
Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
核心摘要
根據「Arkansas vs. Texas A&M」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,O/U 39.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -5.5 以 9,825% 位居第二,Spread -11.5 以 9,750% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $182K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- O/U 39.5 (9,995%):O/U 39.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -5.5 (9,825%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -5.5 保持著 9,825% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,825¢。
- Spread -11.5 (9,750%):以 9,750% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -11.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Spread -6.5 (9,745%)、Spread -3.5 (9,650%),以及 Spread -9.5 (9,595%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -13.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 39.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Spread -5.5 | 9825.0% | $25 | 9825¢ | -9725¢ |
| 3 | Spread -11.5 | 9750.0% | $25 | 9750¢ | -9650¢ |
| 4 | Spread -6.5 | 9745.0% | $419 | 9745¢ | -9645¢ |
| 5 | Spread -3.5 | 9650.0% | — | 9650¢ | -9550¢ |
| 6 | Spread -9.5 | 9595.0% | $298 | 9595¢ | -9495¢ |
| 7 | Spread -13.5 | 9445.0% | $77.9K | 9445¢ | -9345¢ |
| 8 | Spread -1.5 | 9405.0% | — | 9405¢ | -9305¢ |
| 9 | Spread -2.5 | 9200.0% | — | 9200¢ | -9100¢ |
| 10 | Spread -15.5 | 9200.0% | $1.1K | 9200¢ | -9100¢ |
| 11 | Spread -14.5 | 9100.0% | $1.6K | 9100¢ | -9000¢ |
| 12 | Spread -4.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 13 | Spread -16.5 | 9000.0% | $4.3K | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 14 | Texas A&M O/U 32.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 15 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 16 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 17 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 18 | 3Q Spread -4.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 19 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 20 | O/U 43.5 | 8950.0% | — | 8950¢ | -8850¢ |
| 21 | Spread -7.5 | 8100.0% | $36 | 8100¢ | -8000¢ |
| 22 | Spread -20.5 | 7450.0% | $901 | 7450¢ | -7350¢ |
| 23 | Spread -21.5 | 7100.0% | $7.7K | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 24 | Spread -17.5 | 7050.0% | $22 | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 25 | O/U 41.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 26 | O/U 45.5 | 6900.0% | — | 6900¢ | -6800¢ |
| 27 | O/U 47.5 | 6800.0% | $251 | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 28 | Spread -18.5 | 6650.0% | — | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 29 | Spread -19.5 | 6550.0% | — | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 30 | Spread -22.5 | 6250.0% | $10 | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 31 | Spread -24.5 | 6050.0% | $95 | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 32 | O/U 49.5 | 5450.0% | $22.3K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 33 | Spread -10.5 | 5200.0% | $5 | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 34 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 35 | Arkansas 2H O/U 13.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 36 | Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 37 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Arkansas O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Arkansas O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Arkansas O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Arkansas O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Texas A&M O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Arkansas 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Arkansas 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Arkansas vs. Texas A&M: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Arkansas vs. Texas A&M: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Arkansas vs. Texas A&M: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Texas A&M Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Texas A&M Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Texas A&M Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Texas A&M Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Texas A&M Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Texas A&M Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Texas A&M Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Texas A&M Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Texas A&M Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Texas A&M Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Texas A&M Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Arkansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Arkansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Texas A&M 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Texas A&M 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Texas A&M Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Texas A&M Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Texas A&M Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Texas A&M Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Texas A&M Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Texas A&M Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Texas A&M Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Texas A&M Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Texas A&M Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Arkansas vs. Texas A&M: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | Arkansas vs. Texas A&M: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | Arkansas vs. Texas A&M: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Spread -12.5 | 5000.0% | $1.8K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | 2H Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | 2H Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | 2H Spread -11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | 4Q Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | Texas A&M O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | Arkansas O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | Texas A&M O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 131 | Spread -20.5 | 4950.0% | $901 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 132 | Spread -17.5 | 4950.0% | $22 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 133 | Spread -16.5 | 4950.0% | $4.3K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 134 | Spread -14.5 | 4950.0% | $1.6K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 135 | Spread -13.5 | 4950.0% | $77.9K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 136 | Spread -8.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 137 | Spread -0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 138 | O/U 51.5 | 4950.0% | $4.7K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 139 | O/U 69.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 140 | O/U 71.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 141 | O/U 75.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 142 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 143 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 144 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 145 | Game Goes to Overtime | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 146 | Texas A&M Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 147 | 2H Spread -7.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 148 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 149 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 150 | Spread -30.5 | 4750.0% | $22 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 151 | Spread -28.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 152 | Spread -27.5 | 4500.0% | $1.6K | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 153 | O/U 53.5 | 4350.0% | $581 | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 154 | Spread -31.5 | 4000.0% | — | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 155 | O/U 59.5 | 3600.0% | — | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 156 | O/U 57.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 157 | Spread -34.5 | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 158 | O/U 63.5 | 3150.0% | $48 | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 159 | O/U 65.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 160 | O/U 55.5 | 2400.0% | $6.7K | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 161 | Arkansas O/U 20.5 | 2100.0% | $93 | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 162 | O/U 61.5 | 1950.0% | $728 | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 163 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 164 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 165 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 166 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 167 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 168 | 3Q Spread -7.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 169 | 3Q Moneyline | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 170 | O/U 67.5 | 650.0% | $61 | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 171 | O/U 73.5 | 500.0% | $74 | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 172 | Spread -3.5 | 450.0% | — | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 173 | Spread -1.5 | 450.0% | — | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 174 | Spread -4.5 | 445.0% | — | 445¢ | -345¢ |
| 175 | Spread -7.5 | 185.0% | $36 | 185¢ | -85¢ |
| 176 | Spread -5.5 | 105.0% | $25 | 105¢ | -5¢ |
| 177 | Spread -6.5 | 95.0% | $419 | 95¢ | 5¢ |
| 178 | Spread -2.5 | 95.0% | — | 95¢ | 5¢ |
| 179 | Spread -10.5 | 70.0% | $5 | 70¢ | 30¢ |
| 180 | Arkansas vs. Texas A&M | 15.0% | $47.9K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas and Texas A&M, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game.
This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 3, 2026
- 11:48 PM——$76.17
Bought 95.21 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-9.5) at 0.8
- 11:39 PMSUsuperlxj$1.29
Bought 3 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-21.5) at 0.43
- 11:39 PM——$1.00
Bought 2.272728 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-21.5) at 0.44
- 11:39 PMRNRN1$1,612.50
Bought 3750 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-21.5) at 0.43
- 11:39 PM656512395314597884$86.00
Bought 200 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-21.5) at 0.43
- 11:37 PM3838791873984189$4.97
Bought 7 Arkansas for Spread: Texas A&M (-30.5) at 0.71
- 11:37 PM3838791873984189$18.25
Sold 25 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-15.5) at 0.73
- 11:37 PMSMsmithagent$5.25
Bought 25 Arkansas for Spread: Texas A&M (-11.5) at 0.21
- 11:37 PMDIdips.$0.01
Bought 0.06 Arkansas for Spread: Texas A&M (-9.5) at 0.15
- 11:37 PMLYlydial0571$3.74
Bought 24.933334 Arkansas for Spread: Texas A&M (-9.5) at 0.15
- 11:27 PM656512395314597884$2.80
Bought 5 Arkansas for Spread: Texas A&M (-24.5) at 0.56
- 11:11 PM3838791873984189$2.20
Bought 5 Arkansas for Spread: Texas A&M (-15.5) at 0.44
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Arkansas vs. Texas A&M」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,O/U 39.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -5.5(9,825%),以及 Spread -11.5(9,750%)。該市場總成交量已達 $182K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
