China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic

$170.5K Vol
2026年10月11日
Active
機率趨勢
Alexander Zverev 70.5%
Novak Djokovic 29.5%

核心摘要

根據「China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 8,200% 獲勝機率主導市場;China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic 以 7,050% 位居第二,China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner 以 6,800% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $170.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,200%):China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,200¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic (7,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic 保持著 7,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,050¢。
  • China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner (6,800%):以 6,800% 的機率位列第三,市場對 China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 Winner (6,400%)、China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.5 (6,050%),以及 China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 21.5 (5,900%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Completed Match 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.58200.0%—8200¢-8100¢
2China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic7050.0%$155.7K7050¢-6950¢
3China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner6800.0%$556800¢-6700¢
4China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 Winner6400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
5China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
6China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 21.55900.0%$1265900¢-5800¢
7Completed Match5400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
8China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 22.54950.0%$464950¢-4850¢
12China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Game Spread +/-3.54950.0%$2.2K4950¢-4850¢
13China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-1.54850.0%$12.0K4850¢-4750¢
14China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 23.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
15China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 2.53550.0%$3353550¢-3450¢
16China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 10.53450.0%$703450¢-3350¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Novak Djokovic.

This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Alexander Zverev.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 4, 2026

  • 01:25 AM
    ——
    $11.00

    Bought 15.492958 Alexander Zverev for China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic at 0.71

  • 01:25 AM
    SAsajat5mm
    $1.50

    Bought 5 Novak Djokovic for China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic at 0.3

  • 01:14 AM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $71.00

    Bought 100 Alexander Zverev for China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic at 0.71

  • 01:14 AM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $71.00

    Bought 100 Alexander Zverev for China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic at 0.71

  • 01:14 AM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $71.00

    Bought 100 Alexander Zverev for China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic at 0.71

  • 01:12 AM
    JOJOS9
    $20.00

    Bought 66.666667 Novak Djokovic for China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic at 0.3

  • 01:12 AM
    YEYEZA
    $20.00

    Bought 66.666667 Novak Djokovic for China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic at 0.3

  • 01:12 AM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $71.00

    Bought 100 Alexander Zverev for China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic at 0.71

  • 01:12 AM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $71.00

    Bought 100 Alexander Zverev for China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic at 0.71

  • 01:04 AM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $11.83

    Bought 16.66 Alexander Zverev for China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic at 0.71

  • 12:53 AM
    ENennyway
    $10.10

    Bought 14.23 Alexander Zverev for China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic at 0.71

  • 12:38 AM
    ——
    $3.60

    Bought 5.07042 Alexander Zverev for China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic at 0.71

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

0F1
0F62
事件損益
-$566.97
成交量
$12,614.52
持倉數
Alexander Zverev
882
88M
事件損益
+$64.75
成交量
$10,146.52
持倉數
Alexander Zverev
9B3
0x9b11…5375
事件損益
+$77.99
成交量
$5,199.00
持倉數
Novak Djokovic
FB4
0xfB07…2542
事件損益
-$25.00
成交量
$5,000.00
持倉數
Novak Djokovic
5B5
0x5b62…1989
事件損益
+$127.50
成交量
$4,500.00
持倉數
Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic
NO6
Notradecopy
事件損益
+$153.00
成交量
$3,400.00
持倉數
Novak Djokovic
DH7
dhfhhfjf
事件損益
-$78.54
成交量
$3,141.63
持倉數
Alexander Zverev
RE8
resellhunt
事件損益
-$44.14
成交量
$2,943.06
持倉數
Alexander Zverev

常見問題

目前市場對「China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 8,200% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic(7,050%),以及 China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner(6,800%)。該市場總成交量已達 $170.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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