
Iowa State vs. Iowa
核心摘要
根據「Iowa State vs. Iowa」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Kamari Moulton: Anytime Touchdown 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;DJ Vonnahme: Anytime Touchdown 以 5,000% 位居第二,Tony Diaz: Anytime Touchdown 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $206.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Kamari Moulton: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%):Kamari Moulton: Anytime Touchdown 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- DJ Vonnahme: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,DJ Vonnahme: Anytime Touchdown 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
- Tony Diaz: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Tony Diaz: Anytime Touchdown 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Jaylen Raynor: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%)、Xavier Williams: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%),以及 Reece Vander Zee: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Addison Ostrenga: Anytime Touchdown 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kamari Moulton: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | DJ Vonnahme: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Tony Diaz: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Jaylen Raynor: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Xavier Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Reece Vander Zee: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Addison Ostrenga: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Nathan McNeil: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Aiden Flora: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Cameron Pettaway: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Evan James: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Cody Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Omari Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Tyler Fortenberry: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | L.J. Phillips Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Hank Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Evan Boyd: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Dayton Howard: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Easton Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Dominic Overby: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Jarriett Buie: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Carter Pabst: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Vince Benetti: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Iowa State and Iowa, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game.
This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 12, 2026
- 11:53 PMJUjustaluckydude$40.00
Bought 90.909091 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-9.5) at 0.44
- 11:53 PMJUjustaluckydude$1.80
Bought 4.09 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-9.5) at 0.44
- 11:26 PMDOdoglover4571$5.55
Bought 15 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-9.5) at 0.37
- 11:16 PMMOmooseborzoi$12.35
Bought 82.31 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa State (-2.5) at 0.15
- 11:12 PMMOmooseborzoi$134.14
Bought 141.2 Iowa for Spread: Iowa State (-6.5) at 0.95
- 10:38 PMUPUpTheBlues$46.98
Bought 162 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-6.5) at 0.29
- 10:38 PMUPUpTheBlues$0.87
Bought 3 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-6.5) at 0.29
- 10:38 PMUPUpTheBlues$6.06
Bought 20.2 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-6.5) at 0.3
- 10:38 PMUPUpTheBlues$3.51
Bought 13 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-6.5) at 0.27
- 10:38 PMUPUpTheBlues$3.03
Bought 10.1 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-6.5) at 0.3
- 10:38 PM——$16.20
Bought 30 Under for Iowa State vs. Iowa: O/U 43.5 at 0.54
- 10:33 PMSQSquatFT$1,127.65
Bought 2127.65 Under for Iowa State vs. Iowa: O/U 43.5 at 0.53
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Iowa State vs. Iowa」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Kamari Moulton: Anytime Touchdown 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 DJ Vonnahme: Anytime Touchdown(5,000%),以及 Tony Diaz: Anytime Touchdown(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $206.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
