
Arkansas State vs. Memphis
核心摘要
根據「Arkansas State vs. Memphis」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Memphis O/U 4.5 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Arkansas State O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Jaylin Carter: Anytime Touchdown 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $59.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Memphis O/U 4.5 (5,000%):Memphis O/U 4.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Arkansas State O/U 2.5 (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Arkansas State O/U 2.5 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
- Jaylin Carter: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Jaylin Carter: Anytime Touchdown 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Manny Covey: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%)、Kenyon Clay: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%),以及 Marcus Stokes: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Trey Owens: Anytime Touchdown 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Memphis O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Arkansas State O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Jaylin Carter: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Manny Covey: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Kenyon Clay: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Marcus Stokes: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Trey Owens: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Dallan Hayden: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Hunter Summers: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Hunter Tipton: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Chauncy Cobb: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Tychaun Chapman: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Brady Kluse: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Jaylen Bonelli: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Nazeviah Burris: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Tyler Little: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Alante Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Jermane Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Jemyri Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Jabari Bush: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Romel Stevens: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Memphis O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Arkansas State O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Arkansas State O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Arkansas State O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Arkansas State O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Memphis O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Memphis O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Memphis O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Memphis O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:00PM ET:
If Arkansas State wins, the market will resolve to "Arkansas State".
If Memphis wins, the market will resolve to "Memphis".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 5, 2026
- 08:16 PM0X0xcF39dFa3bb7241f1D048ECf70320bEA52C297032-1784576758344$1.22
Bought 2.17857 Under for Arkansas State vs. Memphis: O/U 54.5 at 0.56
- 08:16 PM0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187$4.83
Bought 10.74 Over for Arkansas State vs. Memphis: O/U 54.5 at 0.45
- 08:16 PME4e46m3$3.54
Bought 6.32 Under for Arkansas State vs. Memphis: O/U 54.5 at 0.56
- 07:50 PMROroverpredicts$114.66
Bought 182 Arkansas State for Spread: Memphis (-14.5) at 0.63
- 05:52 PMBObo8743977$1.28
Bought 2.064515 Arkansas State for Spread: Memphis (-14.5) at 0.62
- 05:52 PMFOForecastication2$4.34
Bought 7 Arkansas State for Spread: Memphis (-14.5) at 0.62
- 05:40 PMFOForecastication2$3.10
Bought 5 Arkansas State for Spread: Memphis (-14.5) at 0.62
- 05:28 PMFOForecastication2$6.20
Bought 10 Arkansas State for Spread: Memphis (-14.5) at 0.62
- 05:03 PMFOForecastication2$6.30
Bought 10 Arkansas State for Spread: Memphis (-14.5) at 0.63
- 04:48 PM——$1.10
Bought 5.238094 Arkansas State for Arkansas State vs. Memphis at 0.21
- 04:48 PMTITimeTraveler$31.50
Bought 150 Arkansas State for Arkansas State vs. Memphis at 0.21
- 04:45 PMMOmooseborzoi$53.75
Bought 97.72 Memphis for Spread: Memphis (-9.5) at 0.55
常見問題
目前市場對「Arkansas State vs. Memphis」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Memphis O/U 4.5 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Arkansas State O/U 2.5(5,000%),以及 Jaylin Carter: Anytime Touchdown(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $59.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
