Pro Football: Bryce Young 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns

$2.3K Vol
2027年1月27日
Active
機率趨勢
14.5+ passing TDs 91.5%
20.5+ passing TDs 61.5%
23.5+ passing TDs 61.0%
17.5+ passing TDs 58.5%
26.5+ passing TDs 17.0%

核心摘要

根據「Pro Football: Bryce Young 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,14.5+ passing TDs 以壓倒性的 9,150% 獲勝機率主導市場;20.5+ passing TDs 以 7,000% 位居第二,23.5+ passing TDs 以 6,150% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $2.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 14.5+ passing TDs (9,150%):14.5+ passing TDs 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,150¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $2.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 20.5+ passing TDs (7,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,20.5+ passing TDs 保持著 7,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,000¢。
  • 23.5+ passing TDs (6,150%):以 6,150% 的機率位列第三,市場對 23.5+ passing TDs 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 17.5+ passing TDs (5,850%),以及 26.5+ passing TDs (2,500%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 17.5+ passing TDs 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
114.5+ passing TDs9150.0%$2.1K9150¢-9050¢
220.5+ passing TDs7000.0%$757000¢-6900¢
323.5+ passing TDs6150.0%$836150¢-6050¢
417.5+ passing TDs5850.0%$205850¢-5750¢
526.5+ passing TDs2500.0%$312500¢-2400¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Bryce Young records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Bryce Young does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Bryce Young recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「Pro Football: Bryce Young 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,14.5+ passing TDs 以 9,150% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 20.5+ passing TDs(7,000%),以及 23.5+ passing TDs(6,150%)。該市場總成交量已達 $2.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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