Louisville vs. NC State

$474.4K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
機率趨勢
Louisville 58.0%
NC State 42.0%

核心摘要

根據「Louisville vs. NC State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 39.5 以壓倒性的 8,800% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 45.5 以 7,000% 位居第二,O/U 51.5 以 5,600% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $474.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 39.5 (8,800%):O/U 39.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,800¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 45.5 (7,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 45.5 保持著 7,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,000¢。
  • O/U 51.5 (5,600%):以 5,600% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 51.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -2.5 (5,500%)、Louisville vs. NC State (5,450%),以及 Spread -1.5 (5,300%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 43.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 39.58800.0%—8800¢-8700¢
2O/U 45.57000.0%$1557000¢-6900¢
3O/U 51.55600.0%$8.6K5600¢-5500¢
4Spread -2.55500.0%$1.5K5500¢-5400¢
5Louisville vs. NC State5450.0%$112.6K5450¢-5350¢
6Spread -1.55300.0%$155300¢-5200¢
7O/U 43.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
82H O/U 30.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
91Q O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
10Louisville O/U 32.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
112H Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
122H Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
133Q Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
14Spread -2.55000.0%$1.5K5000¢-4900¢
15Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Spread -17.55000.0%$4605000¢-4900¢
18Spread -20.55000.0%$2235000¢-4900¢
19O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20O/U 37.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21O/U 41.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22O/U 47.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23O/U 49.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24O/U 53.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
25O/U 55.55000.0%$9.4K5000¢-4900¢
26O/U 71.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
271H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
281H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
291H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
301H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
312H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
351Q O/U 10.55000.0%$1765000¢-4900¢
361Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
371Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
382Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
392Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
412Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
422Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
433Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
443Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
453Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
463Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
473Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
484Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
494Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
504Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
514Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
524Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Louisville O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Louisville O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Louisville O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Louisville O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57NC State O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58NC State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59NC State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60NC State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61NC State O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Louisville 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Louisville 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Louisville 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65NC State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66NC State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67NC State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Louisville 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Louisville 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Louisville 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71NC State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72NC State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73NC State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Louisville vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Louisville vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Louisville vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127NC State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128NC State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130NC State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134NC State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135NC State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136NC State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Louisville vs. NC State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138Louisville vs. NC State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139Louisville vs. NC State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1401H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1411H Spread -3.55000.0%$7105000¢-4900¢
1421H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1432H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1442H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1452H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1462H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1471Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1481Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1491Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1501Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1511Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1522Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1532Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1542Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1552Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1562Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1573Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1583Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1593Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1603Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1613Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1624Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1634Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1644Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1654Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1664Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1674Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1682H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
169NC State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
170Louisville O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1711H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1721Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1732Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1743Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1754Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
176Spread -8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
177Spread -8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
178Spread -16.54950.0%$1024950¢-4850¢
179O/U 65.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
180O/U 67.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
181O/U 73.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1821Q O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1831Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1842Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
185Spread -4.54900.0%$194900¢-4800¢
186Spread -3.54750.0%$114750¢-4650¢
1871H Spread -7.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
188Spread -1.54600.0%$154600¢-4500¢
189Spread -14.54550.0%$1.1K4550¢-4450¢
190Spread -3.54250.0%$114250¢-4150¢
1911H O/U 27.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
192Spread -4.53900.0%$193900¢-3800¢
193O/U 57.53850.0%$89.7K3850¢-3750¢
1941H Spread -2.53850.0%$3.0K3850¢-3750¢
195Spread -6.53800.0%$373800¢-3700¢
196Spread -7.53750.0%$8.0K3750¢-3650¢
197Spread -10.53600.0%$603600¢-3500¢
198Spread -5.53600.0%$203600¢-3500¢
1991H Spread -4.53600.0%$973600¢-3500¢
200O/U 59.53500.0%$3.2K3500¢-3400¢
201Spread -5.53450.0%$203450¢-3350¢
202Spread -7.53250.0%$8.0K3250¢-3150¢
203O/U 61.53200.0%$243200¢-3100¢
204Spread -13.53150.0%$363150¢-3050¢
205Spread -6.53000.0%$373000¢-2900¢
206Spread -14.52750.0%$1.1K2750¢-2650¢
207O/U 63.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
208Spread -17.52650.0%$4602650¢-2550¢
209Spread -10.52600.0%$602600¢-2500¢
210Spread -13.52550.0%$362550¢-2450¢
211Spread -16.52150.0%$1022150¢-2050¢
212Spread -20.51650.0%$2231650¢-1550¢
213O/U 69.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
214O/U 75.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and NC State, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.

This market will resolve to "NC State" if NC State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 08:20 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $90.54

    Bought 148.42623 Louisville for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.61

  • 06:37 AM
    ——
    $190.00

    Bought 322.033897 NC State for 1H Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.59

  • 05:16 AM
    LOlocksnation
    $201.30

    Bought 330 Louisville for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.61

  • 04:33 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $25.52

    Bought 58 NC State for Spread: Louisville (-2.5) at 0.44

  • 03:38 AM
    DIdinimami
    $542.29

    Bought 889 Louisville for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.61

Oct 2, 2026

  • 10:31 PM
    GOGolftango
    $30.00

    Bought 75 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.4

  • 10:31 PM
    GOGolftango
    $60.00

    Bought 113.207548 NC State for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.53

  • 10:01 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $74.92

    Bought 192.09 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.39

  • 09:49 PM
    OLOlivier987
    $13.65

    Bought 25.754717 Over for Louisville vs. NC State: 1Q O/U 10.5 at 0.53

  • 09:33 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $1.95

    Bought 5 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.39

  • 09:32 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $13.65

    Bought 35 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.39

  • 09:30 PM
    OKoknah
    $4.68

    Bought 12 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.39

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

VE1
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$99.81
成交量
$6,417.65
持倉數
LouisvilleLouisvilleNC State+3
MA2
MAGATheeStallion
事件損益
+$45.40
成交量
$3,752.32
持倉數
NC State
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
-$59.70
成交量
$3,535.45
持倉數
LouisvilleLouisvilleNC State+3
B44
0xb4F9…0186
事件損益
+$146.31
成交量
$2,791.69
持倉數
NC StateNC State
385
38791873984189
事件損益
-$27.57
成交量
$1,611.64
持倉數
LouisvilleOverNC State+7
MO6
mooseborzoii
事件損益
+$19.11
成交量
$1,273.84
持倉數
Under
SN7
SnakeBall
事件損益
+$51.14
成交量
$1,205.30
持倉數
LouisvilleOverNC State+3
WE8
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
事件損益
-$40.03
成交量
$1,173.53
持倉數
LouisvilleLouisvilleNC State

常見問題

目前市場對「Louisville vs. NC State」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 39.5 以 8,800% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 45.5(7,000%),以及 O/U 51.5(5,600%)。該市場總成交量已達 $474.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始