Alabama vs. Mississippi State

$138K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
機率趨勢
Alabama 66.5%
Mississippi State 33.5%

核心摘要

根據「Alabama vs. Mississippi State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 35.5 以壓倒性的 9,300% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 39.5 以 9,100% 位居第二,O/U 41.5 以 8,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $138K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (9,300%):O/U 35.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,300¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 39.5 (9,100%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 39.5 保持著 9,100% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,100¢。
  • O/U 41.5 (8,950%):以 8,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 41.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 37.5 (8,700%)、O/U 43.5 (8,650%),以及 O/U 45.5 (8,250%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Alabama O/U 23.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 35.59300.0%—9300¢-9200¢
2O/U 39.59100.0%—9100¢-9000¢
3O/U 41.58950.0%—8950¢-8850¢
4O/U 37.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
5O/U 43.58650.0%—8650¢-8550¢
6O/U 45.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
7Alabama O/U 23.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
8O/U 47.58050.0%—8050¢-7950¢
9O/U 49.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
10Alabama O/U 20.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
11Alabama O/U 26.57300.0%—7300¢-7200¢
12O/U 51.57200.0%$237200¢-7100¢
131Q O/U 7.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
14O/U 53.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
15Alabama vs. Mississippi State6650.0%$11.3K6650¢-6550¢
16Spread -0.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
172Q O/U 7.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
18Spread -1.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
19Spread -2.56250.0%$1496250¢-6150¢
20O/U 55.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
212Q O/U 10.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
22Alabama O/U 29.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
23Mississippi State O/U 23.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
241H Moneyline5950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
254Q O/U 7.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
26O/U 57.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
272Q O/U 13.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
283Q O/U 7.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
294Q O/U 10.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
301H O/U 27.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
311Q O/U 10.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
321H Spread -0.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
33Spread -3.55550.0%$1755550¢-5450¢
34Alabama O/U 32.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
35O/U 59.55450.0%$585450¢-5350¢
36Alabama 1H O/U 13.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
372Q O/U 16.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
381H Spread -2.55350.0%$4.0K5350¢-5250¢
391H O/U 30.55300.0%$5945300¢-5200¢
402H O/U 27.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
414Q O/U 13.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
42Spread -4.55250.0%$1.0K5250¢-5150¢
433Q O/U 10.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
441Q O/U 13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
45Spread -5.55050.0%$63.1K5050¢-4950¢
462H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
472H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
482H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
493Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
502H Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
511H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
521H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
531H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Mississippi State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Alabama 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Alabama 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Mississippi State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Mississippi State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Alabama 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Alabama 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Alabama 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Mississippi State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Mississippi State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Mississippi State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1302H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1312H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1322H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1331Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1341Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1351Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1372Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1413Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1423Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1433Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1443Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1453Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1463Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1474Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1484Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1494Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1504Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1514Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1522H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
153Alabama O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
154Mississippi State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1552Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1563Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1574Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1582H O/U 30.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1594Q O/U 16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
160Mississippi State O/U 35.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
161O/U 61.54850.0%$2954850¢-4750¢
162Mississippi State O/U 32.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
163Game Goes to Overtime4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
1642H Spread -3.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
165Spread -6.54750.0%$1704750¢-4650¢
1664Q Spread -1.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1671H Spread -3.54600.0%$1374600¢-4500¢
1684Q O/U 19.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
1692Q O/U 19.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
1701Q Spread -0.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
171O/U 63.54350.0%$2274350¢-4250¢
1723Q O/U 16.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1732Q Spread -2.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
1741H Spread -5.54100.0%$5644100¢-4000¢
175Spread -7.54050.0%$23.1K4050¢-3950¢
1762H Spread -4.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
1773Q O/U 19.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
1781H Spread -4.53950.0%$4.2K3950¢-3850¢
179Spread -8.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
180O/U 65.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
181Mississippi State O/U 26.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
182O/U 67.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
183Mississippi State 1H O/U 16.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
184Spread -10.53500.0%$3013500¢-3400¢
185Spread -0.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
1861Q Spread -3.53350.0%$183350¢-3250¢
187Spread -1.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
1881Q Moneyline3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
189Spread -13.53050.0%$563050¢-2950¢
190Spread -2.53050.0%$1493050¢-2950¢
1911H Spread -7.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
192O/U 69.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
1931Q Spread -3.52900.0%$182900¢-2800¢
194Spread -14.52750.0%$2982750¢-2650¢
195Spread -20.52650.0%$62650¢-2550¢
196O/U 71.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
197Spread -3.52550.0%$1752550¢-2450¢
1981Q O/U 16.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
199Spread -16.52450.0%$4582450¢-2350¢
200Spread -4.52350.0%$1.0K2350¢-2250¢
201Spread -17.52250.0%$1702250¢-2150¢
202Spread -5.52250.0%$63.1K2250¢-2150¢
203O/U 73.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
204Spread -6.52150.0%$1702150¢-2050¢
205O/U 75.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
2061Q O/U 19.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
207Spread -20.51800.0%$61800¢-1700¢
208Spread -7.51650.0%$23.1K1650¢-1550¢
209Spread -8.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
210Spread -10.51250.0%$3011250¢-1150¢
211Spread -13.51050.0%$561050¢-950¢
212Spread -14.5800.0%$298800¢-700¢
213Spread -16.5700.0%$458700¢-600¢
214Spread -17.5655.0%$170655¢-555¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Mississippi State, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game.

This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 2, 2026

  • 10:03 PM
    OLOlivier987
    $6.80

    Bought 18.378379 Alabama for 1Q Spread: Alabama (-3.5) at 0.37

  • 09:41 PM
    YUyuyakowako
    $180.00

    Bought 295.081966 Mississippi State for Spread: Alabama (-7.5) at 0.61

  • 09:23 PM
    CHCharlieEcho1510
    $5.00

    Bought 7.462687 Alabama for Alabama vs. Mississippi State at 0.67

  • 09:12 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $23.97

    Bought 47 Alabama for Spread: Alabama (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 09:09 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 40 Mississippi State for Spread: Alabama (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 09:09 PM
    PApablera
    $8.00

    Bought 15.09434 Over for Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 59.5 at 0.53

  • 09:09 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 58.82353 Mississippi State for Alabama vs. Mississippi State at 0.34

  • 09:09 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 37.037036 Mississippi State for Spread: Alabama (-6.5) at 0.54

  • 09:08 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $9.40

    Bought 20 Over for Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 61.5 at 0.47

  • 09:08 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 40 Mississippi State for Spread: Alabama (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 09:06 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $5.17

    Bought 11 Over for Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 61.5 at 0.47

  • 09:00 PM
    CSCSBBB
    $5.00

    Bought 10.638298 Alabama for Spread: Alabama (-6.5) at 0.47

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

MO1
mooseborzoii
事件損益
-$221.95
成交量
$53,302.07
持倉數
Alabama
492
0x4924…1188
事件損益
+$257.33
成交量
$51,465.03
持倉數
Mississippi State
AR3
ArielFilipino
事件損益
-$383.27
成交量
$23,487.88
持倉數
Mississippi StateMississippi State
NI4
nigiri99
事件損益
-$333.68
成交量
$18,794.00
持倉數
Mississippi StateMississippi StateMississippi State+1
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$329.95
成交量
$15,467.59
持倉數
AlabamaAlabamaMississippi State+1
FO6
forecastication4
事件損益
+$167.16
成交量
$8,629.30
持倉數
AlabamaAlabamaAlabama+2
FL7
FlamePyro
事件損益
-$87.59
成交量
$7,199.99
持倉數
Alabama
MO8
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$30.70
成交量
$5,889.03
持倉數
AlabamaAlabamaAlabama+8

常見問題

目前市場對「Alabama vs. Mississippi State」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 9,300% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 39.5(9,100%),以及 O/U 41.5(8,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $138K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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