Marshall vs. James Madison

$224K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
機率趨勢
James Madison 99.5%
Marshall 0.5%

核心摘要

根據「Marshall vs. James Madison」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 57.5 以壓倒性的 9,955% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 55.5 以 9,800% 位居第二,Spread -3.5 以 9,450% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $224K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 57.5 (9,955%):O/U 57.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,955¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $1.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 55.5 (9,800%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 55.5 保持著 9,800% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,800¢。
  • Spread -3.5 (9,450%):以 9,450% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -3.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 59.5 (9,400%)、O/U 63.5 (9,250%),以及 Spread -5.5 (9,200%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -7.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 57.59955.0%$1.2K9955¢-9855¢
2O/U 55.59800.0%$4849800¢-9700¢
3Spread -3.59450.0%$1.2K9450¢-9350¢
4O/U 59.59400.0%$2709400¢-9300¢
5O/U 63.59250.0%$7.8K9250¢-9150¢
6Spread -5.59200.0%$6.7K9200¢-9100¢
7Spread -7.59200.0%$2.4K9200¢-9100¢
8Spread -10.58900.0%$8118900¢-8800¢
9Spread -13.58850.0%$6.2K8850¢-8750¢
10Spread -14.58800.0%$31.4K8800¢-8700¢
11Spread -16.58650.0%$5.3K8650¢-8550¢
12Spread -6.58600.0%$7808600¢-8500¢
13O/U 69.57950.0%$6767950¢-7850¢
14Spread -17.57750.0%$10.9K7750¢-7650¢
15Spread -9.57550.0%$3997550¢-7450¢
16Spread -21.57200.0%$2967200¢-7100¢
17Spread -20.56800.0%$3016800¢-6700¢
18Spread -26.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
19Spread -24.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
20O/U 75.55800.0%$1825800¢-5700¢
21Spread -1.55500.0%$4.1K5500¢-5400¢
22Spread -11.55350.0%$6385350¢-5250¢
23Spread -4.55300.0%$1.2K5300¢-5200¢
24Spread -2.55250.0%$805250¢-5150¢
25Spread -15.55100.0%$103.1K5100¢-5000¢
26Spread -8.55050.0%$305050¢-4950¢
27O/U 53.55050.0%$1035050¢-4950¢
28O/U 65.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
29O/U 67.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
30Spread -12.55050.0%$95050¢-4950¢
31Spread -20.55000.0%$3015000¢-4900¢
32Spread -17.55000.0%$10.9K5000¢-4900¢
33Spread -16.55000.0%$5.3K5000¢-4900¢
34Spread -14.55000.0%$31.4K5000¢-4900¢
35Spread -6.55000.0%$7805000¢-4900¢
36Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37O/U 61.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38O/U 71.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39O/U 73.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
412H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
422H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
432H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
442H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
453Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
463Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
473Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
483Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
493Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
504Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
514Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
524Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
534Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
544Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Marshall O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Marshall O/U 26.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
57Marshall O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Marshall O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Marshall 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Marshall 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Marshall 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62James Madison 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63James Madison 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64James Madison 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Marshall vs. James Madison: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Marshall vs. James Madison: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Marshall Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Marshall vs. James Madison: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Marshall Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Marshall Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Marshall Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Marshall Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Marshall Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Marshall Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Marshall Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Marshall Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Marshall Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Marshall Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Marshall Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Marshall 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Marshall 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Marshall Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Marshall Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Marshall Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Marshall Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Marshall Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Marshall Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Marshall Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Marshall Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Marshall Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Marshall vs. James Madison: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Marshall vs. James Madison: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Marshall vs. James Madison: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Spread -18.55000.0%$2.1K5000¢-4900¢
130Spread -19.55000.0%$8085000¢-4900¢
131Spread -22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Spread -25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133Spread -28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134Spread -31.55000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
135Spread -32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Spread -34.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Spread -38.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1412H Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1422H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1432H Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1443Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1453Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1463Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1473Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1483Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1493Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1504Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1514Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1524Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1534Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1544Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1554Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1562H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
157Marshall O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
158James Madison O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1593Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1604Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
161Spread -13.54950.0%$6.2K4950¢-4850¢
162Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
163Marshall O/U 20.54950.0%$54950¢-4850¢
164Spread -8.54945.0%$304945¢-4845¢
165Spread -7.54625.0%$2.4K4625¢-4525¢
166Spread -23.54600.0%$2624600¢-4500¢
167Spread -10.54295.0%$8114295¢-4195¢
168Spread -4.54080.0%$1.2K4080¢-3980¢
169Spread -5.53905.0%$6.7K3905¢-3805¢
170Spread -35.53100.0%$843100¢-3000¢
171Spread -3.595.0%$1.2K95¢5¢
172Spread -2.595.0%$8095¢5¢
173Spread -1.595.0%$4.1K95¢5¢
174Marshall vs. James Madison50.0%$31.2K50¢50¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Marshall and James Madison, scheduled for October 3 at 3:45PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Marshall" if Marshall win the game.

This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 09:38 PM
    QWqwe258
    $181.86

    Bought 181.86 Over for Marshall vs. James Madison: O/U 45.5 at 1

  • 09:33 PM
    -C-Ciguli-
    $5.01

    Bought 5.005006 Over for Marshall vs. James Madison: O/U 45.5 at 1

  • 09:32 PM
    HYHypnoman007
    $14.31

    Sold 14.45 James Madison for Marshall vs. James Madison at 0.99

  • 09:30 PM
    JOJordyBOBO
    $5.01

    Bought 5.005006 Over for Marshall vs. James Madison: O/U 45.5 at 1

  • 09:30 PM
    MImicrobetadm
    $5.01

    Bought 5.005006 Over for Marshall vs. James Madison: O/U 45.5 at 1

  • 09:30 PM
    SHshugafa
    $100.10

    Bought 100.100101 Over for Marshall vs. James Madison: O/U 45.5 at 1

  • 09:30 PM
    MOmomo-0916
    $6.19

    Bought 6.19 James Madison for Marshall vs. James Madison at 1

  • 09:30 PM
    0X0x4dDC7068ef679Dc7c34e2c22411975bAa1B9E73F-1776615168970
    $14.85

    Bought 15 James Madison for Marshall vs. James Madison at 0.99

  • 09:28 PM
    ——
    $0.30

    Sold 1.85 Marshall for Spread: James Madison (-16.5) at 0.16

  • 09:27 PM
    ZYZYbRUIpL
    $2.07

    Bought 68.965518 Marshall for Marshall vs. James Madison at 0.03

  • 09:24 PM
    0X0x6F726646715295e30EdfD0Be2938f3EF8d78582a-1788767354859
    $4.90

    Bought 5 James Madison for Marshall vs. James Madison at 0.98

  • 09:24 PM
    3838791873984189
    $7.81

    Bought 11 Over for Marshall vs. James Madison: O/U 69.5 at 0.71

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

PA1
Painfulvoid
事件損益
+$66.70
成交量
$5,709.99
持倉數
Marshall
VE2
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$2.11
成交量
$5,051.88
持倉數
James MadisonJames MadisonJames Madison+3
MO3
mooseborzoi
事件損益
+$12.90
成交量
$4,929.12
持倉數
James MadisonMarshallJames Madison+3
TO4
tomb2456
事件損益
+$2.17
成交量
$4,145.88
持倉數
MarshallMarshallMarshall+1
WE5
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
事件損益
-$54.70
成交量
$2,889.66
持倉數
James MadisonJames MadisonJames Madison+1
BA6
Bagwell306
事件損益
-$37.50
成交量
$2,500.00
持倉數
James Madison
BE7
betabot
事件損益
-$9.61
成交量
$1,922.27
持倉數
James Madison
HO8
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$57.74
成交量
$1,815.84
持倉數
James MadisonMarshallMarshall+2

常見問題

目前市場對「Marshall vs. James Madison」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 57.5 以 9,955% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 55.5(9,800%),以及 Spread -3.5(9,450%)。該市場總成交量已達 $224K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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