Arkansas State vs. TCU

$103.1K Vol
2026年9月20日
Active
機率趨勢
TCU 97.4%
Arkansas State 3.0%

核心摘要

根據「Arkansas State vs. TCU」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Spread -4.5 以壓倒性的 9,650% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -1.5 以 9,450% 位居第二,Spread -7.5 以 9,450% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $103.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Spread -4.5 (9,650%):Spread -4.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,650¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,450%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -1.5 保持著 9,450% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,450¢。
  • Spread -7.5 (9,450%):以 9,450% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -7.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -9.5 (9,450%)、Spread -3.5 (9,400%),以及 Spread -10.5 (9,100%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 3Q Spread -0.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Spread -4.59650.0%9650¢-9550¢
2Spread -1.59450.0%$559450¢-9350¢
3Spread -7.59450.0%$9909450¢-9350¢
4Spread -9.59450.0%9450¢-9350¢
5Spread -3.59400.0%9400¢-9300¢
6Spread -10.59100.0%9100¢-9000¢
73Q Spread -0.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
8Spread -13.58950.0%$258950¢-8850¢
9Spread -11.58900.0%8900¢-8800¢
10Spread -14.57300.0%7300¢-7200¢
11Spread -16.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
124Q O/U 7.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
134Q Spread -2.55950.0%5950¢-5850¢
14Spread -17.55400.0%5400¢-5300¢
15Spread -20.55050.0%$45050¢-4950¢
162H Spread -11.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
174Q Spread -7.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
182H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19TCU O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
204Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Spread -12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Spread -15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Spread -19.55000.0%$47.7K5000¢-4900¢
26Spread -22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Spread -25.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Spread -26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Spread -28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Spread -31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Spread -32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Spread -34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33O/U 36.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34O/U 40.55000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
35O/U 42.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36O/U 46.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37O/U 48.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38O/U 52.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39O/U 60.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
40O/U 64.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
41O/U 66.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
42O/U 70.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
43O/U 72.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
44O/U 76.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
452H Spread -6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
462H Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
472H O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
482H O/U 25.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
492H O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
502H O/U 31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
514Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
524Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
534Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
54Arkansas State O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
55Arkansas State O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
56Arkansas State O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
57Arkansas State O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
58Arkansas State O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
59TCU O/U 31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
60TCU O/U 40.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
61TCU O/U 43.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
62Arkansas State 2H O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
63Arkansas State 2H O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
64Arkansas State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
65TCU 2H O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
66TCU 2H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
67TCU 2H O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
68Arkansas State O/U 2.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
69O/U 54.54950.0%$3.1K4950¢-4850¢
702H Spread -9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
712H Spread -10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
722H Spread -13.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
732H O/U 34.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
744Q Spread -3.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
75O/U 38.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
764Q O/U 10.53500.0%3500¢-3400¢
77Spread -18.53450.0%$10.6K3450¢-3350¢
784Q O/U 13.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
794Q O/U 19.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
80TCU O/U 34.52600.0%2600¢-2500¢
81Spread -21.51850.0%$1041850¢-1750¢
82Spread -23.51550.0%$111550¢-1450¢
834Q O/U 16.51400.0%1400¢-1300¢
84TCU O/U 37.51400.0%1400¢-1300¢
85Spread -24.51150.0%1150¢-1050¢
86O/U 44.5950.0%950¢-850¢
87Spread -35.5500.0%500¢-400¢
88Spread -38.5450.0%450¢-350¢
89O/U 62.5450.0%450¢-350¢
90O/U 58.5425.0%425¢-325¢
91O/U 74.5420.0%420¢-320¢
92O/U 68.5400.0%400¢-300¢
93O/U 50.5350.0%350¢-250¢
94O/U 56.5350.0%$11.9K350¢-250¢
95Arkansas State vs. TCU175.0%$27.6K175¢-75¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas State and TCU, scheduled for September 19 at 8:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Arkansas State" if Arkansas State win the game.

This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:49 PM
    RARachfgg
    $5.00

    Bought 9.61 Under for Arkansas State vs. TCU: O/U 56.5 at 0.52

  • 11:49 PM
    KUkuwapt
    $2.35

    Bought 4.519231 Under for Arkansas State vs. TCU: O/U 56.5 at 0.52

  • 11:49 PM
    ELElaran1993
    $4,105.92

    Bought 7896 Under for Arkansas State vs. TCU: O/U 56.5 at 0.52

  • 11:43 PM
    WRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r
    $5,654.44

    Bought 11308.87 TCU for Spread: TCU (-19.5) at 0.5

  • 11:41 PM
    PAPainfulvoid
    $417.18

    Bought 818 Arkansas State for Spread: TCU (-19.5) at 0.51

  • 11:38 PM
    $7.00

    Bought 13.725491 Arkansas State for Spread: TCU (-19.5) at 0.51

  • 11:35 PM
    DADansoulette
    $50.00

    Bought 83.333332 Arkansas State for Spread: TCU (-21.5) at 0.6

  • 11:05 PM
    BABaltzeus41
    $2.00

    Bought 3.703704 Arkansas State for Spread: TCU (-20.5) at 0.54

  • 10:49 PM
    0X0x1E801ADDB24a36512A0A743721151A696c2B416d-1780006791520
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607844 Arkansas State for Spread: TCU (-19.5) at 0.51

  • 10:27 PM
    ANandy29
    $175.37

    Bought 221.99 TCU for Spread: TCU (-7.5) at 0.79

  • 10:25 PM
    ANandy29
    $117.00

    Bought 150 TCU for Spread: TCU (-7.5) at 0.78

  • 10:24 PM
    ANandy29
    $128.70

    Bought 165 TCU for Spread: TCU (-7.5) at 0.78

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件損益
-$171.07
成交量
$43,371.07
持倉數
TCUTCU
MA2
maz26
事件損益
+$189.53
成交量
$40,605.00
持倉數
Arkansas StateArkansas State
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
-$17.04
成交量
$4,097.00
持倉數
Arkansas StateTCU
VE4
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$434.93
成交量
$2,513.85
持倉數
TCUOverArkansas State
HI5
hi774c
事件損益
-$5.55
成交量
$1,110.42
持倉數
Under
NI6
nigiri99
事件損益
-$6.85
成交量
$658.00
持倉數
TCUArkansas State
TI7
tigartie
事件損益
-$0.50
成交量
$300.00
持倉數
OverTCU
MO8
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$0.93
成交量
$135.32
持倉數
TCU

常見問題

目前市場對「Arkansas State vs. TCU」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Spread -4.5 以 9,650% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,450%),以及 Spread -7.5(9,450%)。該市場總成交量已達 $103.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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