Ball State vs. Northwestern

$107.9K Vol
2026年10月10日
Resolved
機率趨勢
Northwestern 99.0%
Ball State 1.1%

核心摘要

根據「Ball State vs. Northwestern」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Pick-Six Scored 以壓倒性的 5,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $107.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Pick-Six Scored (5,050%):Pick-Six Scored 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 (5,000%)、Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 (5,000%),以及 Ball State vs. Northwestern: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Pick-Six Scored5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
2Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Ball State vs. Northwestern: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Ball State and Northwestern, scheduled for October 10 at 12:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Northwestern" if Northwestern win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 08:01 PM
    QWqwe258
    $45.00

    Bought 45 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 23.5 at 1

  • 07:52 PM
    ——
    $4.99

    Bought 4.994 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 23.5 at 1

  • 07:51 PM
    QWqwe258
    $135.99

    Bought 135.99 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:51 PM
    DAdachshundowner
    $24.53

    Bought 24.534535 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:51 PM
    BEBetNovaa
    $45.00

    Bought 45 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:50 PM
    JOJordyBOBO
    $2.00

    Bought 2.002003 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:50 PM
    SHshugafa
    $50.00

    Bought 50 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 20.5 at 1

  • 07:50 PM
    SHshugafa
    $100.10

    Bought 100.100101 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:50 PM
    ——
    $4.99

    Bought 4.994995 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:16 PM
    LAlaoaba
    $1.02

    Bought 1.821429 Over for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 67.5 at 0.56

  • 07:11 PM
    NENeitrino
    $65.00

    Bought 309.52381 Over for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 75.5 at 0.21

  • 07:11 PM
    ASassasin5002
    $9.02

    Bought 41 Over for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 75.5 at 0.22

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

2C1
0x2c33…5465
事件損益
-$11,539.96
成交量
$23,550.99
持倉數
Northwestern
LE2
LesterDiamond
事件損益
+$1,178.23
成交量
$9,817.64
持倉數
OverBall State
JU3
justaluckydude
事件損益
-$2,384.86
成交量
$5,717.92
持倉數
NorthwesternNorthwesternOver+5
4F4
0x4f2
事件損益
-$2,407.92
成交量
$5,584.75
持倉數
UnderUnderUnder+1
OL5
Olivier987
事件損益
-$2,082.47
成交量
$5,547.94
持倉數
Northwestern
RN6
RN1
事件損益
-$10.34
成交量
$5,171.00
持倉數
Ball State
GA7
GaoJin-GamblingGod
事件損益
-$2,339.14
成交量
$4,773.75
持倉數
Ball State
0A8
0x0A77exmm
事件損益
-$1,999.69
成交量
$4,081.00
持倉數
Northwestern

常見問題

目前市場對「Ball State vs. Northwestern」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Pick-Six Scored 以 5,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5(5,000%),以及 Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $107.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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