Boston College vs. Cincinnati

$53.2K Vol

2026年9月5日

Active

機率趨勢

Cincinnati 90.5%

Boston College 9.5%

核心摘要

根據「Boston College vs. Cincinnati」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Spread: Cincinnati (-7.5) 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 37.5 以 9,995% 位居第二，O/U 43.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $53.2K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

Spread: Cincinnati (-7.5) (9,995%)：Spread: Cincinnati (-7.5) 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $5.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

O/U 37.5 (9,995%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 37.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
O/U 43.5 (9,995%)：以 9,995% 的機率位列第三，市場對 O/U 43.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

替代選項：包括 Spread -1.5 (9,960%)、Spread -2.5 (9,960%)，以及 Spread -3.5 (9,960%)。
投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Spread -5.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名	預測結果	獲勝機率	成交量	買入 Yes（成本）	買入 No（成本）
1	Spread: Cincinnati (-7.5)	9995.0%	$5.3K	9995¢	-9895¢
2	O/U 37.5	9995.0%	$4.3K	9995¢	-9895¢
3	O/U 43.5	9995.0%	$1.1K	9995¢	-9895¢
4	Spread -1.5	9960.0%	—	9960¢	-9860¢
5	Spread -2.5	9960.0%	—	9960¢	-9860¢
6	Spread -3.5	9960.0%	—	9960¢	-9860¢
7	Spread -5.5	9960.0%	$1.0K	9960¢	-9860¢
8	Spread -6.5	9960.0%	$46	9960¢	-9860¢
9	Spread -10.5	9960.0%	$2.3K	9960¢	-9860¢
10	Spread -17.5	9960.0%	$2.5K	9960¢	-9860¢
11	Spread -4.5	9955.0%	—	9955¢	-9855¢
12	Spread -13.5	9955.0%	$683	9955¢	-9855¢
13	Spread -14.5	9955.0%	$2.6K	9955¢	-9855¢
14	Spread -16.5	9955.0%	$597	9955¢	-9855¢
15	Spread -0.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
16	Spread -8.5	9950.0%	$147	9950¢	-9850¢
17	O/U 35.5	9950.0%	$374	9950¢	-9850¢
18	O/U 39.5	9950.0%	$8	9950¢	-9850¢
19	O/U 41.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
20	O/U 45.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
21	O/U 47.5	9950.0%	$51	9950¢	-9850¢
22	Cincinnati O/U 29.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
23	Cincinnati O/U 32.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
24	Cincinnati O/U 28.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
25	Cincinnati O/U 31.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
26	Boston College O/U 14.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
27	4Q Spread -0.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
28	4Q Spread -1.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
29	4Q Spread -2.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
30	2H Spread -0.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
31	2H Spread -1.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
32	2H Spread -2.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
33	2H Spread -3.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
34	2H Spread -4.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
35	Boston College 2H O/U 9.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
36	Boston College 2H O/U 11.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
37	Cincinnati 2H O/U 15.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
38	2H Spread -5.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
39	2H Spread -6.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
40	Cincinnati 2H O/U 14.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
41	Cincinnati 2H O/U 16.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
42	Boston College 2H O/U 8.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
43	Boston College 2H O/U 10.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
44	Boston College 2H O/U 12.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
45	2H Spread -7.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
46	2H Spread -8.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
47	Boston College O/U 2.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
48	Cincinnati O/U 3.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
49	Gi'Bran Payne: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
50	Evan Dickens: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
51	JC French: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
52	Zylan Perry: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
53	Zion Johnson: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
54	Isaiah Johnson: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
55	Mason McKenzie: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
56	Zeke Moore: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
57	Bo MacCormack III: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
58	Nolan Ray: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
59	Jaedn Skeete: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
60	JaVonnie Gibson: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
61	Reed Swanson: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
62	Cole Tabb: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
63	Javarius Green: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
64	Larenzo Fenner: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
65	Gavin Grover: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
66	Cade Wolford: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
67	Malachi Henry: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
68	John Montague: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
69	4Q Spread -3.5	950.0%	—	950¢	-850¢
70	4Q Moneyline	950.0%	—	950¢	-850¢
71	2H Spread -9.5	950.0%	—	950¢	-850¢
72	Spread -20.5	50.0%	$120	50¢	50¢
73	Spread -24.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
74	Spread -31.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
75	Spread -34.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
76	O/U 53.5	50.0%	$26	50¢	50¢
77	O/U 57.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
78	O/U 59.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
79	O/U 63.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
80	O/U 65.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
81	O/U 69.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
82	O/U 71.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
83	2H Moneyline	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
84	Cincinnati O/U 35.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
85	Cincinnati O/U 34.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
86	Boston College O/U 17.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
87	Boston College O/U 20.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
88	Boston College O/U 23.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
89	Boston College O/U 26.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
90	Boston College O/U 15.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
91	Boston College O/U 18.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
92	Boston College O/U 21.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
93	Boston College O/U 24.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
94	Boston College O/U 27.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
95	O/U 51.5	45.0%	$97	45¢	55¢
96	Spread -21.5	45.0%	$121	45¢	55¢
97	Spread -27.5	45.0%	—	45¢	55¢
98	O/U 55.5	45.0%	—	45¢	55¢
99	O/U 61.5	45.0%	—	45¢	55¢
100	O/U 67.5	45.0%	—	45¢	55¢
101	O/U 50.5	45.0%	$125	45¢	55¢
102	O/U 49.5	40.0%	$1.1K	40¢	60¢
103	Boston College vs. Cincinnati	5.0%	$30.2K	5¢	95¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET:

If Boston College wins, the market will resolve to "Boston College".

If Cincinnati wins, the market will resolve to "Cincinnati".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 5, 2026

08:52 PM
DCDCAAA
$142.82
Bought 280.03 Boston College for Spread: Cincinnati (-13.5) at 0.51
08:52 PM
DCDCAAA
$61.11
Bought 111.1 Boston College for Spread: Cincinnati (-14.5) at 0.55
08:39 PM
FEfelixroj
$3.60
Bought 7.5 Over for Boston College vs. Cincinnati: O/U 39.5 at 0.48
08:37 PM
0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
$2.45
Bought 5 Under for Boston College vs. Cincinnati: O/U 37.5 at 0.49
08:37 PM
RNRN1
$700.30
Bought 1490 Under for Boston College vs. Cincinnati: O/U 37.5 at 0.47
08:35 PM
0X0x688d6Ab750561b690c3AA92d859ecBc8770afb8E-1775158343333
$8.00
Bought 12.903223 Under for Boston College vs. Cincinnati: O/U 43.5 at 0.62
08:18 PM
FLFlaznorp
$2.51
Bought 8.964284 Boston College for Boston College vs. Cincinnati at 0.28
08:18 PM
3838791873984189
$43.20
Bought 90 Cincinnati for Spread: Cincinnati (-7.5) at 0.48
08:11 PM
ZUzusu
$1.00
Bought 3.448274 Boston College for Boston College vs. Cincinnati at 0.29
08:11 PM
DCDCAAA
$28.96
Bought 53.63 Boston College for Spread: Cincinnati (-8.5) at 0.54
08:11 PM
ZUzusu
$1.00
Bought 1.2987 Cincinnati for Boston College vs. Cincinnati at 0.77
08:10 PM
ZUzusu
$1.00
Bought 1.315787 Cincinnati for Boston College vs. Cincinnati at 0.76

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

CA1

CanadianGoose

事件損益

-$71.90

成交量

$14,382.01

持倉數

Boston College

RN2

RN1

事件損益

-$791.15

成交量

$8,855.64

持倉數

Boston CollegeUnderCincinnati+2

VE3

VeryLucky888

事件損益

+$1,186.04

成交量

$7,689.72

持倉數

CincinnatiCincinnatiOver

HO4

HomeRunHazard

事件損益

+$43.22

成交量

$7,032.34

持倉數

CincinnatiOverCincinnati+5

FL5

Flaznorp

事件損益

+$1,042.64

成交量

$4,109.17

持倉數

Cincinnati

LI6

lissartter

事件損益

-$6.45

成交量

$2,452.71

持倉數

CincinnatiBoston College

CH7

chaeri

事件損益

-$0.68

成交量

$1,769.00

持倉數

Boston College

388

38791873984189

事件損益

+$422.67

成交量

$1,571.10

持倉數

CincinnatiCincinnatiUnder+2

常見問題

目前市場對「Boston College vs. Cincinnati」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，Spread: Cincinnati (-7.5) 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 37.5（9,995%），以及 O/U 43.5（9,995%）。該市場總成交量已達 $53.2K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。