Duke vs. Illinois

$128.5K Vol
2026年9月12日
Active
機率趨勢
Duke 52.0%
Illinois 47.5%

核心摘要

根據「Duke vs. Illinois」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 56.5 以壓倒性的 9,055% 獲勝機率主導市場;3Q Moneyline 以 9,050% 位居第二,Duke O/U 28.5 以 9,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $128.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 56.5 (9,055%):O/U 56.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,055¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $25 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 3Q Moneyline (9,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,3Q Moneyline 保持著 9,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,050¢。
  • Duke O/U 28.5 (9,050%):以 9,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Duke O/U 28.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Duke O/U 29.5 (9,050%)、3Q Spread -3.5 (9,050%),以及 3Q Spread -1.5 (9,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 3Q Spread -0.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 56.59055.0%$259055¢-8955¢
23Q Moneyline9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
3Duke O/U 28.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
4Duke O/U 29.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
53Q Spread -3.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
63Q Spread -1.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
73Q Spread -0.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
8Spread -4.55950.0%$3035950¢-5850¢
9O/U 60.55400.0%$85400¢-5300¢
10Duke vs. Illinois5250.0%$54.4K5250¢-5150¢
11Spread -2.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
12Spread -2.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
13Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Duke O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Duke O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Duke O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Duke O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Illinois O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Illinois O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Illinois O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Illinois O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Spread -20.55000.0%$1045000¢-4900¢
24Spread -24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Spread -27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Spread -31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Spread -34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28O/U 58.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29O/U 62.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30O/U 64.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31O/U 68.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32O/U 70.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33O/U 74.55000.0%$15000¢-4900¢
342H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Nate Sheppard: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36Collin Dixon: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37Ca'Lil Valentine: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38Aidan Laughery: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39Jeremiah Hasley: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
40Katin Houser: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
41Hudson Clement: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
42Jared Richardson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
43Brayden Trimble: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
44Ty Robinson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
45Kaden Feagin: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
46Christian Abney: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
47Jonah Burton: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
48Jayden Moore: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
49Walker Eget: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
502H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
512H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
522H Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
532H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
542H Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
554Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
564Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
574Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
584Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
59Illinois O/U 29.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
60Illinois O/U 32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
61Illinois O/U 35.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
62Duke O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
63Illinois O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
64Illinois O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
65Illinois O/U 31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
66Illinois O/U 34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
67CJ Campbell Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
68Jordan Anderson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
69Javen Nicholas: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
70Jake Taylor: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
71Kavon Simmons: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
72Duke 2H O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
73Duke 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
74Duke 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
75Illinois 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
76Illinois 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
77Illinois 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
78Duke 2H O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
79Duke 2H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
80Duke 2H O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81Duke 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
82Illinois 2H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
83Illinois 2H O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
84Illinois 2H O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
85Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
86Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
87Spread -12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
88Spread -19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
89Spread -22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
90Spread -26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
912H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
922H Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
932H O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
942H O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
952H O/U 25.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
962H O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
972H O/U 31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
984Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
994Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1004Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1014Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1024Q O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1034Q O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1044Q O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1054Q O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1064Q O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
107Duke 2H O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
108Spread -1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
109Spread -14.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
110Spread -16.54950.0%$964950¢-4850¢
111Spread -17.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
112O/U 66.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
113Spread -23.54945.0%4945¢-4845¢
114Spread -1.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
115Spread -4.54450.0%$3034450¢-4350¢
116Spread -7.54450.0%$20.2K4450¢-4350¢
117Spread -6.54400.0%$55.7K4400¢-4300¢
118O/U 72.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
119Spread -10.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
120Spread -21.53900.0%$483900¢-3800¢
121Spread -3.53550.0%$2353550¢-3450¢
122Spread -10.53350.0%3350¢-3250¢
123Spread -9.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
124Spread -11.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
125Spread -7.52900.0%$20.2K2900¢-2800¢
126Spread -5.52900.0%$2092900¢-2800¢
127Spread -13.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
128Spread -11.52650.0%2650¢-2550¢
129Spread -14.51565.0%1565¢-1465¢
1303Q Spread -0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1313Q Spread -1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1323Q Spread -2.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1333Q Spread -3.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1343Q O/U 10.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1353Q O/U 13.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1363Q O/U 16.5950.0%950¢-850¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Duke and Illinois, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game.

This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 12, 2026

  • 09:56 PM
    GLGlory.be.to.God
    $5.00

    Bought 5.05 Over for Duke vs. Illinois: O/U 53.5 at 0.99

  • 09:56 PM
    ASasd147
    $39.60

    Bought 40 Over for Duke vs. Illinois: O/U 53.5 at 0.99

  • 09:56 PM
    TOtoireK
    $495.00

    Bought 500 Over for Duke vs. Illinois: O/U 53.5 at 0.99

  • 09:56 PM
    TOtoireK
    $49.50

    Bought 50 Over for Duke vs. Illinois: O/U 53.5 at 0.99

  • 09:56 PM
    SHshugafa
    $10.00

    Bought 10.101 Over for Duke vs. Illinois: O/U 53.5 at 0.99

  • 09:45 PM
    ANandytest3
    $5.00

    Bought 5.882353 Duke for Spread: Illinois (-6.5) at 0.85

  • 09:21 PM
    0X0x01C968789A70ABd45c1Ee2B9dac3816046394386-1759572409278
    $229.12

    Bought 739.096775 Duke for Duke vs. Illinois at 0.31

  • 09:17 PM
    FRfreund1kk
    $1.60

    Bought 5.161291 Duke for Duke vs. Illinois at 0.31

  • 09:17 PM
    $2.10

    Bought 3 Illinois for Duke vs. Illinois at 0.7

  • 09:15 PM
    BABasedDept
    $1.00

    Bought 3.448276 Duke for Duke vs. Illinois at 0.29

  • 09:14 PM
    DCDCAAA
    $0.13

    Bought 0.25 Duke for Spread: Illinois (-6.5) at 0.53

  • 09:12 PM
    3838791873984189
    $4.70

    Sold 10 Illinois for Spread: Illinois (-6.5) at 0.47

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

KC1
Kch-Temp
事件損益
+$27.94
成交量
$34,155.80
持倉數
IllinoisOverIllinois
SD2
SDTrading
事件損益
-$150.00
成交量
$30,000.00
持倉數
Duke
VE3
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$16.46
成交量
$2,742.75
持倉數
UnderUnderDuke+2
JA4
JAMJAMJAM4
事件損益
-$14.26
成交量
$1,426.00
持倉數
Under
LU5
LuckyLoo
事件損益
+$12.71
成交量
$1,271.00
持倉數
Over
JE6
Jeffersonczs
事件損益
-$5.00
成交量
$1,000.00
持倉數
Under
387
38791873984189
事件損益
+$1.25
成交量
$790.63
持倉數
UnderOverDuke+6
MO8
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$4.73
成交量
$770.17
持倉數
OverDukeIllinois+3

常見問題

目前市場對「Duke vs. Illinois」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 56.5 以 9,055% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 3Q Moneyline(9,050%),以及 Duke O/U 28.5(9,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $128.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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