Hawai'i vs. Arizona State

$295.5K Vol
2026年10月11日
Resolved
機率趨勢
Arizona State 95.6%
Hawai'i 4.4%

核心摘要

根據「Hawai'i vs. Arizona State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 以壓倒性的 5,100% 獲勝機率主導市場;Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $295.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 (5,100%):Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,100¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 (5,000%)、Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 (5,000%),以及 Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
2Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Hawai'i vs. Arizona State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
12Hawai'i O/U 1.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
13Arizona State O/U 4.5950.0%—950¢-850¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Hawai'i and Arizona State, scheduled for October 10 at 10:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game.

This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 11:59 PM
    0X0xd863B5bfAe9eeBc41F7B88cF0E400a44573bB7e2-1791140741154
    $3.90

    Bought 5.2 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-30.5) at 0.75

  • 11:59 PM
    0X0xd863B5bfAe9eeBc41F7B88cF0E400a44573bB7e2-1791140741154
    $3.90

    Bought 5.131579 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-30.5) at 0.76

  • 11:59 PM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $10.94

    Bought 14.394737 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-30.5) at 0.76

  • 11:59 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $39.03

    Bought 52.04 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-30.5) at 0.75

  • 11:57 PM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $7.27

    Bought 34.619048 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-33.5) at 0.21

  • 11:57 PM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $10.12

    Bought 33.733334 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-11.5) at 0.3

  • 11:57 PM
    0X0xd863B5bfAe9eeBc41F7B88cF0E400a44573bB7e2-1791140741154
    $2.12

    Bought 10.095239 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-33.5) at 0.21

  • 11:57 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $87.00

    Bought 300 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-11.5) at 0.29

  • 11:57 PM
    0X0xd863B5bfAe9eeBc41F7B88cF0E400a44573bB7e2-1791140741154
    $1.11

    Bought 4.4416 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-9.5) at 0.25

  • 11:57 PM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $15.12

    Bought 60.48 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-9.5) at 0.25

  • 11:57 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $21.20

    Bought 106 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-33.5) at 0.2

  • 11:57 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $11.10

    Bought 46.25 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-9.5) at 0.24

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
事件損益
+$14,717.21
成交量
$57,694.43
持倉數
Under
PR2
primm
事件損益
-$10,528.98
成交量
$49,664.73
持倉數
OverHawai'iHawai'i+1
653
6512395314597884
事件損益
-$3,112.73
成交量
$24,706.63
持倉數
Hawai'iArizona StateArizona State+6
NI4
nigiri99
事件損益
-$1,565.80
成交量
$21,875.79
持倉數
Hawai'iHawai'iOver+3
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
-$1,532.86
成交量
$16,299.70
持倉數
OverUnderOver+10
2C6
0x2c33…5465
事件損益
-$1,638.21
成交量
$16,126.99
持倉數
Arizona StateOver
HE7
0xheavy888
事件損益
+$704.54
成交量
$12,147.31
持倉數
Arizona State
NO8
Nooserac
事件損益
+$1,287.31
成交量
$10,057.00
持倉數
Arizona State

常見問題

目前市場對「Hawai'i vs. Arizona State」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 以 5,100% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5(5,000%),以及 Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.5(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $295.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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