Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris

$115 Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
機率趨勢
Valentin Vacherot 52.5%
Lloyd Harris 47.5%

核心摘要

根據「Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris 以壓倒性的 5,250% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 5,000% 位居第二,Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 Winner 以 0% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $115,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris (5,250%):Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,250¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $115 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 Winner (0%):以 0% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 Winner (0%)、Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (0%),以及 Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 8.5 (0%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 9.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris5250.0%$1155250¢-5150¢
2Completed Match5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 Winner0.0%—0¢100¢
4Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 Winner0.0%—0¢100¢
5Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Total Sets: O/U 2.50.0%—0¢100¢
6Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 8.50.0%—0¢100¢
7Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 9.50.0%—0¢100¢
8Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 10.50.0%—0¢100¢
9Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 8.50.0%—0¢100¢
10Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 9.50.0%—0¢100¢
11Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 10.50.0%—0¢100¢
12Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 21.50.0%—0¢100¢
13Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 22.50.0%—0¢100¢
14Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 23.50.0%—0¢100¢
15Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set Handicap +/-1.50.0%—0¢100¢
16Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Game Spread +/-0.50.0%—0¢100¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Lloyd Harris in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Lloyd Harris.

This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Valentin Vacherot.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris 以 5,250% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,000%),以及 Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 Winner(0%)。該市場總成交量已達 $115,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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