
Air Force vs. Nevada
核心摘要
根據「Air Force vs. Nevada」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Air Force O/U 3.5 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Nevada O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $409.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Air Force O/U 3.5 (5,000%):Air Force O/U 3.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Nevada O/U 2.5 (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Nevada O/U 2.5 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
- Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 (5,000%)、Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H (5,000%),以及 Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Air Force O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Nevada O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Air Force vs. Nevada: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Air Force and Nevada, scheduled for September 26 at 10:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Air Force" if Air Force win the game.
This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 26, 2026
- 10:01 PM0X0x726BB0A9632a4719609576684A6733Ded6b82914-1773767632930$10.00
Bought 14.705881 Air Force for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.68
- 09:27 PMMOmooseborzoi$38.79
Bought 77.58 Over for Air Force vs. Nevada: O/U 50.5 at 0.5
- 08:11 PMBAbarbar733$2.72
Bought 4 Air Force for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.68
- 07:52 PMHEHerdonia$958.09
Bought 1408.955881 Air Force for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.68
- 07:23 PMNInigiri99$13.86
Bought 42 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33
- 07:20 PMNInigiri99$9.24
Bought 28 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33
- 07:13 PMMOmooseborzoi$2.66
Bought 8.05 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33
- 07:09 PMMOmooseborzoi$33.64
Bought 63.47 Nevada for Spread: Air Force (-6.5) at 0.53
- 06:53 PMNInigiri99$8.91
Bought 27 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33
- 06:47 PMNInigiri99$5.28
Bought 16 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33
- 06:30 PMNInigiri99$4.62
Bought 14 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33
- 06:20 PMNInigiri99$1.65
Bought 5 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33
常見問題
目前市場對「Air Force vs. Nevada」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Air Force O/U 3.5 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Nevada O/U 2.5(5,000%),以及 Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $409.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
