Louisville vs. Ole Miss
$77.1K Vol
2026年9月7日
Active
機率趨勢
Ole Miss 70.5%
Louisville 29.5%
核心摘要
根據「Louisville vs. Ole Miss」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，O/U 35.5 以壓倒性的 9,050% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 37.5 以 8,700% 位居第二，O/U 39.5 以 8,500% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $77.1K，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- O/U 35.5 (9,050%)：O/U 35.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,050¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- O/U 37.5 (8,700%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 37.5 保持著 8,700% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,700¢。
- O/U 39.5 (8,500%)：以 8,500% 的機率位列第三，市場對 O/U 39.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）
在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：
- 替代選項：包括 O/U 41.5 (7,950%)、O/U 43.5 (7,750%)，以及 O/U 45.5 (7,250%)。
- 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Ole Miss O/U 24.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 35.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 2 | O/U 37.5 | 8700.0% | — | 8700¢ | -8600¢ |
| 3 | O/U 39.5 | 8500.0% | — | 8500¢ | -8400¢ |
| 4 | O/U 41.5 | 7950.0% | $6 | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 5 | O/U 43.5 | 7750.0% | — | 7750¢ | -7650¢ |
| 6 | O/U 45.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 7 | Ole Miss O/U 24.5 | 7150.0% | — | 7150¢ | -7050¢ |
| 8 | Spread -0.5 | 7050.0% | $1.4K | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 9 | Louisville O/U 17.5 | 7050.0% | — | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 10 | Ole Miss O/U 25.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 11 | Spread -1.5 | 6800.0% | — | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 12 | O/U 47.5 | 6750.0% | — | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 13 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 6600.0% | — | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 14 | Spread -2.5 | 6550.0% | $362 | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 15 | O/U 49.5 | 6300.0% | $157 | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 16 | Ole Miss O/U 27.5 | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 17 | Louisville O/U 20.5 | 6150.0% | — | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 18 | Spread -3.5 | 5900.0% | $25 | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 19 | 1H Spread -2.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 20 | Ole Miss O/U 28.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 21 | Spread -4.5 | 5800.0% | — | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 22 | O/U 51.5 | 5750.0% | $76 | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 23 | Spread -5.5 | 5550.0% | $1.1K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 24 | O/U 53.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 25 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 26 | Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5) | 5250.0% | $17.4K | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 27 | Ole Miss O/U 30.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 28 | 1H Spread -3.5 | 5200.0% | $439 | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 29 | Louisville O/U 23.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 30 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 31 | 2Q Spread -2.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 32 | O/U 54.5 | 5100.0% | $5.0K | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 33 | 2H Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 34 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 35 | 1Q Spread -4.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 36 | 1Q Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 37 | 3Q Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 38 | Louisville 1H O/U 8.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 39 | Louisville O/U 2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 40 | Deuce Alexander: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 41 | Makhi Frazier: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 42 | Lincoln Kienholz: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 43 | Tre Richardson: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 44 | Jackson Voth: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 45 | Louisville 2H O/U 9.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 46 | Louisville 2H O/U 13.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 47 | Spread -34.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 1Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 2Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 2Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 2Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Ole Miss 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Ole Miss 1H O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Ole Miss 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Ole Miss 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Louisville 2H O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Louisville 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Ole Miss O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Kewan Lacy: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Isaac Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Trinidad Chambliss: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Keyjuan Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Joshua Dye: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Luke Hasz: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Johntay Cook II: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Lawayne McCoy: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Brody Foley: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | TreyShun Hurry: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Caleb Cunningham: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Horatio Fields: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Louisville O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Louisville O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Ole Miss O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Ole Miss O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Ole Miss O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Louisville 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | 1Q Spread -2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 83 | Louisville 1H O/U 12.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 84 | Ole Miss 1H O/U 16.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 85 | Ole Miss 2H O/U 12.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 86 | Louisville 2H O/U 14.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 87 | Caleb Odom: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 88 | Marquise Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 89 | Jaleel Skinner: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 90 | Michael Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 91 | Louisville O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 92 | Louisville O/U 3.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 93 | Ole Miss O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 94 | Louisville 1H O/U 10.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 95 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 96 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 97 | O/U 55.5 | 4750.0% | $3.0K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 98 | 1H Spread -4.5 | 4700.0% | $47 | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 99 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 100 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 101 | Ole Miss O/U 31.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 102 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 103 | 1H Spread -5.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 104 | Spread -7.5 | 4450.0% | $3.3K | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 105 | 1H Spread -6.5 | 4350.0% | $77 | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 106 | Spread -8.5 | 4300.0% | $188 | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 107 | O/U 57.5 | 4250.0% | $1.8K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 108 | Ole Miss O/U 33.5 | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 109 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 110 | Louisville O/U 26.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 111 | O/U 59.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 112 | Ole Miss O/U 34.5 | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 113 | Spread -10.5 | 3650.0% | $102 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 114 | 1H Moneyline | 3550.0% | $558 | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 115 | Spread -13.5 | 3350.0% | $269 | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 116 | O/U 61.5 | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 117 | Ole Miss O/U 36.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 118 | Louisville vs. Ole Miss | 3050.0% | $41.4K | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 119 | Louisville O/U 29.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 120 | 2Q Spread -4.5 | 2900.0% | $107 | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 121 | O/U 63.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 122 | Ole Miss O/U 37.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 123 | Spread -14.5 | 2800.0% | $30 | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 124 | Spread -16.5 | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 125 | O/U 65.5 | 2450.0% | — | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 126 | Spread -17.5 | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 127 | O/U 67.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 128 | Spread -20.5 | 1950.0% | $43 | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 129 | O/U 69.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 130 | Spread -21.5 | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 131 | O/U 71.5 | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 132 | O/U 73.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 133 | Spread -24.5 | 1150.0% | — | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 134 | Spread -27.5 | 1000.0% | $223 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 135 | O/U 75.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 136 | Spread -31.5 | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 7:30PM ET:
If Louisville wins, the market will resolve to "Louisville".
If Ole Miss wins, the market will resolve to "Ole Miss".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 6, 2026
- 07:39 AMNEneutralwave23$4.67
Bought 6.577462 Ole Miss for Louisville vs. Ole Miss at 0.71
- 06:47 AMGOGokuuuu789$2.94
Sold 5.66 Ole Miss for Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5) at 0.52
- 06:37 AMMOmooseborzoi$53.40
Bought 100.75 Ole Miss for 1H Spread: Ole Miss (-3.5) at 0.53
- 06:35 AM——$20.13
Bought 28.353658 Ole Miss for Louisville vs. Ole Miss at 0.71
- 06:34 AMGOgolfer6490$100.00
Bought 142.85714 Ole Miss for Louisville vs. Ole Miss at 0.7
- 06:33 AMMOmooseborzoi$23.21
Bought 48.36 Louisville for Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5) at 0.48
- 06:33 AMMOmooseborzoi$65.77
Bought 137.02 Louisville for Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5) at 0.48
- 06:32 AMMOmooseborzoi$654.82
Bought 1364.21 Louisville for Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5) at 0.48
- 04:51 AMOXOxymorn$5.00
Bought 7.142856 Ole Miss for Louisville vs. Ole Miss at 0.7
- 04:17 AMDFDFY$10.30
Bought 23.409089 Ole Miss for Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5) at 0.44
- 03:52 AMMOmooseborzoi$23.49
Bought 53.39 Ole Miss for Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5) at 0.44
- 03:51 AMMOmooseborzoi$9.53
Bought 22.16 Ole Miss for Spread: Ole Miss (-8.5) at 0.43
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
MO1
morePain6969事件損益
-$196.64
成交量
$31,401.43
持倉數
Louisville
HO2
HomeRunHazard事件損益
+$185.13
成交量
$25,721.49
持倉數
Ole MissUnderUnder+6
FL3
Flipadelphia事件損益
+$22.49
成交量
$7,999.96
持倉數
Ole MissOle Miss
MO4
mooseborzoi事件損益
-$16.70
成交量
$7,208.89
持倉數
Ole MissLouisvilleOver+15
HI5
hi774c事件損益
+$30.41
成交量
$6,082.60
持倉數
Ole Miss
RU6
Runemup事件損益
-$47.17
成交量
$4,716.98
持倉數
Over
NI7
nigiri99事件損益
-$0.04
成交量
$4,683.00
持倉數
Ole MissOle MissOle Miss
388
38791873984189事件損益
+$9.26
成交量
$1,769.41
持倉數
Ole MissLouisvilleOver+8
常見問題
目前市場對「Louisville vs. Ole Miss」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，O/U 35.5 以 9,050% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 37.5（8,700%），以及 O/U 39.5（8,500%）。該市場總成交量已達 $77.1K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。