PMSHshugafa$100.10
Bought 100.100101 Over for Marshall vs. James Madison: O/U 45.5 at 1
- 09:30 PMMOmomo-0916$6.19
Bought 6.19 James Madison for Marshall vs. James Madison at 1
- 09:30 PM0X0x4dDC7068ef679Dc7c34e2c22411975bAa1B9E73F-1776615168970$14.85
Bought 15 James Madison for Marshall vs. James Madison at 0.99
- 09:28 PM——$0.30
Sold 1.85 Marshall for Spread: James Madison (-16.5) at 0.16
- 09:27 PMZYZYbRUIpL$2.07
Bought 68.965518 Marshall for Marshall vs. James Madison at 0.03
- 09:24 PM0X0x6F726646715295e30EdfD0Be2938f3EF8d78582a-1788767354859$4.90
Bought 5 James Madison for Marshall vs. James Madison at 0.98
- 09:24 PM3838791873984189$7.81
Bought 11 Over for Marshall vs. James Madison: O/U 69.5 at 0.71
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Marshall vs. James Madison」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,O/U 57.5 以 9,955% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 55.5(9,800%),以及 Spread -3.5(9,450%)。該市場總成交量已達 $224K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
