Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin

$365.1K Vol
2026年9月21日
Active
機率趨勢
Elias Ymer 70.5%
Semen Pankin 29.5%

核心摘要

根據「Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 8.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 9.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $365.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 Winner (9,995%):Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 8.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 9.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 10.5 (9,995%)、Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,950%),以及 Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Match O/U 21.5 (9,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Match O/U 22.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 Winner9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 8.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
3Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 9.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
4Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 10.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
5Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Total Sets: O/U 2.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
6Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Match O/U 21.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
7Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Match O/U 22.59050.0%$89050¢-8950¢
8Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Match O/U 23.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
9Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin7050.0%$363.0K7050¢-6950¢
10Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set Handicap +/-1.550.0%50¢50¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Semen Pankin in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Semen Pankin.

This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Elias Ymer.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 14, 2026

  • 10:44 AM
    0X0xaFE307d5e175ef92A0a5b1837ce55AD4a8C31F2a-1771719233708
    $5.00

    Bought 7.142856 Elias Ymer for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.7

  • 10:33 AM
    XSxsingularity
    $97.61

    Bought 139.442856 Elias Ymer for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.7

  • 10:33 AM
    TItiger111222444
    $9.75

    Bought 13.92857 Elias Ymer for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.7

  • 10:21 AM
    BRbronca007
    $15.00

    Bought 46.875 Semen Pankin for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.32

  • 10:04 AM
    8181385138
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Under for Ymer vs. Pankin: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.53

  • 09:42 AM
    HOhobo69
    $350.00

    Bought 500 Elias Ymer for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.7

  • 09:41 AM
    ABAbso74
    $5.00

    Bought 7.246377 Elias Ymer for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.69

  • 09:41 AM
    HOhobo69
    $440.00

    Sold 1000 Elias Ymer for Set Handicap: Elias Ymer (-1.5) vs Semen Pankin (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 09:40 AM
    HOhobo69
    $470.00

    Bought 1000 Elias Ymer for Set Handicap: Elias Ymer (-1.5) vs Semen Pankin (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 09:40 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanes
    $20.00

    Bought 28.985506 Elias Ymer for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.69

  • 09:34 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $5.12

    Bought 16 Semen Pankin for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.32

  • 09:26 AM
    FRfreund1kk
    $1.65

    Bought 5.15625 Semen Pankin for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.32

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SS1
SS787878
事件損益
-$2,029.45
成交量
$26,132.96
持倉數
Elias Ymer
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
+$355.75
成交量
$19,398.30
持倉數
Semen Pankin
FI3
fivethirty
事件損益
+$1,779.68
成交量
$16,949.15
持倉數
Semen Pankin
414
0x41BB…9766
事件損益
-$1,628.83
成交量
$14,452.97
持倉數
Elias Ymer
FD5
0xFD74…bA2a
事件損益
-$944.44
成交量
$11,111.00
持倉數
Elias Ymer
RN6
RN1
事件損益
+$130.62
成交量
$8,698.78
持倉數
Semen Pankin
RU7
Runemup
事件損益
-$525.22
成交量
$8,114.01
持倉數
Elias Ymer
TR8
tradecraft
事件損益
+$1,453.40
成交量
$7,127.59
持倉數
Semen Pankin

常見問題

目前市場對「Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 8.5(9,995%),以及 Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 9.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $365.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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