
Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Southern University
核心摘要
根據「Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Southern University」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,O/U 49.5 以壓倒性的 7,400% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -5.5 以 6,250% 位居第二,O/U 51.5 以 5,900% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $107.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- O/U 49.5 (7,400%):O/U 49.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,400¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -5.5 (6,250%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -5.5 保持著 6,250% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,250¢。
- O/U 51.5 (5,900%):以 5,900% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 51.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 O/U 53.5 (5,650%)、Spread -1.5 (5,450%),以及 O/U 55.5 (5,100%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 2H Moneyline 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 49.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 2 | Spread -5.5 | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 3 | O/U 51.5 | 5900.0% | — | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 4 | O/U 53.5 | 5650.0% | — | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 5 | Spread -1.5 | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 6 | O/U 55.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 7 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | 1H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Spread -10.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 10 | Spread -14.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 11 | O/U 57.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 12 | Spread -3.5 | 4550.0% | $73.6K | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 13 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Southern University | 4350.0% | $34.1K | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 14 | Spread -1.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 15 | O/U 59.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 16 | O/U 61.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 17 | Spread -7.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 18 | Spread -14.5 | 2400.0% | — | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 19 | Spread -10.5 | 2400.0% | — | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 20 | Spread -7.5 | 2400.0% | — | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 21 | Spread -5.5 | 2400.0% | — | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 22 | Spread -3.5 | 2400.0% | $73.6K | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Southern University, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Arkansas-Pine Bluff" if Arkansas-Pine Bluff win the game.
This market will resolve to "Southern University" if Southern University win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 3, 2026
- 09:09 AMLYlysergic$1.00
Bought 1.818182 Arkansas-Pine Bluff for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.55
- 07:42 AMIAIamthelaw$8.00
Bought 17.391305 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46
- 06:05 AMODOddstorm$205.28
Bought 446.25 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46
- 05:36 AMODOddstorm$9.19
Bought 19.98 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46
- 04:58 AMUSUser1244322$598.98
Bought 1302.14 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46
- 04:57 AMUSUser1244322$2,790.03
Bought 6065.29 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46
- 04:35 AMSIsirPeeWee$3.22
Bought 7 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46
- 04:30 AMSIsirPeeWee$3.22
Bought 7 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46
- 04:26 AM181845$1,324.80
Bought 2880 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46
- 02:03 AMFNfnaot$4.00
Bought 8.695653 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46
- 01:50 AMNInigiri99$57.33
Bought 147 Arkansas-Pine Bluff for Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Southern University at 0.39
- 01:36 AMTAtatkamatv78$50.00
Bought 108.695653 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Southern University」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,O/U 49.5 以 7,400% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -5.5(6,250%),以及 O/U 51.5(5,900%)。該市場總成交量已達 $107.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
