Boise State vs. Fresno State

$99.1K Vol
2026年10月11日
Active
機率趨勢
Boise State 72.5%
Fresno State 27.5%

核心摘要

根據「Boise State vs. Fresno State」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Spread -0.5 以壓倒性的 8,450% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 35.5 以 8,150% 位居第二，2Q O/U 7.5 以 8,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $99.1K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • Spread -0.5 (8,450%)：Spread -0.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,450¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $150 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • O/U 35.5 (8,150%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 35.5 保持著 8,150% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,150¢。
  • 2Q O/U 7.5 (8,000%)：以 8,000% 的機率位列第三，市場對 2Q O/U 7.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

  • 替代選項：包括 O/U 37.5 (7,850%)、Boise State O/U 20.5 (7,750%)，以及 O/U 39.5 (7,450%)。
  • 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Boise State vs. Fresno State 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1Spread -0.58450.0%$1508450¢-8350¢
2O/U 35.58150.0%—8150¢-8050¢
32Q O/U 7.58000.0%—8000¢-7900¢
4O/U 37.57850.0%$77850¢-7750¢
5Boise State O/U 20.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
6O/U 39.57450.0%$77450¢-7350¢
7Boise State vs. Fresno State7350.0%$41.3K7350¢-7250¢
8Spread -1.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
92H Spread -4.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
101H Moneyline7050.0%$57050¢-6950¢
11Spread -2.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
12Boise State O/U 23.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
13O/U 41.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
144Q O/U 7.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
15Spread -3.56600.0%$996600¢-6500¢
16O/U 43.56450.0%$36450¢-6350¢
172Q O/U 10.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
181H O/U 21.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
191H Spread -2.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
20Spread -5.56150.0%$1.9K6150¢-6050¢
21Spread -4.56150.0%$56150¢-6050¢
22Spread -6.56050.0%$8.2K6050¢-5950¢
234Q O/U 10.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
241Q Moneyline6000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
25O/U 45.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
26Boise State 1H O/U 13.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
273Q O/U 7.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
281Q O/U 7.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
291H Spread -3.55600.0%$1.3K5600¢-5500¢
30Spread -7.55350.0%$645350¢-5250¢
312Q O/U 13.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
32Boise State 1H O/U 11.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
332Q Spread -2.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
343Q Spread -2.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
35O/U 47.55250.0%$655250¢-5150¢
362H O/U 27.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
372H Spread -3.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
382H O/U 30.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
391Q Spread -1.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
40Spread -8.55050.0%$3.0K5050¢-4950¢
412H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
422H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
432H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
444Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Boise State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Fresno State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Fresno State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Fresno State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Fresno State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Fresno State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Boise State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Boise State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Boise State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Fresno State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Fresno State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Fresno State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Boise State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Boise State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1231H Spread -4.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
1241H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1252H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1262H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1272H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1281Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1291Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1302Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1312Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1322Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1332Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1343Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1353Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1363Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1373Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1384Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1394Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1404Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1414Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1422H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
143Boise State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
144Fresno State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1452Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1463Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1474Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
148Spread -17.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
149Spread -20.54950.0%$2.6K4950¢-4850¢
1501H O/U 33.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1511Q Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1521H Spread -5.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1531H O/U 24.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
154Boise State O/U 29.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1552H Spread -7.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
156Boise State 1H O/U 15.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1572Q Spread -3.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
158O/U 49.54650.0%$574650¢-4550¢
1594Q Spread -2.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
160Spread -10.54550.0%$2984550¢-4450¢
1613Q O/U 10.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
162Fresno State O/U 35.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
1631Q O/U 10.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1642Q O/U 16.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
165O/U 51.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
1664Q Spread -3.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
167Boise State O/U 32.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
168Spread -13.53950.0%$3613950¢-3850¢
1693Q Spread -3.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
1701H O/U 27.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
1711Q Spread -3.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
172O/U 53.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
1731Q O/U 13.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
1741H Spread -7.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
175Fresno State O/U 23.53550.0%$253550¢-3450¢
1763Q O/U 13.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
177Spread -14.53350.0%$1973350¢-3250¢
178O/U 55.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
1794Q O/U 16.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
180Spread -16.53100.0%$7773100¢-3000¢
1812Q O/U 19.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
1821H O/U 30.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
183O/U 57.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
184Spread -17.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
185Spread -0.52450.0%$1502450¢-2350¢
186Spread -1.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
187O/U 59.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
1884Q O/U 19.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
189Spread -2.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
190Spread -20.52200.0%$2.6K2200¢-2100¢
1911Q Spread -3.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
192O/U 61.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
193Fresno State O/U 32.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
1943Q O/U 16.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
195Spread -3.51900.0%$991900¢-1800¢
196O/U 63.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
197Spread -4.51750.0%$51750¢-1650¢
198O/U 65.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
1991Q O/U 16.51750.0%$451750¢-1650¢
200Spread -5.51650.0%$1.9K1650¢-1550¢
2011Q O/U 19.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
202Spread -6.51450.0%$8.2K1450¢-1350¢
203O/U 67.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
204Spread -7.51200.0%$641200¢-1100¢
2053Q O/U 19.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
206O/U 75.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
207Spread -8.5950.0%$3.0K950¢-850¢
208Spread -10.5900.0%$298900¢-800¢
209O/U 69.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
210O/U 73.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
211O/U 71.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
212Spread -13.5650.0%$361650¢-550¢
213Spread -14.5475.0%$197475¢-375¢
214Spread -16.5350.0%$777350¢-250¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Boise State and Fresno State, scheduled for October 10 at 10:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Boise State" if Boise State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 10:07 PM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 2.666664 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:07 PM
    MAMasterSparks69
    $3.27

    Bought 12.576924 Fresno State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.26

  • 10:07 PM
    0X0x0abdea0ECe95A
    $1.68

    Bought 6.461539 Fresno State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.26

  • 10:07 PM
    SKskembinator
    $1,050.00

    Bought 1400 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:07 PM
    XCxcc123
    $2.75

    Bought 3.666664 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:06 PM
    0X0x6475d7f132BD68185903Ae538dFC7ED6074a8028-1778412597460
    $15.00

    Bought 20 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:06 PM
    0X0x276d3C3BB248b3F9eCda08503818FC3638E2Ea8f-1772584955589
    $51.36

    Bought 68.48 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:06 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.333332 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:06 PM
    0X0x05b35deBb8D22aC68D8DD4F1b99bCD8Fc0CB45C3-1790760001602
    $4.93

    Bought 6.57 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:06 PM
    DZDZ002
    $2.00

    Bought 7.692308 Fresno State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.26

  • 10:06 PM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 2.666664 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:06 PM
    0X0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0
    $1.00

    Bought 1.333332 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

HO1
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$1,237.19
成交量
$29,367.89
持倉數
Boise StateBoise StateBoise State+5
2C2
0x2c33…5465
事件損益
-$1,563.83
成交量
$24,059.24
持倉數
Fresno StateFresno State
MO3
mooseborzoii
事件損益
+$655.13
成交量
$14,174.73
持倉數
Boise StateBoise State
KI4
kingflop
事件損益
+$680.59
成交量
$10,470.54
持倉數
Boise State
WE5
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
事件損益
-$422.48
成交量
$9,619.87
持倉數
Fresno StateFresno StateBoise State+2
FR6
freedomfighter555
事件損益
-$280.00
成交量
$7,999.98
持倉數
Fresno State
MA7
MAGATheeStallion
事件損益
-$156.25
成交量
$6,250.00
持倉數
Fresno State
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$79.97
成交量
$5,089.12
持倉數
Boise StateFresno StateFresno State+2

常見問題

目前市場對「Boise State vs. Fresno State」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，Spread -0.5 以 8,450% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 35.5（8,150%），以及 2Q O/U 7.5（8,000%）。該市場總成交量已達 $99.1K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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