Florida State vs. Louisville

$98.1K Vol
2026年10月10日
Active
機率趨勢
Louisville 62.5%
Florida State 37.5%

核心摘要

根據「Florida State vs. Louisville」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，O/U 39.5 以壓倒性的 9,150% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 37.5 以 9,000% 位居第二，O/U 41.5 以 8,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $98.1K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • O/U 39.5 (9,150%)：O/U 39.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,150¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • O/U 37.5 (9,000%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 37.5 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
  • O/U 41.5 (8,950%)：以 8,950% 的機率位列第三，市場對 O/U 41.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

  • 替代選項：包括 2Q O/U 7.5 (8,750%)、O/U 35.5 (8,700%)，以及 O/U 43.5 (8,400%)。
  • 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 4Q O/U 7.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1O/U 39.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
2O/U 37.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
3O/U 41.58950.0%$8028950¢-8850¢
42Q O/U 7.58750.0%—8750¢-8650¢
5O/U 35.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
6O/U 43.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
74Q O/U 7.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
8Louisville O/U 26.58000.0%—8000¢-7900¢
9Louisville O/U 23.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
10O/U 47.57850.0%$367850¢-7750¢
111H O/U 21.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
12O/U 45.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
132Q O/U 10.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
14Louisville O/U 29.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
15Florida State O/U 20.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
16O/U 49.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
17O/U 51.57050.0%$57050¢-6950¢
18Florida State 1H O/U 11.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
191Q O/U 7.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
204Q O/U 10.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
212Q O/U 13.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
223Q O/U 7.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
23Florida State O/U 29.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
241Q Moneyline6800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
25O/U 53.56700.0%$1556700¢-6600¢
262H O/U 21.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
27Florida State O/U 23.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
281H O/U 24.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
29Spread -0.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
30O/U 55.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
31Florida State O/U 32.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
32Spread -1.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
334Q O/U 13.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
34Spread -2.55850.0%$2565850¢-5750¢
351H O/U 27.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
36O/U 57.55750.0%$2.7K5750¢-5650¢
37Florida State O/U 26.55750.0%$6135750¢-5650¢
38Louisville 1H O/U 16.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
391H Spread -0.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
403Q O/U 10.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
411Q O/U 10.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
422Q O/U 16.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
432H O/U 24.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
44Florida State 2H O/U 11.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
451H Spread -1.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
46Louisville 2H O/U 12.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
47Florida State 1H O/U 13.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
48Louisville 1H O/U 14.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
49Spread -3.55150.0%$60.3K5150¢-5050¢
50Florida State 2H O/U 13.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
511H Spread -2.55150.0%$1575150¢-5050¢
521Q O/U 13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
532H Spread -1.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
54O/U 59.55050.0%$9.3K5050¢-4950¢
55Game Goes to Overtime5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
561H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
572H O/U 27.55000.0%$65000¢-4900¢
583Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Louisville 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Florida State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Florida State vs. Louisville: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1192H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1202H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1211Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1232Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1243Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1253Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1264Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1274Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1284Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1292H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Louisville O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Florida State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1322Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1333Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1344Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Spread -20.54950.0%$1874950¢-4850¢
1361H O/U 30.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1372H O/U 33.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
138Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
139Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
140Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
141Louisville O/U 32.54900.0%$224900¢-4800¢
1422Q Spread -1.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
143Spread -4.54750.0%$4.8K4750¢-4650¢
1442H Spread -2.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
145O/U 61.54650.0%$1004650¢-4550¢
1464Q O/U 16.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
1472Q Spread -2.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
148Spread -5.54550.0%$3164550¢-4450¢
1491H Spread -3.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
1502Q O/U 19.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
1513Q Spread -1.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
1521Q Spread -0.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
153Spread -6.54350.0%$9734350¢-4250¢
1542H O/U 30.54350.0%$54350¢-4250¢
155Louisville 2H O/U 14.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
156Both Teams to Score Points - Q24350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
1571Q Spread -1.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
1582H Spread -3.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1594Q Spread -1.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1603Q Spread -2.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1614Q Spread -2.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
162O/U 63.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
1631H Spread -5.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
1641H Moneyline4100.0%$4.0K4100¢-4000¢
165Both Teams to Score Points - Q43950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
1662Q Spread -3.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
167Louisville 2H O/U 16.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
168Spread -7.53800.0%$2433800¢-3700¢
169Florida State vs. Louisville3750.0%$10.9K3750¢-3650¢
170O/U 65.53750.0%$1383750¢-3650¢
171Louisville O/U 35.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
172Spread -0.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
173Spread -8.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1744Q O/U 19.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1752H Spread -5.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1761Q Spread -3.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1773Q Spread -1.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1783Q Spread -3.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
179Spread -1.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
1801H Spread -1.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
1812Q Spread -1.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
1824Q Spread -3.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
183Spread -2.53400.0%$2563400¢-3300¢
184Both Teams to Score Points - Q33400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
1851Q Spread -1.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
186O/U 67.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
187Both Teams to Score Points - Q13350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
188Spread -10.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
189Florida State 1H O/U 15.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
190O/U 69.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
1911Q O/U 16.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
192Spread -3.52850.0%$60.3K2850¢-2750¢
1933Q O/U 16.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
194Spread -13.52700.0%$942700¢-2600¢
195Spread -4.52600.0%$4.8K2600¢-2500¢
1961Q Spread -3.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
197O/U 71.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
198Spread -5.52450.0%$3162450¢-2350¢
199Spread -6.52350.0%$9732350¢-2250¢
200O/U 73.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
201Spread -14.52300.0%$8692300¢-2200¢
202Spread -16.52150.0%$4212150¢-2050¢
203O/U 75.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
2043Q O/U 19.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
2051Q O/U 19.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
206Spread -7.51850.0%$2431850¢-1750¢
207Spread -17.51850.0%$7101850¢-1750¢
208Spread -8.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
209Spread -10.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
210Spread -20.51450.0%$1871450¢-1350¢
211Spread -13.51100.0%$941100¢-1000¢
212Spread -14.51000.0%$8691000¢-900¢
213Spread -17.5640.0%$710640¢-540¢
214Spread -16.5550.0%$421550¢-450¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Louisville, scheduled for October 9 at 7:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 9, 2026

  • 09:27 AM
    SUsuperlxj
    $120.79

    Bought 257 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-4.5) at 0.47

  • 09:26 AM
    0X0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465
    $1,576.56

    Bought 3427.31 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-4.5) at 0.46

  • 09:26 AM
    ——
    $1.03

    Bought 2.19149 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-4.5) at 0.47

  • 09:26 AM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $203.34

    Bought 376.56 Florida State for Spread: Louisville (-4.5) at 0.54

  • 09:16 AM
    FAfayzan26
    $1.02

    Bought 1.64 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 08:16 AM
    ——
    $1.92

    Sold 3.14 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.61

  • 08:15 AM
    ——
    $1.95

    Bought 3.14516 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 06:56 AM
    0X0x7883DD16F31254193D8f3E89117814c643c8c0f9-1789456794731
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607844 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.51

  • 06:14 AM
    PCPCK
    $250.00

    Bought 403.225807 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 05:24 AM
    0X0x34FdC927C1C150012960454cFF4ECe24d4c5458C-1770404648271
    $10.00

    Bought 16.129031 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 04:58 AM
    FAfayzan26
    $1.02

    Bought 1.64 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 04:53 AM
    ——
    $4.85

    Bought 9.509804 Under for Florida State vs. Louisville: O/U 59.5 at 0.51

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

491
0x4924…1188
事件損益
-$1,127.87
成交量
$48,682.04
持倉數
Florida State
MO2
mooseborzoii
事件損益
+$847.81
成交量
$45,376.54
持倉數
LouisvilleUnderFlorida State
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$231.13
成交量
$20,980.87
持倉數
LouisvilleUnderFlorida State
NO4
Nooserac
事件損益
-$44.92
成交量
$9,022.79
持倉數
Florida State
CH5
ChampGamp
事件損益
+$37.10
成交量
$7,419.35
持倉數
Louisville
FO6
Forecastication2
事件損益
+$3.78
成交量
$4,382.00
持倉數
OverLouisvilleOver+2
JA7
JAMJAMJAM4
事件損益
-$36.73
成交量
$3,673.00
持倉數
Florida State
HI8
hi774c
事件損益
+$51.61
成交量
$3,672.46
持倉數
LouisvilleFlorida State

常見問題

目前市場對「Florida State vs. Louisville」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，O/U 39.5 以 9,150% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 37.5（9,000%），以及 O/U 41.5（8,950%）。該市場總成交量已達 $98.1K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始